2014 Derrek (through 7 weeks)

2-5 (0.286), 583.38 points (83.34 average)

13th place

2.33 expected wins (0.333)

27-64 all-play record (0.297)

+11.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 101.11 120.22 Rob -19.11
2 L 64.07 133.53 Pulley -69.46 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 46.68 112.89 Rabbit -66.21 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 124.36 97.37 Pat 26.99
5 L 63.74 70.04 Ed -6.30 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 101.05 105.80 Richie -4.75
7 W 82.37 73.50 Dave 8.87
8 Kevin
9 Babel
10 Matt
11 Schertz
12 Mike R.
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.23076923076923138.5%171.365384615384672.020.0%235.78846153846152141.2307692307692330.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692371.9%42.519230769230774137.90108381680193017.1%106.9423076923077110.4427516287675510.0%171.36538461538462.7692307692307736232.1%235.7884615384615283.4596241425877339.6%300.2115384615385124.038952791201740.9%364.6346153846155139.6726444891201650.0%429.0576923076924141.185267324145560.0%493.4807692307693141.230629174453137Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876112th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613310th305.4208.2130177514793413th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544513th501.16923076923075275.6686390532544613th599.053846153846275.668639053254479th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876113th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613313th305.4275.6686390532544413th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544514th501.16923076923075298.15384615384613613th599.053846153846275.668639053254479th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876112th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613313th305.4275.6686390532544414th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613514th501.16923076923075298.15384615384613613th599.053846153846275.66863905325447Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Adrian Peterson K RB
2.08 22 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.07 35 Frank Gore RB
4.08 50 Roddy White WR
5.07 63 Golden Tate WR
6.08 78 Danny Amendola WR
7.07 91 Colin Kaepernick K QB
8.08 106 Kyle Rudolph TE
9.07 119 LeGarrette Blount RB
10.08 134 San Francisco DEF
11.07 147 Brandon LaFell WR
12.08 162 Ryan Tannehill QB
13.07 175 Jerick McKinnon RB
14.08 190 Robbie Gould K
15.07 203 Jerricho Cotchery WR
16.08 218 Jonathan Dwyer RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.865219.1999999999999681.3515070306823740.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.265399.8593406593406122.8806535451010870.54338.54065934065934103.6692976076823810.06098.76043956043955137.0592530466214220.003158.98021978021976140.9909484649163630.000219.1999999999999621.4722448305955340.056279.4197802197802137.3809990122089750.539339.6395604395604103.9009773610720260.000399.8593406593406104.530537859432947Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.8153846153846141.2307692307692320165.50769230769228141.23076923076923311228.1999999999999682.650887573964540290.8923076923077141.2307692307692350353.5846153846154141.2307692307692367416.2769230769231103.952662721893497540.12307692307692114.6035502958579910102.8153846153846141.2307692307692320165.50769230769228141.2307692307692330228.1999999999999624.07100591715975240290.8923076923077141.2307692307692354353.5846153846154119.9289940828402360416.276923076923166.674556213017757All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Derrek 2-5 13th 83.34 0.333 25.11 5-8 12th
1 961 2017 Mike R. 3-4 11th 82.11 0.338 12.82 3-10 14th
2 960 2024 Derrek 2-5 13th 87.41 0.342 21.73 4-10 14th
3 957 2013 Derrek 4-3 8th 87.58 0.341 20.03 7-6 7th
4 956 2015 Pat 2-5 13th 82.46 0.350 21.95 6-7 9th
5 948 2011 Pat 2-5 12th 84.15 0.310 25.98 5-8 11th
6 944 2010 Rob 2-5 11th 80.65 0.319 16.52 6-7 7th
7 931 2010 Pat 1-6 12th 79.96 0.313 17.77 3-10 12th
8 929 2017 Allen 3-4 12th 80.45 0.316 12.34 5-8 12th
9 929 2012 Richie 1-6 13th 83.49 0.308 14.94 1-12 14th
10 929 2017 Pat 1-6 14th 83.41 0.356 12.79 6-7 7th