2015 Derrek (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 576.07 points (82.30 average)

11th place

2.14 expected wins (0.305)

27-64 all-play record (0.297)

-11.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 65.49 87.11 Rabbit -21.62 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 82.17 72.40 Pat 9.77
3 L 67.24 155.50 Babel -88.26 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 67.48 79.87 Ed -12.39
5 W 97.49 84.98 Schertz 12.51
6 W 108.94 101.40 Kevin 7.54
7 L 87.26 93.86 Mike R. -6.60
8 Matt
9 Richie
10 Rob
11 Dave
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923225.3%235.7884615384615293.2766317923067430.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692374.9%42.519230769230774131.8865870462439023.3%106.942307692307797.07679208734697136.5%171.365384615384672.020.0%235.7884615384615245.3224943538442638.5%300.2115384615385125.1835986142530941.4%364.6346153846155138.6206709163048550.1%429.0576923076924141.030568550276760.0%493.4807692307693141.22495339519577Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613314th305.4298.15384615384613414th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613513th501.16923076923075275.6686390532544613th599.053846153846275.6686390532544714th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th109.6307692307692230.698224852071214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613314th305.4298.15384615384613413th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544510th501.16923076923075208.2130177514793611th599.053846153846230.698224852071714th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613314th305.4298.15384615384613413th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544513th501.16923076923075275.6686390532544613th599.053846153846275.66863905325447Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Matt Forte RB
2.09 23 Frank Gore K RB
3.06 34 Andrew Luck K QB
4.09 51 Allen Robinson II WR
5.06 62 Nelson Agholor WR
6.09 79 Shane Vereen RB
7.06 90 Davante Adams WR
8.09 107 Breshad Perriman WR
9.06 118 Owen Daniels TE
10.09 135 Houston DEF
11.06 146 Teddy Bridgewater QB
12.09 163 Terrance West RB
13.06 174 Dwayne Bowe WR
14.09 191 Jeremy Langford RB
15.06 202 Caleb Sturgis K
16.09 219 Cordarrelle Patterson WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.27998.76043956043955121.9190159103458320.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.509279.4197802197802105.9949802645006850.709339.639560439560492.1209635378953660.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.08338.54065934065934135.450488981221410.00098.76043956043955102.6072625899224420.101158.98021978021976134.2550815295930730.103219.19999999999996134.1097751100342640.000279.419780219780270.7591912982321450.000339.639560439560443.01115784502148660.352399.8593406593406116.85601095805457Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692312102.8153846153846130.5798816568047320165.50769230769228141.2307692307692330228.19999999999996141.2307692307692347290.8923076923077103.9526627218934959353.584615384615493.3017751479289960416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.8153846153846119.9289940828402320165.50769230769228141.2307692307692333228.19999999999996125.2544378698224840290.892307692307766.6745562130177550353.584615384615445.37278106508874566416.2769230769231109.278106508875747All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Derrek 3-4 11th 82.30 0.305 15.56 7-6 7th
1 989 2012 Richie 1-6 13th 83.49 0.308 14.94 1-12 14th
2 983 2016 Mike R. 1-6 14th 85.81 0.307 15.67 5-8 11th
3 980 2016 Pat 3-4 12th 84.95 0.305 20.03 7-6 7th
4 971 2010 Pat 1-6 12th 79.96 0.313 17.77 3-10 12th
5 965 2017 Allen 3-4 12th 80.45 0.316 12.34 5-8 12th
6 964 2010 Rob 2-5 11th 80.65 0.319 16.52 6-7 7th
7 963 2011 Pat 2-5 12th 84.15 0.310 25.98 5-8 11th
8 956 2014 Richie 1-6 14th 81.95 0.285 16.00 6-7 9th
9 945 2023 Scott 2-5 12th 83.81 0.284 18.56 8-6 7th
10 936 2022 Pulley 2-5 13th 83.15 0.281 9.25 7-7 8th