2023 Derrek (through 10 weeks)

3-7 (0.300), 889.59 points (88.96 average)

12th place

3.49 expected wins (0.349)

48-82 all-play record (0.369)

+2.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 63.20 83.70 Dave -20.50
2 L 88.68 99.99 Pat -11.31
3 L 97.50 102.60 Ed -5.10
4 L 82.01 123.59 Mike R. -41.58
5 W 113.48 102.03 Richie 11.45
6 W 92.96 66.01 Schertz 26.95
7 L 108.07 110.92 Matt -2.85
8 L 61.10 123.92 Kevin -62.82 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 92.49 123.32 Pulley -30.83
10 W 90.10 70.05 Dave 20.05
11 Rob
12 Babel
13 Scott
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.23076923076923227.8%174.2937062937062672.030.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.7%33.73426573426574139.4500520338767705.5%80.5874125874126127.52802347638823117.0%127.4405594405594498.90489816415220.0%174.293706293706262.7692307692307736326.7%221.1468531468531574.77985688277403415.6%268.0102.410647366648455.5%314.8531468531468127.5401164049501161.1%361.7062937062937138.4803340893145770.1%408.5594405594406140.9587898597371880.0%455.41258741258747141.2216447171019590.0%502.2657342657343141.230675028636610Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th77.0025641025641275.6686390532544211th142.2589743589743230.698224852071312th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272610th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272912th599.053846153846253.183431952662721012th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th77.0025641025641275.6686390532544212th142.2589743589743253.18343195266272312th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544912th599.053846153846253.183431952662721012th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th77.0025641025641275.6686390532544211th142.2589743589743230.698224852071312th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272913th599.053846153846275.668639053254410Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Jonathan Taylor RB
2.04 18 Josh Jacobs RB
3.11 39 Hollywood Brown WR
4.04 46 Patrick Mahomes II K QB
5.11 67 Skyy Moore WR
6.04 74 Dallas Goedert TE
7.11 95 D.J. Chark, Jr. WR
8.04 102 Allen Lazard WR
9.11 123 Alexander Mattison K RB
10.04 130 Elijah Moore WR
11.11 151 Michael Gallup WR
12.04 158 Ty Chandler RB
13.11 179 Kyler Murray QB
14.04 186 Kenyan Drake RB
15.11 207 Cincinnati DEF
16.04 214 Brett Maher K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.721198.1230769230769291.349446361288950.396240.27692307692305113.8132372548391560.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.337408.89230769230767117.92498920956392100.02829.507692307692306139.292075212627710.30971.66153846153847119.8053264789029120.461113.8153846153846109.304611778818830.199155.96923076923073127.4380758308666840.000198.1230769230769241.46812349180855550.000240.2769230769230586.3957052789090960.632282.430769230769297.5004821624985170.020324.58461538461535139.8376633884550480.389366.73846153846154114.2928868563664890.000408.8923076923076794.6192091883586110Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692348206.257692307692398.6272189349112458250.1423076923076798.6272189349112460294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692393425.6807692307692125.2544378698224810230.719230769230762130.579881656804731274.60384615384615130.5798816568047324118.48846153846154119.9289940828402333162.3730769230769125.2544378698224840206.257692307692356.0236686390532450250.1423076923076756.0236686390532469294.02692307692393.3017751479289970337.9115384615384141.2307692307692389381.7961538461538693.3017751479289990425.6807692307692109.2781065088757410All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Derrek 3-7 12th 88.96 0.349 15.99 5-9 12th
1 991 2016 Mike R. 2-8 14th 88.92 0.345 16.47 5-8 11th
2 986 2023 Richie 2-8 14th 89.46 0.346 13.79 4-10 13th
3 985 2016 Derrek 2-8 13th 89.70 0.355 16.78 3-10 14th
4 978 2016 Richie 4-6 12th 89.21 0.340 17.63 5-8 12th
5 976 2014 Richie 3-7 14th 88.77 0.356 20.68 6-7 9th
6 975 2022 Pulley 5-5 10th 87.19 0.341 15.14 7-7 8th
7 975 2016 Pat 6-4 5th 89.05 0.360 18.07 7-6 7th
8 974 2020 Pat 4-6 12th 90.14 0.358 18.12 5-8 12th
9 973 2022 Richie 4-6 12th 88.83 0.360 12.89 6-8 13th
10 972 2011 Pulley 4-6 10th 90.97 0.359 16.04 5-8 10th