2016 Rabbit (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 760.01 points

9th place

4.36 expected wins (0.622)

52-39 all-play record (0.571)

+31.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 100.02 135.00 Schertz -34.98
2 L 105.33 119.66 Ed -14.33
3 L 111.57 131.30 Rob -19.73
4 W 131.99 95.64 Babel 36.35
5 L 98.51 133.02 Kevin -34.51
6 W 124.07 103.34 Richie 20.73
7 W 88.52 66.87 Pulley 21.65
8 Matt
9 Derrek
10 Mike R.
11 Dave
12 Allen
13 Pat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923217.3%235.78846153846152102.9523431837007230.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.0%42.519230769230774141.166112311889100.6%106.9423076923077139.82695638378614.9%171.3653846153846130.4071301940356320.0%235.7884615384615264.67391713663221331.2%300.211538461538572.0429.6%364.634615384615575.56905943038346513.8%429.0576923076924110.5547680892898462.5%493.4807692307693135.778986782900357Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887617th109.6307692307692140.7573964497041527th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041532nd305.428.33136094674557646th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124153rd501.1692307692307550.81656804733728464th599.05384615384673.30177514792899710th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793111th109.6307692307692230.698224852071213th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544312th305.4253.18343195266272412th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272510th501.16923076923075208.213017751479369th599.053846153846185.727810650887679th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958527th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041532nd305.428.33136094674557646th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124153rd501.1692307692307550.81656804733728466th599.053846153846118.272189349112417Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Lamar Miller RB
2.09 23 LeSean McCoy K RB
3.06 34 DeMarco Murray RB
4.09 51 DeVante Parker WR
5.06 62 Michael Crabtree WR
6.09 79 Gary Barnidge TE
7.06 90 Philip Rivers QB
8.09 107 Bilal Powell RB
9.06 118 Markus Wheaton WR
10.09 135 Donte Moncrief K WR
11.06 146 Chris Hogan WR
12.09 163 Eric Ebron TE
13.06 174 Houston DEF
14.09 191 Keith Marshall RB
15.06 202 Brandon McManus K
16.09 219 Joe Flacco QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.906219.1999999999999678.5260717146093940.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.854339.639560439560482.0830695427825160.315399.8593406593406119.4145004231300170.50238.54065934065934106.4820290861937910.60098.7604395604395599.7089597392570820.702158.9802197802197692.6176925035381130.000219.1999999999999615.82137419844954740.477279.4197802197802108.1866606332416250.000339.639560439560422.9353698547958160.000399.859340659340697.598231615490797Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.8153846153846141.2307692307692320165.50769230769228141.23076923076923311228.1999999999999682.650887573964540290.8923076923077141.23076923076923512353.584615384615477.3254437869822565416.2769230769231114.603550295857997540.12307692307692114.6035502958579918102.815384615384698.6272189349112427165.50769230769228103.9526627218934930228.1999999999999624.07100591715975244290.8923076923077119.9289940828402350353.584615384615413.4201183431952760416.276923076923187.976331360946747All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Rabbit 3-4 9th 108.57 0.622 14.06 9-4 2nd 2nd place
1 986 2023 Mike R. 5-2 4th 108.24 0.628 15.00 7-7 8th
2 985 2011 Allen 5-2 1st 108.59 0.617 15.84 7-6 5th 5th place
3 980 2014 Rabbit 5-2 3rd 106.21 0.625 16.46 10-3 1st 2nd place
4 980 2019 Derrek 4-3 4th 109.37 0.628 11.02 7-6 6th 3rd place
5 966 2016 Schertz 4-3 3rd 109.30 0.632 20.50 7-6 5th 4th place
6 960 2017 Rob 5-2 3rd 102.29 0.627 16.54 8-5 4th 5th place
7 959 2018 Pulley 5-2 4th 114.74 0.616 16.22 9-4 3rd 6th place
8 959 2009 Kevin 3-4 6th 106.43 0.637 12.47 6-7 6th 5th place
9 958 2016 Dave 4-3 4th 108.78 0.610 22.10 6-7 8th
10 958 2018 Matt 5-2 3rd 116.00 0.626 16.30 8-5 4th 2nd place