2011 Pat (through 7 weeks)

2-5 (0.286), 589.02 points (84.15 average)

12th place

2.17 expected wins (0.310)

20-57 all-play record (0.260)

+21.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 Matt
9 Pulley
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%58.38461538461538141.2307692307692300.0%146.84615384615384141.23076923076923138.4%235.3076923076923272.020.0%323.7692307692308141.2307692307692330.0%412.2307692307692141.2307692307692340.0%500.6923076923077141.2307692307692350.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.2307692307692372.9%58.38461538461538136.07930124216097019.0%146.84615384615384106.8496043221280210.0%235.307692307692322.7692307692307736230.5%323.769230769230886.115867829763438.8%412.2307692307692125.3694968009188140.4%500.6923076923077140.456152868171550.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.230769230769237Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th109.630769230769285.5664335664335725th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601637th305.4165.2867132867133411th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196511th501.16923076923075271.5804195804196611th599.053846153846271.580419580419673rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th109.630769230769285.5664335664335723rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701536th305.4138.71328671328675410th403.28461538461534245.006993006993511th501.16923076923075271.5804195804196612th599.053846153846298.1538461538461373rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th109.630769230769285.5664335664335725th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601637th305.4165.2867132867133411th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196511th501.16923076923075271.5804195804196612th599.053846153846298.153846153846137Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.79456.1230769230769382.9697853945173610.000143.81538461538463135.7724127063847820.340231.5076923076923113.1612279460077430.000319.2135.7724127063847840.000406.89230769230767135.7724127063847850.000494.5846153846154135.7724127063847860.000582.276923076923135.7724127063847870.00056.1230769230769330.16715808264993410.551143.8153846153846399.1495824378626220.000231.507692307692390.550043185630730.504319.2102.225401716334624-0.038406.89230769230767138.2908217439516850.057494.5846153846154131.967445617088776-0.041582.276923076923138.5015909685777Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567957.705494505494584.5874125874125910147.87032967032965141.2307692307692323238.0351648351648122.3496503496503530328.19999999999993141.2307692307692340418.36483516483514141.2307692307692350508.52967032967035141.2307692307692360598.6945054945054141.230769230769237057.705494505494527.94405594405594713147.87032967032965122.3496503496503520238.0351648351648103.4685314685314734328.19999999999993116.0559440559440540418.36483516483514141.2307692307692351508.52967032967035134.9370629370629360598.6945054945054141.230769230769237All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 2-5 12th 84.15 0.310 25.98 5-8 11th
1 975 2016 Pat 3-4 12th 84.95 0.305 20.03 7-6 7th
2 972 2012 Richie 1-6 13th 83.49 0.308 14.94 1-12 14th
3 967 2016 Mike R. 1-6 14th 85.81 0.307 15.67 5-8 11th
4 963 2015 Derrek 3-4 11th 82.30 0.305 15.56 7-6 7th
5 961 2010 Pat 1-6 12th 79.96 0.313 17.77 3-10 12th
6 948 2010 Rob 2-5 11th 80.65 0.319 16.52 6-7 7th
7 948 2014 Derrek 2-5 13th 83.34 0.333 25.11 5-8 12th
8 945 2017 Allen 3-4 12th 80.45 0.316 12.34 5-8 12th
9 933 2023 Scott 2-5 12th 83.81 0.284 18.56 8-6 7th
10 923 2021 Rob 1-6 13th 91.56 0.320 12.54 2-12 14th