2015 Derrek (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 576.07 points

11th place

2.10 expected wins (0.301)

27-64 all-play record (0.297)

-12.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 65.49 87.11 Rabbit -21.62 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 82.17 72.40 Pat 9.77
3 L 67.24 155.50 Babel -88.26 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 67.48 79.87 Ed -12.39
5 W 97.49 84.98 Schertz 12.51
6 W 108.94 101.40 Kevin 7.54
7 L 87.26 93.86 Mike R. -6.60
8 Matt
9 Richie
10 Rob
11 Dave
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923224.6%235.7884615384615294.7445825770420430.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692375.2%42.519230769230774131.33787809216622024.1%106.942307692307795.72608238673753136.6%171.365384615384672.020.0%235.7884615384615248.2583959233148538.0%300.2115384615385126.045248086949741.3%364.6346153846155138.7813795940257450.1%429.0576923076924141.0422406345767960.0%493.4807692307693141.225226956908447Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613113th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613314th305.4298.15384615384613414th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613513th501.16923076923075275.6686390532544613th599.053846153846275.6686390532544714th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th109.6307692307692230.698224852071214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613314th305.4298.15384615384613413th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544510th501.16923076923075208.2130177514793611th599.053846153846230.698224852071714th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613314th305.4298.15384615384613413th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544513th501.16923076923075275.6686390532544613th599.053846153846275.66863905325447Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Matt Forte RB
2.09 23 Frank Gore K RB
3.06 34 Andrew Luck K QB
4.09 51 Allen Robinson II WR
5.06 62 Nelson Agholor WR
6.09 79 Shane Vereen RB
7.06 90 Davante Adams WR
8.09 107 Breshad Perriman WR
9.06 118 Owen Daniels TE
10.09 135 Houston DEF
11.06 146 Teddy Bridgewater QB
12.09 163 Terrance West RB
13.06 174 Dwayne Bowe WR
14.09 191 Jeremy Langford RB
15.06 202 Caleb Sturgis K
16.09 219 Cordarrelle Patterson WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.26398.76043956043955123.0170710538874920.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.504279.4197802197802106.323046103132450.705339.639560439560492.435981099849460.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.08838.54065934065934135.1199550379270710.00098.76043956043955104.8033728770057420.102158.98021978021976134.1880897922076230.103219.19999999999996134.0971761096983840.000279.419780219780271.4153229754955750.000339.639560439560443.6411929689295760.339399.8593406593406117.755441678666517Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692312102.8153846153846130.5798816568047320165.50769230769228141.2307692307692330228.19999999999996141.2307692307692347290.8923076923077103.9526627218934959353.584615384615493.3017751479289960416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.8153846153846119.9289940828402320165.50769230769228141.2307692307692333228.19999999999996125.2544378698224840290.892307692307766.6745562130177550353.584615384615445.37278106508874566416.2769230769231109.278106508875747All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Derrek 3-4 11th 82.30 0.301 15.56 7-6 7th
1 992 2012 Richie 1-6 13th 83.49 0.300 14.94 1-12 14th
2 979 2016 Mike R. 1-6 14th 85.81 0.304 15.67 5-8 11th
3 972 2016 Pat 3-4 12th 84.95 0.305 20.03 7-6 7th
4 966 2017 Allen 3-4 12th 80.45 0.311 12.34 5-8 12th
5 961 2014 Richie 1-6 14th 81.95 0.282 16.00 6-7 9th
6 960 2023 Scott 2-5 12th 83.81 0.287 18.56 8-6 7th
7 956 2010 Pat 1-6 12th 79.96 0.316 17.77 3-10 12th
8 951 2022 Richie 3-4 12th 83.15 0.283 10.03 6-8 13th
9 950 2011 Pat 2-5 12th 84.15 0.312 25.98 5-8 11th
10 949 2022 Pulley 2-5 13th 83.15 0.283 9.25 7-7 8th