2016 Derrek (through 6 weeks)

2-4 (0.333), 547.42 points (91.24 average)

11th place

2.21 expected wins (0.369)

30-48 all-play record (0.385)

-4.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 123.45 112.14 Dave 11.31
2 L 70.45 91.15 Schertz -20.70 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 67.22 84.08 Richie -16.86 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 89.35 68.08 Ed 21.27
5 L 103.42 109.35 Rob -5.93
6 L 93.53 128.65 Kevin -35.12
7 Mike R.
8 Pulley
9 Rabbit
10 Pat
11 Babel
12 Matt
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%64.7032967032967141.2307692307692300.0%165.80219780219778141.23076923076923139.0%266.9010989010988672.020.0%368.0141.2307692307692330.0%469.09890109890114141.2307692307692340.0%570.1978021978022141.2307692307692350.0%671.2967032967032141.2307692307692362.9%64.7032967032967136.16757961582914020.5%165.80219780219778104.9258101311261810.0%266.901098901098862.7692307692307736228.6%368.090.5470609184274538.3%469.09890109890114126.446002331757240.8%570.1978021978022139.8788638799194450.0%671.2967032967032141.19548688295866Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th129.2076923076923230.698224852071213th246.66923076923075275.6686390532544314th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613411th481.59230769230766230.698224852071511th599.053846153846230.69822485207162nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557618th129.2076923076923163.24260355029585212th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272311th364.1307692307692230.698224852071410th481.59230769230766208.2130177514793511th599.053846153846230.69822485207162nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th129.2076923076923230.698224852071213th246.66923076923075275.6686390532544314th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613411th481.59230769230766230.698224852071511th599.053846153846230.6982248520716Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1
1.02 2
1.03 3
1.04 4 Le'Veon Bell RB
1.05 5
1.06 6
1.07 7
1.08 8
1.09 9
1.10 10
1.11 11
1.12 12
1.13 13
1.14 14
2.01 15
2.02 16
2.03 17
2.04 18
2.05 19
2.06 20
2.07 21
2.08 22
2.09 23
2.10 24
2.11 25 Brandin Cooks WR
2.12 26
2.13 27
2.14 28
3.01 29
3.02 30
3.03 31
3.04 32 Andrew Luck QB
3.05 33
3.06 34
3.07 35
3.08 36
3.09 37
3.10 38
3.11 39
3.12 40
3.13 41
3.14 42
4.01 43
4.02 44
4.03 45
4.04 46
4.05 47
4.06 48
4.07 49
4.08 50
4.09 51
4.10 52
4.11 53 Allen Robinson II K WR
4.12 54
4.13 55
4.14 56
5.01 57
5.02 58
5.03 59
5.04 60 T.J. Yeldon RB
5.05 61
5.06 62
5.07 63
5.08 64
5.09 65
5.10 66
5.11 67
5.12 68
5.13 69
5.14 70
6.01 71
6.02 72
6.03 73
6.04 74
6.05 75
6.06 76
6.07 77
6.08 78
6.09 79
6.10 80
6.11 81 Zach Ertz TE
6.12 82
6.13 83
6.14 84
7.01 85
7.02 86
7.03 87
7.04 88 Chris Ivory RB
7.05 89
7.06 90
7.07 91
7.08 92
7.09 93
7.10 94
7.11 95
7.12 96
7.13 97
7.14 98
8.01 99
8.02 100
8.03 101
8.04 102
8.05 103
8.06 104
8.07 105
8.08 106
8.09 107
8.10 108
8.11 109 Devin Funchess WR
8.12 110
8.13 111
8.14 112
9.01 113
9.02 114
9.03 115
9.04 116 James Starks RB
9.05 117
9.06 118
9.07 119
9.08 120
9.09 121
9.10 122
9.11 123
9.12 124
9.13 125
9.14 126
10.01 127
10.02 128
10.03 129
10.04 130
10.05 131
10.06 132
10.07 133
10.08 134
10.09 135
10.10 136
10.11 137 Denver DEF
10.12 138
10.13 139
10.14 140
11.01 141
11.02 142
11.03 143
11.04 144 Josh Gordon K WR
11.05 145
11.06 146
11.07 147
11.08 148
11.09 149
11.10 150
11.11 151
11.12 152
11.13 153
11.14 154
12.01 155
12.02 156
12.03 157
12.04 158
12.05 159
12.06 160
12.07 161
12.08 162
12.09 163
12.10 164
12.11 165 Josh Doctson WR
12.12 166
12.13 167
12.14 168
13.01 169
13.02 170
13.03 171
13.04 172 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE
13.05 173
13.06 174
13.07 175
13.08 176
13.09 177
13.10 178
13.11 179
13.12 180
13.13 181
13.14 182
14.01 183
14.02 184
14.03 185
14.04 186
14.05 187
14.06 188
14.07 189
14.08 190
14.09 191
14.10 192
14.11 193 Teddy Bridgewater QB
14.12 194
14.13 195
14.14 196
15.01 197
15.02 198
15.03 199
15.04 200 Blair Walsh K
15.05 201
15.06 202
15.07 203
15.08 204
15.09 205
15.10 206
15.11 207
15.12 208
15.13 209
15.14 210
16.01 211
16.02 212
16.03 213
16.04 214
16.05 215
16.06 216
16.07 217
16.08 218
16.09 219
16.10 220
16.11 221 Kenny Britt WR
16.12 222
16.13 223
16.14 224

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.82463.43076923076923684.196977016380610.000165.73846153846154141.2307692307692320.000268.04615384615386141.2307692307692330.324370.3538461538461118.8155913741035340.000472.66153846153844141.2307692307692350.000574.9692307692308141.2307692307692360.00063.43076923076923627.1631848019919610.080165.73846153846154135.6860262575291620.043268.04615384615386138.2402555637142430.000370.353846153846196.4004135174378440.555472.66153846153844102.7739580630379450.388574.9692307692308114.377925401233376Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234561265.2192307692307677.3254437869822510170.41153846153844141.2307692307692320275.6038461538461141.2307692307692335380.79615384615386114.6035502958579940485.9884615384615141.2307692307692350591.1807692307692141.230769230769236065.2192307692307613.4201183431952710170.41153846153844141.2307692307692320275.6038461538461141.2307692307692330380.7961538461538687.9763313609467446485.9884615384615109.2781065088757457591.1807692307692103.952662721893496All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Derrek 2-4 11th 91.24 0.369 19.17 3-10 14th
1 992 2019 Rob 3-3 10th 92.25 0.369 17.26 5-8 13th
2 979 2024 Derrek 2-4 11th 88.49 0.370 23.30 4-10 14th
3 979 2014 Pat 3-3 8th 89.54 0.367 14.33 5-8 11th
4 978 2014 Allen 2-4 12th 89.97 0.373 14.99 6-7 10th
5 978 2012 Dave 3-3 9th 88.67 0.366 21.91 6-7 7th
6 978 2013 Derrek 4-2 6th 90.18 0.361 20.52 7-6 7th
7 966 2023 Derrek 2-4 11th 89.64 0.359 15.27 5-9 12th
8 965 2024 Schertz 2-4 12th 88.28 0.379 20.60 7-7 7th
9 964 2018 Dave 2-4 13th 97.77 0.365 20.31 4-9 13th
10 964 2013 Allen 2-4 12th 89.86 0.380 14.75 4-9 14th