2019 Derrek (through 7 weeks)

4-3 (0.571), 765.59 points

4th place

4.39 expected wins (0.628)

59-32 all-play record (0.648)

-1.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 111.03 121.30 Kevin -10.27
2 W 93.79 77.37 Richie 16.42
3 L 97.64 159.79 Schertz -62.15
4 W 101.63 66.55 Scott 35.08
5 W 119.53 99.98 Babel 19.55
6 L 116.85 117.07 Pulley -0.22
7 W 125.12 88.54 Rob 36.58
8 Ed
9 Matt
10 Pat
11 Dave
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.23076923076923330.2%300.211538461538572.040.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.0%42.519230769230774141.1275045643816400.7%106.9423076923077139.5132618705307614.9%171.3653846153846129.91469888862702216.5%235.78846153846152103.2969062640214630.0%300.21153846153852.7692307692307736429.8%364.634615384615572.77109779228651514.9%429.0576923076924107.0966046055783562.9%493.4807692307693134.548427372548257Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958515th109.630769230769295.786982248520727th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041537th305.4140.7573964497041545th403.2846153846153495.786982248520754th501.1692307692307573.3017751479289964th599.05384615384673.3017751479289979th11.746153846153845185.727810650887616th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124129th207.5153846153846185.727810650887637th305.4140.7573964497041547th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041555th501.1692307692307595.786982248520764th599.05384615384673.3017751479289978th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124127th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041537th305.4140.7573964497041547th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041555th501.1692307692307595.786982248520764th599.05384615384673.301775147928997Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.14 14 Antonio Brown WR
2.01 15 Christian McCaffrey K RB
3.14 42 Mike Williams WR
4.01 43 Allen Robinson II WR
5.14 70 Cam Newton QB
6.01 71 Emmanuel Sanders WR
7.14 98 Donte Moncrief WR
8.01 99 Geronimo Allison WR
9.14 126 Austin Hooper TE
10.01 127 Jaylen Samuels RB
11.14 154 James Conner K RB
12.01 155 Jacksonville DEF
13.14 182 Ka'imi Fairbairn K
14.01 183 Darren Waller TE
15.14 210 Frank Gore RB
16.01 211 Nick Foles QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.38198.76043956043955114.8767016680908520.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.510219.19999999999996105.9103397306192640.793279.419780219780286.3638979911374650.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.838399.859340659340683.2273759445694570.67338.5406593406593494.6370430994762710.00098.7604395604395588.5226341054124620.442158.98021978021976110.6151228004712630.000219.1999999999999670.5899102304692940.000279.419780219780231.497026751505750.758339.639560439560488.727653736377160.000399.859340659340625.223982658369687Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692317102.8153846153846103.9526627218934920165.50769230769228141.2307692307692339228.1999999999999693.3017751479289948290.892307692307798.6272189349112450353.5846153846154141.23076923076923612416.276923076923177.325443786982257640.12307692307692109.2781065088757410102.815384615384666.6745562130177526165.50769230769228109.2781065088757430228.1999999999999645.37278106508874540290.892307692307756.02366863905324511353.584615384615482.650887573964560416.276923076923113.420118343195277All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Derrek 4-3 4th 109.37 0.628 11.02 7-6 6th 3rd place
1 987 2023 Mike R. 5-2 4th 108.24 0.628 15.00 7-7 8th
2 980 2016 Rabbit 3-4 9th 108.57 0.622 14.06 9-4 2nd 2nd place
3 973 2016 Schertz 4-3 3rd 109.30 0.632 20.50 7-6 5th 4th place
4 971 2014 Rabbit 5-2 3rd 106.21 0.625 16.46 10-3 1st 2nd place
5 967 2009 Kevin 3-4 6th 106.43 0.637 12.47 6-7 6th 5th place
6 966 2020 Pulley 7-0 1st 112.24 0.637 13.13 8-5 4th 4th place
7 965 2011 Allen 5-2 1st 108.59 0.617 15.84 7-6 5th 5th place
8 964 2008 Babel 5-2 2nd 100.99 0.629 10.71 11-2 1st 4th place
9 960 2017 Rob 5-2 3rd 102.29 0.627 16.54 8-5 4th 5th place
10 960 2018 Matt 5-2 3rd 116.00 0.626 16.30 8-5 4th 2nd place