2011 Allen (through 7 weeks)

5-2 (0.714), 760.13 points

1st place

4.32 expected wins (0.617)

50-27 all-play record (0.649)

-40.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.32 62.28 Derrek 58.04
2 W 114.87 70.57 Matt 44.30
3 L 72.00 93.59 Pat -21.59 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 122.44 76.34 Pulley 46.10
5 W 106.18 84.89 Rob 21.29
6 L 109.16 113.43 Mike R. -4.27
7 W 115.16 109.47 Babel 5.69
8 Kevin
9 Dave
10 Rabbit
11 Ed
12 Babel
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.2307692307692330.0%300.2115384615385141.23076923076923431.5%364.634615384615572.6154303127304250.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.0%42.519230769230774141.1308886731900.7%106.9423076923077139.6087381878330714.9%171.3653846153846130.5295251789988216.9%235.78846153846152104.51640127711983331.8%300.211538461538572.040.0%364.63461538461554.000091394691623513.4%429.0576923076924112.0379901655951860.8%493.4807692307693139.520855629649827Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd109.630769230769232.4195804195804327th207.5153846153846165.286713286713334th305.485.5664335664335744th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335753rd501.1692307692307558.99300699300701562nd599.05384615384632.4195804195804372nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd109.630769230769232.4195804195804326th207.5153846153846138.7132867132867533rd305.458.99300699300701541st403.284615384615345.84615384615386851st501.169230769230755.84615384615386861st599.0538461538465.84615384615386872nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804313rd109.630769230769258.99300699300701528th207.5153846153846191.860139860139935th305.4112.1398601398601646th403.28461538461534138.7132867132867554th501.1692307692307585.5664335664335763rd599.05384615384658.9930069930070157Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Drew Brees QB
2.04 16 Steven Jackson RB
3.09 33 Brandon Lloyd WR
4.04 40 Jason Witten TE
5.09 57 Jonathan Stewart RB
6.04 64 Pierre Thomas RB
7.09 81 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
8.04 88 Santonio Holmes K WR
9.09 105 Willis McGahee RB
10.04 112 New York DEF
11.09 129 Robert Meachem WR
12.04 136 Matt Cassel QB
13.09 153 Chris Cooley TE
14.04 160 Marshawn Lynch K RB
15.09 177 Robbie Gould K
16.04 184 Montario Hardesty RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.78738.5406593406593486.7131348625110810.72098.7604395604395591.4179179323631120.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.806219.1999999999999685.4176148867547340.581279.4197802197802101.0093114370855750.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.725399.859340659340691.0201705713852870.00038.5406593406593432.19550049425295410.00098.7604395604395541.6050666339569820.065158.98021978021976136.7611170838354230.000219.1999999999999629.60446054274025640.000279.419780219780260.7878536434019250.632339.639560439560497.5091346604806860.000399.859340659340640.809571912001337Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345671040.1230769230769278.293706293706316102.8153846153846103.4685314685314720165.50769230769228141.23076923076923310228.1999999999999678.293706293706347290.892307692307797.1748251748251750353.5846153846154141.2307692307692369416.276923076923184.587412587412597040.1230769230769215.3566433566433610102.815384615384665.7062937062937220165.50769230769228141.2307692307692330228.1999999999999615.3566433566433640290.892307692307753.1188811188811258353.584615384615490.8811188811188860416.276923076923127.9440559440559477All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Allen 5-2 1st 108.59 0.617 15.84 7-6 5th 5th place
1 985 2016 Rabbit 3-4 9th 108.57 0.622 14.06 9-4 2nd 2nd place
2 975 2023 Mike R. 5-2 4th 108.24 0.628 15.00 7-7 8th
3 974 2018 Pulley 5-2 4th 114.74 0.616 16.22 9-4 3rd 6th place
4 974 2016 Dave 4-3 4th 108.78 0.610 22.10 6-7 8th
5 972 2014 Rabbit 5-2 3rd 106.21 0.625 16.46 10-3 1st 2nd place
6 969 2020 Kevin 4-3 3rd 112.18 0.616 23.84 8-5 1st Blingabowl XIII champion
7 968 2022 Ed 4-3 4th 106.83 0.608 20.06 7-7 7th
8 965 2024 Mike R. 4-3 5th 109.47 0.608 22.78 9-5 2nd
9 965 2019 Derrek 4-3 4th 109.37 0.628 11.02 7-6 6th 3rd place
10 959 2009 Matt 6-1 1st 105.28 0.604 14.67 9-4 2nd Blingabowl II champion