2009 Matt (through 11 weeks)

8-3 (0.727), 1,153.89 points (104.90 average)

1st place

6.33 expected wins (0.575)

75-46 all-play record (0.620)

-6.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 116.27 79.52 Pat 36.75 Team Blangums
2 L 87.78 108.95 Mike R. -21.17
3 W 93.31 79.29 Derrek 14.02
4 W 109.17 105.50 Babel 3.67
5 W 95.19 81.24 Rob 13.95
6 W 101.57 100.86 Ed 0.71
7 W 133.67 109.55 Allen 24.12 Team Blangums
8 W 112.98 95.55 Pulley 17.43
9 L 93.80 114.48 Rabbit -20.68
10 L 75.09 110.15 Kevin -35.06
11 W 135.06 78.92 Dave 56.14 Team Blangums
12 Pat
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.23076923076923714.3%375.3717948717949104.8771463071838480.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.229917719708500.0%74.73076923076923141.1945969391208610.2%117.67948717948717140.655569367739221.7%160.62820512820514136.8132688274582237.3%203.57692307692307122.62745483461175418.1%246.5256410256410295.22504061704383527.3%289.47435897435972.0625.3%332.4230769230769676.9826863608143870.0%375.371794871794968.5235233835984384.7%418.3205128205129129.288284088279390.8%461.26923076923083139.21633779345956100.0%504.21794871794873141.106438332585611Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615386813rd70.4769230769230958.99300699300701526th129.2076923076923138.7132867132867537th187.93846153846152165.286713286713344th246.6692307692307585.5664335664335756th305.4138.7132867132867562nd364.130769230769232.4195804195804371st422.861538461538435.84615384615386882nd481.5923076923076632.4195804195804394th540.323076923076985.56643356643357103rd599.05384615384658.993006993007015111st11.7461538461538455.84615384615386815th70.47692307692309112.1398601398601624th129.207692307692385.5664335664335733rd187.9384615384615258.99300699300701542nd246.6692307692307532.4195804195804352nd305.432.4195804195804361st364.13076923076925.84615384615386871st422.861538461538435.84615384615386882nd481.5923076923076632.4195804195804391st540.32307692307695.846153846153868101st599.0538461538465.846153846153868111st11.7461538461538455.84615384615386815th70.47692307692309112.1398601398601626th129.2076923076923138.7132867132867537th187.93846153846152165.286713286713345th246.66923076923075112.1398601398601657th305.4165.286713286713362nd364.130769230769232.4195804195804371st422.861538461538435.84615384615386883rd481.5923076923076658.99300699300701594th540.323076923076985.56643356643357101st599.0538461538465.84615384615386811Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Steven Jackson RB
2.12 24 Wes Welker WR
3.01 25 Pierre Thomas RB
4.12 48 Chad Ochocinco WR
5.01 49 Eddie Royal WR
6.12 72 Larry Johnson RB
7.01 73 Kevin Smith K RB
8.12 96 Philadelphia DEF
9.01 97 Chris Chambers WR
10.12 120 Aaron Rodgers K QB
11.01 121 Kevin Boss TE
12.12 144 Ricky Williams RB
13.01 145 Steve Smith WR
14.12 168 Kyle Orton QB
15.01 169 Earl Bennett WR
16.12 192 Neil Rackers K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.82127.5916083916083984.4043684075469710.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.385104.23496503496503114.5562964192545130.693142.5566433566433593.2632686214093440.434180.87832167832164111.172426195974950.547219.19999999999996103.3481504666244260.933257.521678321678376.6345925918155570.749295.843356643356789.3938013969630180.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.937410.808391608391676.36141097552473110.00027.5916083916083927.57796758432469610.30865.91328671328671119.9119733041319920.000104.2349650349650387.8818236077397930.000142.5566433566433545.29576801204943640.000180.8783216783216481.1140831611805650.000219.1999999999999665.465531702479660.000257.521678321678312.03841595286186870.000295.843356643356737.556833563156880.402334.165034965035113.392652927267290.116372.4867132867133133.18596864181157100.000410.808391608391611.49205272028024211Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111128.72447552447552372.01068.61958041958042141.2307692307692322108.5146853146853128.6433566433566439148.4097902097901784.5874125874125946188.30489510489508103.4685314685314756228.2103.46853146853147611268.0951048951048472.0710307.990209790209878.293706293706380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.230769230769231011427.6755244755244772.011028.7244755244755232.76923076923077361368.61958041958042122.3496503496503520108.5146853146853116.0559440559440530148.4097902097901727.94405594405594740188.3048951048950865.7062937062937250228.265.7062937062937260268.095104895104842.769230769230773670307.990209790209815.3566433566433685347.8853146853147109.7622377622377691387.7804195804196134.93706293706293100427.675524475524472.769230769230773611All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Matt 8-3 1st 104.90 0.575 17.82 9-4 2nd Blingabowl II champion
1 994 2023 Mike R. 5-6 9th 105.61 0.576 16.96 7-7 8th
2 992 2016 Rob 7-4 4th 104.82 0.574 20.19 8-5 4th 5th place
3 987 2020 Matt 7-4 2nd 105.75 0.573 20.62 8-5 2nd 2nd place
4 986 2016 Schertz 5-6 7th 105.57 0.572 20.80 7-6 5th 4th place
5 984 2020 Ed 3-8 13th 105.84 0.581 17.36 4-9 13th
6 982 2011 Allen 6-5 6th 104.56 0.569 15.54 7-6 5th 5th place
7 976 2016 Dave 5-6 8th 105.22 0.566 20.42 6-7 8th
8 971 2014 Babel 6-5 5th 105.40 0.583 23.30 7-6 5th Blingabowl VII champion
9 971 2019 Derrek 6-5 5th 107.04 0.584 16.36 7-6 6th 3rd place
10 969 2009 Rabbit 8-3 2nd 103.38 0.585 15.62 10-3 1st 2nd place