2021 Ed (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 1,121.31 points

9th place

5.93 expected wins (0.539)

78-65 all-play record (0.545)

+7.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 109.60 127.82 Dave -18.22
2 W 92.03 75.92 Rob 16.11
3 L 80.16 100.35 Matt -20.19
4 L 106.49 130.98 Derrek -24.49
5 L 99.24 137.65 Kevin -38.41
6 W 125.74 91.28 Pat 34.46
7 L 113.70 123.50 Richie -9.80
8 W 113.83 104.34 Schertz 9.49 Team Blangums
9 L 87.10 96.45 Dave -9.35
10 L 75.84 82.07 Rabbit -6.23
11 W 117.58 68.21 Mike R. 49.37
12 Pulley
13 Scott
14 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923311.3%203.57692307692307112.5091434502026140.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.221682731433500.1%74.73076923076923141.030157989920410.7%117.67948717948717139.3838123597208823.7%160.62820512820514131.8852251416073230.0%203.5769230769230783.787517669636422.0%246.5256410256410285.41477022262853527.3%289.47435897435972.0621.4%332.4230769230769687.07344702300603710.2%375.3717948717949115.3209739705362382.8%418.3205128205129134.0642873306756590.4%461.26923076923083140.2034475384947100.0%504.21794871794873141.1727709313399811Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th70.47692307692309140.75739644970415210th129.2076923076923208.213017751479339th187.93846153846152185.7278106508876410th246.66923076923075208.213017751479358th305.4163.2426035502958569th364.1307692307692185.727810650887678th422.86153846153843163.2426035502958588th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958598th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585107th599.053846153846140.75739644970415118th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th70.47692307692309118.2721893491124129th129.2076923076923185.7278106508876311th187.93846153846152230.698224852071411th246.66923076923075230.69822485207159th305.4185.727810650887669th364.1307692307692185.727810650887679th422.86153846153843185.727810650887689th481.59230769230766185.727810650887699th540.3230769230769185.7278106508876109th599.053846153846185.7278106508876115th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th70.47692307692309140.75739644970415210th129.2076923076923208.213017751479339th187.93846153846152185.7278106508876410th246.66923076923075208.213017751479359th305.4185.7278106508876610th364.1307692307692208.213017751479378th422.86153846153843163.2426035502958589th481.59230769230766185.727810650887699th540.3230769230769185.7278106508876108th599.053846153846163.2426035502958511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2
5
7
7
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Aaron Jones RB
2.12 26 Robert Woods WR
3.03 31 Josh Jacobs RB
4.12 54 DeVonta Smith WR
5.03 59 Brandin Cooks WR
6.12 82 Jalen Hurts QB
7.03 87 Tyler Higbee TE
8.12 110 Jamaal Williams RB
9.03 115 Mike Davis K RB
10.12 138 A.J. Brown K WR
11.03 143 Justin Tucker K
12.12 166 David Johnson RB
13.03 171 A.J. Green WR
14.12 194 Gerald Everett TE
15.03 199 Sam Darnold QB
16.12 222 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.37265.91328671328671115.4447118869311920.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.866219.1999999999999681.2838956840926760.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.743295.843356643356789.8070534193318280.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.789410.808391608391686.5796176902546110.67727.5916083916083994.3527375447926910.00065.9132867132867189.6586545430931520.191104.23496503496503128.0248927041441830.623142.5566433566433598.0915627379842840.492180.87832167832164107.1602025682787350.000219.1999999999999621.337022137416160.740257.521678321678389.9661523637229570.000295.843356643356738.38333760789440480.296334.165034965035120.7404338930931190.139372.4867132867133131.58189053231732100.000410.808391608391631.9284661497399611Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231568.61958041958042114.6035502958579920108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.23076923076923510228.287.9763313609467460268.09510489510484141.23076923076923713307.990209790209872.080347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.230769230769231010427.6755244755244787.9763313609467411928.72447552447552393.301775147928991068.6195804195804287.9763313609467423108.5146853146853125.2544378698224837148.40979020979017103.9526627218934942188.30489510489508130.5798816568047350228.234.72189349112425611268.0951048951048482.650887573964570307.99020979020982.769230769230773685347.8853146853147114.6035502958579993387.7804195804196125.25443786982248100427.6755244755244734.7218934911242511All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Ed 4-7 9th 101.94 0.539 15.53 6-8 8th
1 987 2009 Allen 5-6 7th 100.88 0.535 16.46 6-7 7th
2 980 2012 Rob 2-9 13th 98.33 0.539 13.47 3-10 13th
3 979 2020 Babel 7-4 4th 102.06 0.530 16.74 8-5 3rd 3rd place
4 979 2009 Mike R. 5-6 6th 103.08 0.545 17.96 5-8 10th
5 978 2022 Ed 5-6 10th 102.57 0.544 20.14 7-7 7th
6 977 2020 Pulley 7-4 3rd 102.38 0.530 16.91 8-5 4th 4th place
7 976 2012 Ed 8-3 4th 101.23 0.539 25.59 8-5 4th 4th place
8 967 2011 Matt 6-5 7th 104.05 0.547 20.06 7-6 6th 2nd place
9 967 2014 Matt 6-5 6th 102.50 0.550 19.86 7-6 6th 4th place
10 962 2013 Rabbit 4-7 11th 102.82 0.536 29.81 5-8 11th