2009 Allen (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,109.67 points

7th place

5.89 expected wins (0.535)

64-57 all-play record (0.529)

+10.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 101.19 82.27 Mike R. 18.92
2 L 96.95 113.43 Derrek -16.48
3 W 107.45 98.81 Babel 8.64
4 L 101.62 118.20 Rob -16.58
5 L 65.14 78.27 Ed -13.13 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 82.35 85.04 Pulley -2.69 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 109.55 133.67 Matt -24.12
8 W 111.64 108.57 Rabbit 3.07
9 L 89.74 94.23 Kevin -4.49
10 W 128.82 110.58 Dave 18.24
11 W 115.22 105.32 Pat 9.90
12 Mike R.
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923422.2%246.5256410256410284.201520972674350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2204249390604800.1%74.73076923076923140.9959709572937610.8%117.67948717948717139.1112777014433824.0%160.62820512820514130.91385180817772311.8%203.57692307692307110.8325912748960640.0%246.5256410256410227.172272714579393526.9%289.47435897435972.0621.0%332.4230769230769687.39437651511591710.0%375.3717948717949115.4364912607083882.7%418.3205128205129134.226347445107990.4%461.26923076923083140.32954648396628100.0%504.21794871794873141.1979210766463711Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th70.47692307692309165.286713286713322nd129.207692307692332.4195804195804336th187.93846153846152138.7132867132867548th246.66923076923075191.860139860139959th305.4218.4335664335664569th364.1307692307692218.4335664335664576th422.86153846153843138.7132867132867587th481.59230769230766165.286713286713396th540.3230769230769138.71328671328675105th599.053846153846112.13986013986016116th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th70.47692307692309165.286713286713322nd129.207692307692332.4195804195804338th187.93846153846152191.8601398601399410th246.66923076923075245.006993006993511th305.4271.5804195804196611th364.1307692307692271.580419580419679th422.86153846153843218.43356643356645810th481.59230769230766245.006993006993910th540.3230769230769245.006993006993107th599.053846153846165.2867132867133116th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th70.47692307692309165.286713286713322nd129.207692307692332.4195804195804336th187.93846153846152138.7132867132867548th246.66923076923075191.860139860139959th305.4218.4335664335664569th364.1307692307692218.4335664335664577th422.86153846153843165.286713286713388th481.59230769230766191.860139860139997th540.3230769230769165.2867132867133106th599.053846153846138.7132867132867511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Peyton Manning K QB
2.05 17 Terrell Owens WR
3.08 32 Roy Williams WR
4.05 41 Jonathan Stewart RB
5.08 56 Owen Daniels TE
6.05 65 Jerricho Cotchery WR
7.08 80 LenDale White RB
8.05 89 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
9.08 104 DeAngelo Williams K RB
10.05 113 Bobby Engram WR
11.08 128 New York DEF
12.05 137 Jason Campbell QB
13.08 152 Robbie Gould K
14.05 161 Nate Washington WR
15.08 176 Isaac Bruce WR
16.05 185 Bo Scaife TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.53527.59160839160839104.202728328795310.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.652104.2349650349650396.0886821648476330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.715295.843356643356791.7589180353461480.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.897372.486713286713379.13328037687853100.771410.808391608391687.86099389776342110.00027.5916083916083967.1746874268213810.46465.91328671328671109.1347956049203620.000104.2349650349650350.94659509892602530.543142.55664335664335103.6686104440536640.054180.87832167832164137.4998645477962850.233219.19999999999996125.0901468852880560.684257.521678321678393.861296943371870.000295.843356643356742.2870668399230480.343334.165034965035117.4761259751410790.000372.486713286713317.03579152298785100.000410.808391608391634.4912185647576311Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011628.724475524475523103.468531468531471068.61958041958042141.2307692307692329108.514685314685384.5874125874125930148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692379307.990209790209884.5874125874125980347.8853146853147141.23076923076923910387.780419580419678.2937062937063108427.6755244755244790.8811188811188811028.72447552447552365.706293706293721568.61958041958042109.7622377622377620108.514685314685327.94405594405594736148.40979020979017103.4685314685314740188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692368268.0951048951048490.8811188811188870307.990209790209827.94405594405594783347.8853146853147122.3496503496503590387.780419580419615.35664335664336100427.6755244755244740.5314685314685311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Allen 5-6 7th 100.88 0.535 16.46 6-7 7th
1 987 2021 Ed 4-7 9th 101.94 0.539 15.53 6-8 8th
2 983 2020 Babel 7-4 4th 102.06 0.530 16.74 8-5 3rd 3rd place
3 982 2020 Pulley 7-4 3rd 102.38 0.530 16.91 8-5 4th 4th place
4 978 2012 Rob 2-9 13th 98.33 0.539 13.47 3-10 13th
5 972 2012 Ed 8-3 4th 101.23 0.539 25.59 8-5 4th 4th place
6 969 2009 Mike R. 5-6 6th 103.08 0.545 17.96 5-8 10th
7 968 2022 Ed 5-6 10th 102.57 0.544 20.14 7-7 7th
8 968 2011 Babel 6-5 8th 101.25 0.521 17.31 7-6 7th
9 965 2013 Rabbit 4-7 11th 102.82 0.536 29.81 5-8 11th
10 958 2011 Matt 6-5 7th 104.05 0.547 20.06 7-6 6th 2nd place