2011 Allen (through 11 weeks)

6-5 (0.545), 1,150.18 points

6th place

6.23 expected wins (0.566)

73-48 all-play record (0.603)

-7.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.32 62.28 Derrek 58.04
2 W 114.87 70.57 Matt 44.30
3 L 72.00 93.59 Pat -21.59 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 122.44 76.34 Pulley 46.10
5 W 106.18 84.89 Rob 21.29
6 L 109.16 113.43 Mike R. -4.27
7 W 115.16 109.47 Babel 5.69
8 L 92.68 137.99 Kevin -45.31
9 W 118.08 105.61 Dave 12.47
10 L 86.80 122.55 Rabbit -35.75
11 L 92.49 102.14 Ed -9.65
12 Babel
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.23076923076923526.9%289.47435897435972.060.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2258223064068300.0%74.73076923076923141.1168719699060710.4%117.67948717948717140.1033720577279422.4%160.62820512820514134.946636806090638.4%203.57692307692307119.52320993850367418.7%246.5256410256410293.0165342286784450.0%289.4743589743592.7692307692307736624.5%332.4230769230769678.0977277269091713.6%375.3717948717949106.12159626233184.3%418.3205128205129130.148424061367190.7%461.26923076923083139.51800395544257100.0%504.21794871794873141.1444186213810211Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd70.4769230769230932.4195804195804327th129.2076923076923165.286713286713334th187.9384615384615285.5664335664335744th246.6692307692307585.5664335664335753rd305.458.99300699300701562nd364.130769230769232.4195804195804372nd422.8615384615384332.4195804195804382nd481.5923076923076632.4195804195804392nd540.323076923076932.41958041958043103rd599.05384615384658.993006993007015112nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd70.4769230769230932.4195804195804326th129.2076923076923138.7132867132867533rd187.9384615384615258.99300699300701541st246.669230769230755.84615384615386851st305.45.84615384615386861st364.13076923076925.84615384615386871st422.861538461538435.84615384615386881st481.592307692307665.84615384615386893rd540.323076923076958.993006993007015106th599.053846153846138.71328671328675112nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804313rd70.4769230769230958.99300699300701528th129.2076923076923191.860139860139935th187.93846153846152112.1398601398601646th246.66923076923075138.7132867132867554th305.485.5664335664335763rd364.130769230769258.99300699300701573rd422.8615384615384358.99300699300701582nd481.5923076923076632.4195804195804393rd540.323076923076958.993006993007015104th599.05384615384685.5664335664335711Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Drew Brees QB
2.04 16 Steven Jackson RB
3.09 33 Brandon Lloyd WR
4.04 40 Jason Witten TE
5.09 57 Jonathan Stewart RB
6.04 64 Pierre Thomas RB
7.09 81 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
8.04 88 Santonio Holmes K WR
9.09 105 Willis McGahee RB
10.04 112 New York DEF
11.09 129 Robert Meachem WR
12.04 136 Matt Cassel QB
13.09 153 Chris Cooley TE
14.04 160 Marshawn Lynch K RB
15.09 177 Robbie Gould K
16.04 184 Montario Hardesty RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.80627.5916083916083985.4475627786527210.73865.9132867132867190.1523458485047520.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.824142.5566433566433584.1520428028963740.599180.8783216783216499.743739353227250.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.744257.521678321678389.7545984875269270.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.778334.16503496503587.4022069526009290.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083929.66435632653623610.00065.9132867132867139.0739224662402620.083104.23496503496503135.4955449999770330.000142.5566433566433527.07331637502352440.000180.8783216783216458.2567094756851750.650219.1999999999999696.2435625766223260.000257.521678321678338.2784277442846170.367295.8433566433567115.8354611573587280.000334.16503496503533.573644674432690.275372.4867132867133122.19941893300395100.363410.8083916083916116.0741095739454211Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111028.72447552447552378.29370629370631668.61958041958042103.4685314685314720108.5146853146853141.23076923076923310148.4097902097901778.293706293706347188.3048951048950897.1748251748251750228.2141.2307692307692369268.0951048951048484.5874125874125970307.9902097902098141.23076923076923810347.885314685314778.293706293706390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552315.356643356643361068.6195804195804265.7062937062937220108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.4097902097901715.3566433566433640188.3048951048950853.1188811188811258228.290.8811188811188860268.0951048951048427.94405594405594775307.9902097902098109.7622377622377680347.885314685314715.3566433566433694387.7804195804196116.05594405594405104427.67552447552447116.0559440559440511All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Allen 6-5 6th 104.56 0.566 15.54 7-6 5th 5th place
1 987 2016 Dave 5-6 8th 105.22 0.566 20.42 6-7 8th
2 981 2011 Mike R. 6-5 5th 105.42 0.560 17.41 6-7 9th
3 978 2009 Matt 8-3 1st 104.90 0.574 17.82 9-4 2nd Blingabowl II champion
4 977 2016 Rob 7-4 4th 104.82 0.572 20.19 8-5 4th 5th place
5 975 2014 Rob 7-4 3rd 101.93 0.559 16.30 8-5 3rd 5th place
6 974 2009 Rabbit 8-3 2nd 103.38 0.577 15.62 10-3 1st 2nd place
7 972 2023 Mike R. 5-6 9th 105.61 0.577 16.96 7-7 8th
8 971 2016 Schertz 5-6 7th 105.57 0.573 20.80 7-6 5th 4th place
9 971 2020 Matt 7-4 2nd 105.75 0.573 20.62 8-5 2nd 2nd place
10 965 2024 Dave 7-4 4th 106.32 0.560 23.41 9-5 3rd