2013 Allen (through 12 weeks)

4-8 (0.333), 992.62 points

13th place

3.82 expected wins (0.318)

50-106 all-play record (0.321)

+16.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 105.41 87.31 Richie 18.10
2 W 102.44 92.60 Rabbit 9.84
3 L 96.19 145.44 Matt -49.25
4 L 61.78 137.68 Ed -75.90 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 81.37 118.50 Pat -37.13
6 L 91.95 99.75 Mike R. -7.80
7 W 86.96 81.10 Dave 5.86
8 W 80.75 43.90 Kevin 36.85
9 L 64.72 111.92 Schertz -47.20
10 L 59.46 101.71 Rob -42.25 Slapped Heartbeat
11 L 89.77 128.65 Babel -38.88
12 L 71.82 74.24 Pulley -2.42
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.23076923076923326.2%188.7100591715976371.9999999999999940.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.6%30.130177514792905139.704895679861804.3%69.77514792899409129.88083096842016113.6%109.42011834319527105.44151213661178223.9%149.0650887573964478.103933981487630.0%188.710059171597632.769230769230745418.8%228.3550295857988391.632745544861259.0%268.0117.5185050739141362.9%307.64497041420117133.6437507895606770.6%347.28994082840245139.626504397372680.1%386.93491124260356141.0130641839150590.0%426.5798816568048141.2127919016349100.0%466.2248520710059141.22995540851562110.0%505.8698224852071141.230753852916112Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th65.13776223776223163.2426035502958526th118.52937062937062118.27218934911241310th171.92097902097902208.2130177514793412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441114th599.053846153846298.15384615384613127th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th65.1377622377622373.3017751479289925th118.5293706293706295.786982248520739th171.92097902097902185.7278106508876411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272612th332.09580419580413253.1834319526627279th385.4874125874125185.7278106508876812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441113th599.053846153846275.6686390532544129th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th65.13776223776223163.2426035502958527th118.52937062937062140.75739644970415312th171.92097902097902253.18343195266272412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441114th599.053846153846298.1538461538461312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.11 25 Vincent Jackson WR
3.04 32 Montee Ball RB
4.11 53 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
5.04 60 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.11 81 Denarius Moore WR
7.04 88 Brandon Myers TE
8.11 109 Rueben Randle WR
9.04 116 Chicago DEF
10.11 137 Malcom Floyd WR
11.04 144 Michael Bush RB
12.11 165 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.04 172 Philip Rivers QB
14.11 193 Marcel Reece RB
15.04 200 Christine Michael RB
16.11 221 Robert Woods WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.65725.99487179487179595.7673664975864710.60161.1230769230769299.631198004228220.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.347236.76410256410256117.2116313594481670.251271.89230769230767123.8710586032483680.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.99487179487179550.3039637644036910.00061.1230769230769258.0316267776871820.49796.25128205128203106.790650501829130.080131.37948717948717135.701201539760340.260166.5076923076923123.2119344050565250.423201.63589743589745111.950001984227260.000236.7641025641025693.192493488127170.000271.89230769230767106.5113479757274980.096307.0205128205128134.5647805083950790.069342.14871794871794136.47396784108867100.388377.2769230769231114.3705787810351110.151412.4051282051282130.757770053321612Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112527.062179487179485114.603550295857991763.6326923076923103.9526627218934920100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692366246.4852564102564109.2781065088757476283.0557692307692109.2781065088757480319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948587.976331360946741063.632692307692366.6745562130177528100.2032051282051198.6272189349112430136.77371794871794141.2307692307692344173.3442307692307119.9289940828402357209.91474358974358103.9526627218934960246.485256410256477.3254437869822570283.055769230769277.3254437869822581319.62628205128203135.9053254437869890356.19679487179485141.23076923076923105392.7673076923077114.60355029585799111429.3378205128205135.9053254437869812All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Allen 4-8 13th 82.72 0.318 14.91 4-9 14th
1 982 2021 Rob 2-10 14th 85.79 0.320 16.50 2-12 14th
2 976 2022 Pulley 6-6 11th 86.36 0.322 14.40 7-7 8th
3 973 2024 Derrek 4-8 14th 87.03 0.317 18.23 4-10 14th
4 973 2011 Pulley 4-8 11th 88.02 0.317 16.23 5-8 10th
5 964 2016 Richie 5-7 11th 87.31 0.324 17.91 5-8 12th
6 963 2015 Allen 4-8 12th 80.63 0.308 19.03 4-9 13th
7 957 2015 Derrek 6-6 7th 83.34 0.335 18.13 7-6 7th
8 956 2014 Allen 5-7 13th 86.15 0.332 15.77 6-7 10th
9 956 2012 Kevin 4-8 12th 82.88 0.335 20.01 5-8 10th
10 956 2013 Derrek 6-6 9th 84.02 0.333 19.96 7-6 7th