2011 Pat (through 7 weeks)

2-5 (0.286), 589.02 points (84.15 average)

12th place

2.17 expected wins (0.310)

20-57 all-play record (0.260)

+21.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 Matt
9 Pulley
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%58.38461538461538141.2307692307692300.0%146.84615384615384141.23076923076923138.4%235.3076923076923272.020.0%323.7692307692308141.2307692307692330.0%412.2307692307692141.2307692307692340.0%500.6923076923077141.2307692307692350.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.2307692307692372.9%58.38461538461538136.07929283529734019.0%146.84615384615384106.8496030083479110.0%235.307692307692322.7692307692307736230.5%323.769230769230886.1158420050602638.8%412.2307692307692125.3694779019928840.4%500.6923076923077140.456151171550950.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.230769230769237Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th109.630769230769285.5664335664335725th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601637th305.4165.2867132867133411th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196511th501.16923076923075271.5804195804196611th599.053846153846271.580419580419673rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th109.630769230769285.5664335664335723rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701536th305.4138.71328671328675410th403.28461538461534245.006993006993511th501.16923076923075271.5804195804196612th599.053846153846298.1538461538461373rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th109.630769230769285.5664335664335725th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601637th305.4165.2867132867133411th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196511th501.16923076923075271.5804195804196612th599.053846153846298.153846153846137Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice Kx2 RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.79456.1230769230769382.9698204374309510.000143.81538461538463135.772407829853320.340231.5076923076923113.1612093985390730.000319.2135.772407829853340.000406.89230769230767135.772407829853350.000494.5846153846154135.772407829853360.000582.276923076923135.772407829853370.00056.1230769230769330.167233045008610.551143.8153846153846399.1495618251172720.000231.507692307692390.5500109672248430.504319.2102.225381973204074-0.038406.89230769230767138.290821590692750.057494.5846153846154131.967437032601036-0.041582.276923076923138.501588530311277Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567957.705494505494584.5874125874125910147.87032967032965141.2307692307692323238.0351648351648122.3496503496503530328.19999999999993141.2307692307692340418.36483516483514141.2307692307692350508.52967032967035141.2307692307692360598.6945054945054141.230769230769237057.705494505494527.94405594405594713147.87032967032965122.3496503496503520238.0351648351648103.4685314685314734328.19999999999993116.0559440559440540418.36483516483514141.2307692307692351508.52967032967035134.9370629370629360598.6945054945054141.230769230769237All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 2-5 12th 84.15 0.310 25.98 5-8 11th
1 975 2016 Pat 3-4 12th 84.95 0.305 20.03 7-6 7th
2 972 2012 Richie 1-6 13th 83.49 0.308 14.94 1-12 14th
3 967 2016 Mike R. 1-6 14th 85.81 0.307 15.67 5-8 11th
4 963 2015 Derrek 3-4 11th 82.30 0.305 15.56 7-6 7th
5 961 2010 Pat 1-6 12th 79.96 0.313 17.77 3-10 12th
6 948 2010 Rob 2-5 11th 80.65 0.319 16.52 6-7 7th
7 948 2014 Derrek 2-5 13th 83.34 0.333 25.11 5-8 12th
8 945 2017 Allen 3-4 12th 80.45 0.316 12.34 5-8 12th
9 933 2023 Scott 2-5 12th 83.81 0.284 18.56 8-6 7th
10 922 2021 Rob 1-6 13th 91.56 0.320 12.54 2-12 14th