2023 Derrek (through 10 weeks)

3-7 (0.300), 889.59 points

12th place

3.47 expected wins (0.347)

48-82 all-play record (0.369)

+2.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 63.20 83.70 Dave -20.50
2 L 88.68 99.99 Pat -11.31
3 L 97.50 102.60 Ed -5.10
4 L 82.01 123.59 Mike R. -41.58
5 W 113.48 102.03 Richie 11.45
6 W 92.96 66.01 Schertz 26.95
7 L 108.07 110.92 Matt -2.85
8 L 61.10 123.92 Kevin -62.82 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 92.49 123.32 Pulley -30.83
10 W 90.10 70.05 Dave 20.05
11 Rob
12 Babel
13 Scott
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.23076923076923228.1%174.2937062937062672.0000000000000130.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.7%33.73426573426574139.440418782496705.6%80.5874125874126127.36098448894757117.4%127.4405594405594498.4779328269356720.0%174.293706293706262.769230769230802326.6%221.1468531468531575.79032406755383415.2%268.0103.7122826969363755.3%314.8531468531468128.2872973495943561.0%361.7062937062937138.7038863381431270.1%408.5594405594406140.993667769797380.0%455.41258741258747141.224195689235590.0%502.2657342657343141.2307157152404510Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th77.0025641025641275.6686390532544211th142.2589743589743230.698224852071312th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272610th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272912th599.053846153846253.183431952662721012th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th77.0025641025641275.6686390532544212th142.2589743589743253.18343195266272312th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544912th599.053846153846253.183431952662721012th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th77.0025641025641275.6686390532544211th142.2589743589743230.698224852071312th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272913th599.053846153846275.668639053254410Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Jonathan Taylor RB
2.04 18 Josh Jacobs RB
3.11 39 Hollywood Brown WR
4.04 46 Patrick Mahomes II K QB
5.11 67 Skyy Moore WR
6.04 74 Dallas Goedert TE
7.11 95 D.J. Chark, Jr. WR
8.04 102 Allen Lazard WR
9.11 123 Alexander Mattison K RB
10.04 130 Elijah Moore WR
11.11 151 Michael Gallup WR
12.04 158 Ty Chandler RB
13.11 179 Kyler Murray QB
14.04 186 Kenyan Drake RB
15.11 207 Cincinnati DEF
16.04 214 Brett Maher K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.728198.1230769230769290.861504549291850.380240.27692307692305114.9081735729798860.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.332408.89230769230767118.26061561550728100.02229.507692307692306139.70488047736910.31171.66153846153847119.681141904713820.455113.8153846153846109.7033652493271630.210155.96923076923073126.7042238785508640.000198.1230769230769240.4922398678143850.000240.2769230769230588.5855779151905160.641282.430769230769296.8845360155274970.015324.58461538461535140.182177310542480.372366.73846153846154115.4650198783488490.000408.8923076923076795.2904620002453310Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692348206.257692307692398.6272189349112458250.1423076923076798.6272189349112460294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692393425.6807692307692125.2544378698224810230.719230769230762130.579881656804731274.60384615384615130.5798816568047324118.48846153846154119.9289940828402333162.3730769230769125.2544378698224840206.257692307692356.0236686390532450250.1423076923076756.0236686390532469294.02692307692393.3017751479289970337.9115384615384141.2307692307692389381.7961538461538693.3017751479289990425.6807692307692109.2781065088757410All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Derrek 3-7 12th 88.96 0.347 15.99 5-9 12th
1 997 2016 Mike R. 2-8 14th 88.92 0.345 16.47 5-8 11th
2 991 2023 Richie 2-8 14th 89.46 0.345 13.79 4-10 13th
3 986 2022 Pulley 5-5 10th 87.19 0.344 15.14 7-7 8th
4 982 2016 Derrek 2-8 13th 89.70 0.353 16.78 3-10 14th
5 980 2016 Richie 4-6 12th 89.21 0.338 17.63 5-8 12th
6 976 2014 Richie 3-7 14th 88.77 0.353 20.68 6-7 9th
7 971 2016 Pat 6-4 5th 89.05 0.359 18.07 7-6 7th
8 969 2015 Derrek 5-5 9th 85.59 0.353 18.60 7-6 7th
9 967 2020 Pat 4-6 12th 90.14 0.359 18.12 5-8 12th
10 965 2022 Richie 4-6 12th 88.83 0.361 12.89 6-8 13th