2025 Dave (through 11 weeks)

7-4 (0.636), 1,128.97 points (102.63 average)

4th place

6.01 expected wins (0.547)

74-69 all-play record (0.517)

+9.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.32 118.21 Rob -32.89
2 L 78.93 112.40 Schertz -33.47
3 W 106.31 87.69 Ed 18.62
4 L 96.29 121.85 Pulley -25.56
5 W 118.22 102.91 Scott 15.31
6 W 117.55 114.40 Derrek 3.15
7 W 108.99 69.40 Matt 39.59
8 W 86.67 84.15 Pat 2.52
9 W 133.48 133.47 Mike R. 0.01 Team Blangums
10 L 103.30 106.55 Rob -3.25
11 W 93.91 77.15 Babel 16.76
12 Richie
13 Rabbit
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%43.64102564102564141.2307692307692300.0%102.61538461538461141.2307692307692310.0%161.5897435897436141.2307692307692320.0%220.5641025641026141.2307692307692330.0%279.53846153846155141.2307692307692340.0%338.51282051282055141.2307692307692350.0%397.4871794871795141.23076923076923621.8%456.461538461538584.8528318609422570.0%515.4358974358973141.2307692307692380.0%574.4102564102564141.2307692307692390.0%633.3846153846154141.23076923076923100.0%692.3589743589743141.23076923076923110.0%43.64102564102564141.2251476753194800.1%102.61538461538461141.0719019582425610.6%161.5897435897436139.580410963634423.4%220.5641025641026132.386143621014310.8%279.53846153846155113.38348192375142421.2%338.5128205128205586.44039330229703526.8%397.487179487179571.9999999999999960.0%456.461538461538528.474894491115265711.2%515.4358974358973112.1897143545576483.5%574.4102564102564132.210990738059290.6%633.3846153846154139.70757708684272100.0%692.3589743589743141.1245603090238211Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272313th187.93846153846152275.6686390532544411th246.66923076923075230.69822485207158th305.4163.2426035502958566th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124177th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041586th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124195th540.323076923076995.7869822485207106th599.053846153846118.272189349112411110th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th70.47692307692309253.18343195266272211th129.2076923076923230.698224852071314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613411th246.66923076923075230.69822485207157th305.4140.7573964497041565th364.130769230769295.786982248520774th422.8615384615384373.3017751479289983rd481.5923076923076650.81656804733728494th540.323076923076973.30177514792899104th599.05384615384673.301775147928991110th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th70.47692307692309253.18343195266272212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272313th187.93846153846152275.6686390532544411th246.66923076923075230.69822485207157th305.4140.7573964497041566th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124177th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041585th481.5923076923076695.786982248520795th540.323076923076995.7869822485207106th599.053846153846118.2721893491124111Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
6
7
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ashton Jeanty T RB
2.01 15 Justin Jefferson K WR
3.14 42 DeVonta Smith WR
4.01 43 Sam LaPorta TE
5.14 70 Quinshon Judkins RB
7.14 98 Tank Bigsby RB
8.01 99 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.14 112 Jayden Daniels K T QB
9.14 126 Tyler Allgeier RB
10.01 127 Luther Burden III WR
11.14 154 Cameron Dicker K
12.01 155 Buffalo DEF
13.14 182 Dylan Sampson RB
14.01 183 Isaiah Likely TE
15.14 210 Tua Tagovailoa QB
16.01 211 Tahj Brooks RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00040.17902097902099141.2307692307692310.00095.98321678321679141.2307692307692320.614151.7874125874125898.7548671729790330.000207.5916083916084141.2307692307692340.798263.395804195804286.0004573281099250.783319.287.0508076069235160.663375.004195804195895.3530796405696670.285430.80839160839156121.5096156506813180.929486.612587412587476.8905000721323190.000542.4167832167833141.23076923076923100.437598.2209790209789110.97101871910652110.27040.17902097902099122.5216671682710810.19195.98321678321679128.0255070587302620.000151.7874125874125856.2789651151888530.478207.5916083916084108.1057203959746640.000263.395804195804230.77014542545059350.000319.232.87084598307781460.000375.004195804195849.47539005037009570.000430.80839160839156101.788462070593480.000486.612587412587412.55023091349539890.567542.4167832167833101.98142301783966100.000598.220979020978980.7112682074438111Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011041.31188811188811141.230769230769231098.68951048951048141.2307692307692327156.06713286713284103.9526627218934930213.44475524475524141.2307692307692348270.8223776223776498.62721893491124510328.287.9763313609467469385.5776223776223393.3017751479289975442.95524475524473114.60355029585799813500.3328671328671472.090557.7104895104894141.23076923076923106615.0881118881118109.2781065088757411441.31188811188811119.928994082840231198.68951048951048135.9053254437869820156.0671328671328466.6745562130177534213.44475524475524119.9289940828402340270.8223776223776456.0236686390532450328.234.7218934911242560385.5776223776223345.37278106508874570442.9552447552447387.9763313609467480500.332867132867142.769230769230773697557.7104895104894103.95266272189349100615.088111888111877.3254437869822511All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Dave 7-4 4th 102.63 0.547 15.68 7-7 7th
1 990 2022 Ed 5-6 10th 102.57 0.547 20.14 7-7 7th
2 990 2009 Mike R. 5-6 6th 103.08 0.545 17.96 5-8 10th
3 980 2011 Matt 6-5 7th 104.05 0.549 20.06 7-6 6th 2nd place
4 980 2009 Allen 5-6 7th 100.88 0.541 16.46 6-7 7th
5 980 2021 Ed 4-7 9th 101.94 0.538 15.53 6-8 8th
6 978 2014 Matt 6-5 6th 102.50 0.554 19.86 7-6 6th 4th place
7 969 2014 Rob 7-4 3rd 101.93 0.560 16.30 8-5 3rd 5th place
8 968 2012 Rob 2-9 13th 98.33 0.542 13.47 3-10 13th
9 967 2013 Dave 5-6 8th 100.60 0.553 21.44 7-6 5th 4th place
10 966 2013 Mike R. 7-4 3rd 99.63 0.552 21.19 7-6 6th 5th place