2019 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

6-5 (0.545), 1,177.46 points

5th place

6.46 expected wins (0.587)

87-56 all-play record (0.608)

+4.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 111.03 121.30 Kevin -10.27
2 W 93.79 77.37 Richie 16.42
3 L 97.64 159.79 Schertz -62.15
4 W 101.63 66.55 Scott 35.08
5 W 119.53 99.98 Babel 19.55
6 L 116.85 117.07 Pulley -0.22
7 W 125.12 88.54 Rob 36.58
8 W 129.62 127.73 Ed 1.89
9 W 119.31 110.88 Matt 8.43
10 L 74.83 92.76 Pat -17.93 Slapped Heartbeat
11 L 88.11 92.78 Dave -4.67
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.23076923076923526.0%289.47435897435973.006550023675460.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2287910992869200.0%74.73076923076923141.1758028728556810.2%117.67948717948717140.5841817226673821.6%160.62820512820514137.012574293104336.4%203.57692307692307124.43458182764958416.1%246.5256410256410298.8589624742401250.0%289.4743589743594.782330816581577626.4%332.4230769230769671.99999999999999716.3%375.371794871794998.3460557786396885.8%418.3205128205129126.0277373267629591.0%461.26923076923083138.5427407537025100.1%504.21794871794873141.0662066293476511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958515th70.4769230769230995.786982248520727th129.2076923076923140.7573964497041537th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041545th246.6692307692307595.786982248520754th305.473.3017751479289964th364.130769230769273.3017751479289974th422.8615384615384373.3017751479289983rd481.5923076923076650.81656804733728494th540.323076923076973.30177514792899104th599.05384615384673.30177514792899119th11.746153846153845185.727810650887616th70.47692307692309118.2721893491124129th129.2076923076923185.727810650887637th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041547th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041555th305.495.786982248520764th364.130769230769273.3017751479289974th422.8615384615384373.3017751479289983rd481.5923076923076650.81656804733728494th540.323076923076973.30177514792899105th599.05384615384695.7869822485207118th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th70.47692307692309118.2721893491124127th129.2076923076923140.7573964497041537th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041547th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041555th305.495.786982248520764th364.130769230769273.3017751479289974th422.8615384615384373.3017751479289983rd481.5923076923076650.81656804733728494th540.323076923076973.30177514792899104th599.05384615384673.3017751479289911Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.14 14 Antonio Brown WR
2.01 15 Christian McCaffrey K RB
3.14 42 Mike Williams WR
4.01 43 Allen Robinson II WR
5.14 70 Cam Newton QB
6.01 71 Emmanuel Sanders WR
7.14 98 Donte Moncrief WR
8.01 99 Geronimo Allison WR
9.14 126 Austin Hooper TE
10.01 127 Jaylen Samuels RB
11.14 154 James Conner K RB
12.01 155 Jacksonville DEF
13.14 182 Ka'imi Fairbairn K
14.01 183 Darren Waller TE
15.14 210 Frank Gore RB
16.01 211 Nick Foles QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.38265.91328671328671114.8016008941813220.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.511142.55664335664335105.8352389567097340.794180.8783216783216486.2887972172279550.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.839257.521678321678383.1522751706599570.871295.843356643356780.902161528556880.789334.16503496503586.5956308956965690.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.67427.5916083916083994.5619423255667510.00065.9132867132867188.3724325575934120.443104.23496503496503110.5400220265617630.000142.5566433566433570.4397086826502540.000180.8783216783216431.34682520368667750.759219.1999999999999688.6525529624676160.000257.521678321678325.07378111055065570.000295.843356643356720.5735538263443880.000334.16503496503531.96049256062387790.106372.4867132867133133.85938159017607100.290410.8083916083916121.131466038885611Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231768.61958041958042103.9526627218934920108.5146853146853141.2307692307692339148.4097902097901793.3017751479289948188.3048951048950898.6272189349112450228.2141.23076923076923612268.0951048951048477.32544378698225711307.990209790209882.6508875739645812347.885314685314777.3254437869822590387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311628.724475524475523109.278106508875741068.6195804195804266.6745562130177526108.5146853146853109.2781065088757430148.4097902097901745.37278106508874540188.3048951048950856.02366863905324511228.282.650887573964560268.0951048951048413.4201183431952770307.990209790209824.07100591715975280347.885314685314713.4201183431952790387.7804195804196141.23076923076923105427.67552447552447114.6035502958579911All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Derrek 6-5 5th 107.04 0.587 16.36 7-6 6th 3rd place
1 983 2020 Ed 3-8 13th 105.84 0.582 17.36 4-9 13th
2 977 2014 Babel 6-5 5th 105.40 0.586 23.30 7-6 5th Blingabowl VII champion
3 976 2022 Scott 6-5 3rd 107.09 0.593 22.65 6-8 10th
4 974 2011 Rob 6-5 4th 109.19 0.587 24.82 7-6 4th 4th place
5 972 2023 Mike R. 5-6 9th 105.61 0.577 16.96 7-7 8th
6 970 2018 Scott 4-7 9th 113.37 0.588 17.89 6-7 8th
7 970 2023 Babel 8-3 1st 108.62 0.593 22.87 9-5 3rd 5th place
8 968 2009 Kevin 5-6 5th 103.97 0.581 13.00 6-7 6th 5th place
9 966 2021 Schertz 7-4 7th 107.65 0.581 25.43 9-5 7th
10 963 2017 Rob 7-4 4th 101.38 0.584 19.84 8-5 4th 5th place