2014 Pat (through 6 weeks)

3-3 (0.500), 537.23 points (89.54 average)

8th place

2.20 expected wins (0.367)

29-49 all-play record (0.372)

+5.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.15 62.19 Mike R. 40.96
2 W 107.21 100.70 Richie 6.51
3 L 84.31 147.33 Pulley -63.02
4 L 97.37 124.36 Derrek -26.99
5 W 78.58 72.85 Kevin 5.73
6 L 66.61 111.37 Matt -44.76
7 Rob
8 Babel
9 Ed
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Allen
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.2307692307692310.0%194.3736263736264141.23076923076923227.3%268.088.6205346802004530.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692364.6%47.120879120879124132.43978996671004021.3%120.74725274725276100.24454440730315136.0%194.373626373626472.020.0%268.036.0103001296316739.5%341.6263736263736123.011392670826941.4%415.2527472527472138.6251114448946950.1%488.8791208791208141.129207191623956Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th129.207692307692395.786982248520726th246.66923076923075118.2721893491124138th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958548th481.59230769230766163.24260355029585512th599.053846153846253.1834319526627266th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd129.207692307692350.81656804733728425th246.6692307692307595.786982248520738th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958546th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124158th599.053846153846163.2426035502958567th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th129.207692307692395.786982248520726th246.66923076923075118.2721893491124138th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958549th481.59230769230766185.7278106508876512th599.053846153846253.183431952662726Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Calvin Johnson WR
2.11 25 Drew Brees K QB
3.04 32 Eddie Lacy K RB
4.11 53 Stevan Ridley RB
5.04 60 Reggie Wayne WR
6.11 81 Khiry Robinson RB
7.04 88 Cecil Shorts III WR
8.11 109 Delanie Walker TE
9.04 116 Chris Ivory RB
10.11 137 Donald Brown RB
11.04 144 James Starks RB
12.11 165 James Jones WR
13.04 172 Kansas City DEF
14.11 193 Nick Novak K
15.04 200 Stevie Johnson WR
16.11 221 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.55843.55897435897436102.571296748453210.651113.815384615384696.1820714059931820.000184.07179487179485141.2307692307692330.000254.32820512820513141.2307692307692340.202324.58461538461535127.2559845832555850.000394.8410256410256141.2307692307692360.00043.5589743589743663.9118242661371610.000113.815384615384651.1333735812171320.277184.07179487179485122.0437251164777630.456254.32820512820513109.6625476191142240.000324.58461538461535113.2811999357419250.057394.8410256410256137.291160687561446Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456745.347435897435886103.95266272189349111118.4884615384615282.650887573964520191.62948717948714141.2307692307692330264.7705128205128141.2307692307692343337.9115384615384125.2544378698224850411.05256410256413141.230769230769236045.34743589743588666.6745562130177510118.4884615384615224.07100591715975224191.62948717948714119.9289940828402333264.7705128205128125.2544378698224840337.9115384615384109.2781065088757451411.05256410256413135.905325443786986All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Pat 3-3 8th 89.54 0.367 14.33 5-8 11th
1 984 2014 Allen 2-4 12th 89.97 0.373 14.99 6-7 10th
2 982 2009 Dave 4-2 3rd 89.51 0.363 9.64 5-8 11th
3 981 2023 Derrek 2-4 11th 89.64 0.358 15.27 5-9 12th
4 980 2012 Dave 3-3 9th 88.67 0.366 21.91 6-7 7th
5 979 2016 Derrek 2-4 11th 91.24 0.369 19.17 3-10 14th
6 979 2019 Rob 3-3 10th 92.25 0.369 17.26 5-8 13th
7 974 2015 Rabbit 3-3 9th 88.66 0.374 10.43 5-8 11th
8 974 2013 Derrek 4-2 6th 90.18 0.361 20.52 7-6 7th
9 974 2024 Derrek 2-4 11th 88.49 0.369 23.30 4-10 14th
10 972 2013 Allen 2-4 12th 89.86 0.380 14.75 4-9 14th