2016 Schertz (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,161.25 points

7th place

6.31 expected wins (0.573)

82-61 all-play record (0.573)

+16.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 135.00 100.02 Rabbit 34.98 Team Blangums
2 W 91.15 70.45 Derrek 20.70
3 L 112.42 128.97 Pulley -16.55
4 L 109.53 142.08 Matt -32.55
5 W 129.47 77.03 Allen 52.44
6 L 70.82 121.62 Rob -50.80
7 W 116.71 101.29 Dave 15.42
8 L 89.32 125.29 Kevin -35.97
9 L 86.16 94.28 Pat -8.12
10 W 133.06 99.27 Ed 33.79
11 L 87.61 108.68 Mike R. -21.07
12 Babel
13 Richie

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923418.4%246.5256410256410297.1285869958613850.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2302235830594600.0%74.73076923076923141.2073327228038710.2%117.67948717948717140.8332167305922621.4%160.62820512820514137.806749062151136.8%203.57692307692307124.9819168314764140.0%246.5256410256410253.026404760953554528.9%289.47435897435972.0626.1%332.4230769230769678.57825075554041713.6%375.3717948717949108.5735149999898384.0%418.3205128205129131.748396645362490.6%461.26923076923083139.85805016511102100.0%504.21794871794873141.1599407416692611Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th70.47692307692309118.2721893491124126th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124133rd187.9384615384615250.81656804733728442nd246.6692307692307528.33136094674557656th305.4118.2721893491124163rd364.130769230769250.81656804733728475th422.8615384615384395.786982248520785th481.5923076923076695.786982248520794th540.323076923076973.30177514792899104th599.05384615384673.30177514792899111st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381112nd70.4769230769230928.33136094674557624th129.207692307692373.3017751479289936th187.93846153846152118.2721893491124145th246.6692307692307595.786982248520756th305.4118.2721893491124163rd364.130769230769250.81656804733728475th422.8615384615384395.786982248520788th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958596th540.3230769230769118.27218934911241107th599.053846153846140.75739644970415111st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381112nd70.4769230769230928.33136094674557625th129.207692307692395.786982248520733rd187.9384615384615250.81656804733728442nd246.6692307692307528.33136094674557656th305.4118.2721893491124163rd364.130769230769250.81656804733728475th422.8615384615384395.786982248520785th481.5923076923076695.786982248520794th540.323076923076973.30177514792899104th599.05384615384673.3017751479289911Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Antonio Brown K WR
2.02 16 T.Y. Hilton WR
3.13 41 Ryan Mathews RB
4.02 44 Travis Kelce TE
5.13 69 Arian Foster RB
6.02 72 Ben Roethlisberger K QB
7.13 97 Charles Sims RB
8.02 100 Sterling Shepard WR
9.13 125 Tyrod Taylor QB
10.02 128 Travis Benjamin WR
11.13 153 Carolina DEF
12.02 156 Jordan Cameron TE
13.13 181 Alfred Morris RB
14.02 184 Seth Roberts WR
15.13 209 Dan Bailey K
16.02 212 Jamison Crowder WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.92727.5916083916083977.055228750238610.35965.91328671328671116.4094890664161920.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.897180.8783216783216479.1007866066959950.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.785257.521678321678386.8852706715477470.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.918372.486713286713377.69162452780311100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083912.8796882697079710.00065.9132867132867191.5882089020631420.720104.2349650349650391.3741337454403730.678142.5566433566433594.272007375421740.000180.8783216783216416.97080398262275550.096219.19999999999996134.5922255682597260.000257.521678321678332.53977211232627670.333295.8433566433567118.1482132444049780.286334.165034965035121.4551984456777590.000372.486713286713314.152479824837002100.308410.8083916083916119.8869374223937611Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111328.72447552447552372.01468.61958041958042119.9289940828402320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.23076923076923412188.3048951048950877.3254437869822550228.2141.23076923076923611268.0951048951048482.650887573964570307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.23076923076923912387.780419580419677.32544378698225100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.7244755244755232.76923076923077361068.6195804195804298.6272189349112428108.514685314685398.6272189349112439148.4097902097901793.3017751479289940188.3048951048950813.4201183431952752228.2130.5798816568047360268.0951048951048424.07100591715975275307.9902097902098114.6035502958579984347.8853146853147119.9289940828402390387.780419580419613.42011834319527102427.67552447552447130.5798816568047311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Schertz 5-6 7th 105.57 0.573 20.80 7-6 5th 4th place
1 999 2020 Matt 7-4 2nd 105.75 0.573 20.62 8-5 2nd 2nd place
2 993 2016 Rob 7-4 4th 104.82 0.572 20.19 8-5 4th 5th place
3 990 2009 Matt 8-3 1st 104.90 0.574 17.82 9-4 2nd Blingabowl II champion
4 986 2023 Mike R. 5-6 9th 105.61 0.577 16.96 7-7 8th
5 983 2016 Dave 5-6 8th 105.22 0.566 20.42 6-7 8th
6 975 2020 Ed 3-8 13th 105.84 0.582 17.36 4-9 13th
7 975 2009 Rabbit 8-3 2nd 103.38 0.577 15.62 10-3 1st 2nd place
8 974 2021 Rabbit 7-4 6th 108.92 0.573 26.22 9-5 6th 2nd place
9 971 2011 Allen 6-5 6th 104.56 0.566 15.54 7-6 5th 5th place
10 970 2014 Babel 6-5 5th 105.40 0.586 23.30 7-6 5th Blingabowl VII champion