2016 Pat (through 10 weeks)

6-4 (0.600), 890.52 points

5th place

3.59 expected wins (0.359)

48-82 all-play record (0.369)

-35.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.17 99.16 Ed 21.01
2 W 99.38 83.87 Mike R. 15.51
3 L 91.12 105.43 Babel -14.31
4 L 59.62 70.22 Kevin -10.60 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 71.45 109.18 Matt -37.73
6 L 63.16 69.91 Dave -6.75 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 89.78 70.14 Allen 19.64
8 W 96.60 74.36 Rob 22.24
9 W 94.28 86.16 Schertz 8.12
10 W 104.96 104.88 Derrek 0.08
11 Pulley
12 Richie
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692355.9%314.8531468531468126.7572008183665160.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.4%33.73426573426574140.125920549444904.4%80.5874125874126130.51115835949122115.4%127.44055944055944103.37876062603397227.6%174.2937062937062673.40889588682076328.2%221.1468531468531571.99999999999999417.0%268.099.5659199710774350.0%314.8531468531468112.283632405963861.1%361.7062937062937138.5698758256531370.1%408.5594405594406141.0182983469555380.0%455.41258741258747141.2247636500901390.0%502.2657342657343141.230718841588810Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th77.002564102564173.3017751479289928th142.2589743589743163.24260355029585310th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272513th338.0282051282051275.6686390532544613th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544714th468.5410256410256298.15384615384613813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544911th599.053846153846230.698224852071103rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th77.002564102564173.3017751479289927th142.2589743589743140.75739644970415310th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071513th338.0282051282051275.6686390532544612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272710th468.5410256410256208.213017751479387th533.7974358974359140.7573964497041595th599.05384615384695.7869822485207103rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728415th77.002564102564195.786982248520729th142.2589743589743185.7278106508876311th207.5153846153846230.698224852071412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272514th338.0282051282051298.15384615384613614th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613714th468.5410256410256298.15384615384613814th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613913th599.053846153846275.668639053254410Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.07 21 Eddie Lacy RB
3.08 36 Michael Floyd WR
4.07 49 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
5.08 64 Mike Wallace K WR
6.07 77 Julius Thomas TE
7.08 92 Matthew Stafford K QB
8.07 105 Willie Snead WR
9.08 120 Kenneth Dixon RB
10.07 133 Ted Ginn, Jr. WR
11.08 148 Sammie Coates WR
12.07 161 Devontae Booker RB
13.08 176 Victor Cruz WR
14.07 189 Graham Gano K
15.08 204 New England DEF
16.07 217 Charles Clay TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.82029.50769230769230684.4410504138015610.49471.66153846153847107.0558289379694420.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.334282.4307692307692118.101841362839470.449324.58461538461535110.1468941432828580.412366.73846153846154112.6811130432272890.592408.89230769230767100.21457432915082100.00029.50769230769230627.651331596833910.00071.6615384615384772.8808886451696620.352113.8153846153846116.8517782283376530.015155.96923076923073140.2165946332065740.093198.12307692307692134.7845021032808350.029240.27692307692305139.2392725462324860.000282.430769230769294.9729134949095570.000324.5846153846153579.0630190557964780.000366.7384615384615484.1314568556853490.000408.8923076923076759.19837942753241610Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101130.71923076923076282.65088757396451674.60384615384615109.2781065088757420118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692366294.026923076923109.2781065088757477337.9115384615384103.9526627218934986381.79615384615386109.2781065088757498425.680769230769298.6272189349112410030.71923076923076224.0710059171597521074.6038461538461577.3254437869822523118.48846153846154125.2544378698224830162.3730769230769141.2307692307692341206.2576923076923135.9053254437869850250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.02692307692377.3254437869822570337.911538461538466.6745562130177580381.7961538461538677.3254437869822590425.680769230769256.0236686390532410All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Pat 6-4 5th 89.05 0.359 18.07 7-6 7th
1 995 2020 Pat 4-6 12th 90.14 0.359 18.12 5-8 12th
2 985 2022 Richie 4-6 12th 88.83 0.361 12.89 6-8 13th
3 985 2014 Allen 4-6 11th 88.69 0.364 16.03 6-7 10th
4 985 2021 Pulley 2-8 11th 90.11 0.363 16.69 5-9 10th
5 984 2011 Pulley 4-6 10th 90.97 0.361 16.04 5-8 10th
6 983 2016 Derrek 2-8 13th 89.70 0.353 16.78 3-10 14th
7 982 2014 Richie 3-7 14th 88.77 0.353 20.68 6-7 9th
8 972 2015 Derrek 5-5 9th 85.59 0.353 18.60 7-6 7th
9 971 2023 Derrek 3-7 12th 88.96 0.347 15.99 5-9 12th
10 969 2016 Mike R. 2-8 14th 88.92 0.345 16.47 5-8 11th