2024 Derrek (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 705.38 points

12th place

2.71 expected wins (0.339)

28-76 all-play record (0.269)

-15.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 75.23 90.24 Pat -15.01 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 90.67 84.50 Ed 6.17
3 L 50.69 88.17 Pulley -37.48 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 104.27 53.28 Scott 50.99
5 L 125.68 158.20 Richie -32.52
6 L 84.40 101.54 Dave -17.14
7 L 80.96 110.79 Babel -29.83
8 W 93.48 89.72 Pat 3.76
9 Rob
10 Kevin
11 Mike R.
12 Schertz
13 Matt
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923232.7%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692381.3%38.940170940170944138.45144358268197012.1%96.20512820512818115.63728524694211130.2%153.4700854700854877.3336527157648620.0%210.735042735042732.7692307692307736317.9%268.0103.3277431450229945.1%325.2649572649573130.399088574930550.7%382.52991452991455139.7103106352930760.0%439.79487179487177141.1493295201190470.0%497.05982905982904141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th95.64725274725272253.18343195266272214th179.54835164835166298.15384615384613313th263.44945054945055275.6686390532544411th347.3505494505494230.698224852071513th431.2516483516483275.6686390532544613th515.1527472527472275.6686390532544713th599.053846153846275.6686390532544814th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th95.64725274725272208.2130177514793212th179.54835164835166253.18343195266272311th263.44945054945055230.698224852071411th347.3505494505494230.698224852071511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071613th515.1527472527472275.6686390532544712th599.053846153846253.18343195266272814th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th95.64725274725272253.18343195266272214th179.54835164835166298.15384615384613313th263.44945054945055275.6686390532544412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272512th431.2516483516483253.18343195266272613th515.1527472527472275.6686390532544713th599.053846153846275.66863905325448Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Travis Etienne, Jr. RB
2.10 24 D.J. Moore WR
3.05 33 Rachaad White RB
4.10 52 Zay Flowers WR
5.05 61 Jayden Reed WR
6.10 80 David Njoku TE
7.05 89 Ladd McConkey WR
8.10 108 C.J. Stroud K QB
9.05 117 Tank Dell K WR
10.10 136 Jaleel McLaughlin RB
11.05 145 Adonai Mitchell WR
12.10 164 Cleveland DEF
13.05 173 Tank Bigsby RB
14.10 192 Ricky Pearsall WR
15.05 201 Bryce Young QB
16.10 220 Matt Gay K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076139.826855811791110.34087.46923076923076116.5234799670431420.000140.16153846153844139.826855811791130.572192.85384615384618100.651163081369140.000245.54615384615386139.826855811791150.000298.2384615384615139.826855811791160.000350.93076923076916139.826855811791170.388403.6230769230769113.2162785748474280.12534.776923076923076131.2371514670159610.00087.4692307692307693.22010412229522-0.010140.16153846153844140.5288125212801430.000192.8538461538461861.47547035094710640.857245.5461538461538681.0666813677202550.247298.2384615384615122.9129030648906860.192350.93076923076916126.6700638301742670.000403.623076923076986.605701337903758Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231491.06057692307692119.9289940828402320145.91634615384615141.2307692307692337200.77211538461538103.9526627218934940255.6278846153846141.2307692307692350310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692373420.1951923076923125.254437869822488036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.0605769230769298.6272189349112420145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.7721153846153866.6745562130177549255.627884615384693.3017751479289953310.48365384615386125.2544378698224862365.3394230769231130.5798816568047370420.1951923076923109.278106508875748All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Derrek 3-5 12th 88.17 0.339 20.43 4-10 14th
1 992 2023 Derrek 2-6 13th 88.38 0.338 17.82 5-9 12th
2 969 2022 Pat 3-5 12th 88.28 0.350 15.77 8-6 6th 6th place
3 963 2013 Richie 4-4 10th 85.06 0.329 23.03 6-7 10th
4 963 2016 Pat 4-4 10th 86.41 0.325 19.13 7-6 7th
5 960 2022 Pulley 3-5 13th 87.26 0.327 13.88 7-7 8th
6 956 2015 Pat 2-6 13th 81.95 0.330 20.57 6-7 9th
7 956 2017 Mike R. 3-5 12th 82.70 0.342 12.09 3-10 14th
8 953 2011 Pat 3-5 12th 84.99 0.326 24.41 5-8 11th
9 952 2011 Pulley 3-5 11th 88.16 0.319 16.61 5-8 10th
10 949 2016 Derrek 2-6 13th 89.98 0.357 16.89 3-10 14th