2011 Pat (through 7 weeks)

2-5 (0.286), 589.02 points

12th place

2.18 expected wins (0.312)

20-57 all-play record (0.260)

+22.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 Matt
9 Pulley
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.23076923076923137.9%171.365384615384672.020.0%235.78846153846152141.2307692307692330.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692372.9%42.519230769230774135.9598001236874018.6%106.9423076923077107.1462201152530410.0%171.36538461538462.7692307692307736231.0%235.7884615384615284.6581525751709339.2%300.2115384615385124.3695590842809540.4%364.6346153846155140.4659632105109550.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.230769230769237Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th109.630769230769285.5664335664335724th207.515384615384685.5664335664335737th305.4165.2867132867133411th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196511th501.16923076923075271.5804195804196611th599.053846153846271.580419580419673rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th109.630769230769285.5664335664335723rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701536th305.4138.71328671328675410th403.28461538461534245.006993006993511th501.16923076923075271.5804195804196612th599.053846153846298.1538461538461373rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th109.630769230769285.5664335664335725th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601637th305.4165.2867132867133411th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196511th501.16923076923075271.5804195804196612th599.053846153846298.153846153846137Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.78038.5406593406593483.9229917126345710.00098.76043956043955135.800119987856820.364158.98021978021976111.5904468406711930.000219.19999999999996135.800119987856840.000279.4197802197802135.800119987856850.000339.6395604395604135.800119987856860.000399.8593406593406135.800119987856870.00038.5406593406593432.04586343741233610.55698.7604395604395598.8158128628484520.000158.9802197802197687.380773693485630.511219.19999999999996101.840234753324424-0.040279.4197802197802138.44993366583750.052339.6395604395604132.346497431988336-0.041399.8593406593406138.515444609313027Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567940.1230769230769284.5874125874125910102.8153846153846141.2307692307692323165.50769230769228122.3496503496503530228.19999999999996141.2307692307692340290.8923076923077141.2307692307692350353.5846153846154141.2307692307692360416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.1230769230769227.94405594405594713102.8153846153846122.3496503496503520165.50769230769228103.4685314685314734228.19999999999996116.0559440559440540290.8923076923077141.2307692307692351353.5846153846154134.9370629370629360416.2769230769231141.230769230769237All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 2-5 12th 84.15 0.312 25.98 5-8 11th
1 971 2016 Pat 3-4 12th 84.95 0.305 20.03 7-6 7th
2 959 2010 Pat 1-6 12th 79.96 0.316 17.77 3-10 12th
3 957 2016 Mike R. 1-6 14th 85.81 0.304 15.67 5-8 11th
4 956 2017 Allen 3-4 12th 80.45 0.311 12.34 5-8 12th
5 951 2012 Richie 1-6 13th 83.49 0.300 14.94 1-12 14th
6 950 2015 Derrek 3-4 11th 82.30 0.301 15.56 7-6 7th
7 946 2010 Rob 2-5 11th 80.65 0.322 16.52 6-7 7th
8 945 2014 Derrek 2-5 13th 83.34 0.337 25.11 5-8 12th
9 934 2023 Scott 2-5 12th 83.81 0.287 18.56 8-6 7th
10 925 2013 Derrek 4-3 8th 87.58 0.336 20.03 7-6 7th