2013 Allen (through 12 weeks)

4-8 (0.333), 992.62 points (82.72 average)

13th place

3.86 expected wins (0.321)

50-106 all-play record (0.321)

+15.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 105.41 87.31 Richie 18.10
2 W 102.44 92.60 Rabbit 9.84
3 L 96.19 145.44 Matt -49.25
4 L 61.78 137.68 Ed -75.90 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 81.37 118.50 Pat -37.13
6 L 91.95 99.75 Mike R. -7.80
7 W 86.96 81.10 Dave 5.86
8 W 80.75 43.90 Kevin 36.85
9 L 64.72 111.92 Schertz -47.20
10 L 59.46 101.71 Rob -42.25 Slapped Heartbeat
11 L 89.77 128.65 Babel -38.88
12 L 71.82 74.24 Pulley -2.42
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%41.37278106508876141.2307692307692300.0%95.81065088757397141.2307692307692310.0%150.24852071005915141.2307692307692320.0%204.68639053254438141.23076923076923326.2%259.124260355029672.040.0%313.56213017751486141.2307692307692350.0%368.0141.2307692307692360.0%422.4378698224852141.2307692307692370.0%476.87573964497045141.2307692307692380.0%531.3136094674556141.2307692307692390.0%585.7514792899409141.23076923076923100.0%640.189349112426141.23076923076923110.0%694.6272189349113141.23076923076923120.6%41.37278106508876139.7627228137982304.1%95.81065088757397130.2733069845885113.2%150.24852071005915106.42823628032421223.5%204.6863905325443879.121739851970430.0%259.12426035502962.7692307692307736419.2%313.5621301775148690.6130523829468259.4%368.0116.4574520256049263.1%422.4378698224852133.1056481911135770.7%476.87573964497045139.472077489870680.1%531.3136094674556140.9876793118290.0%585.7514792899409141.21050362982936100.0%640.189349112426141.2298532505585110.0%694.6272189349113141.230752154542612Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th65.13776223776223163.2426035502958526th118.52937062937062118.27218934911241310th171.92097902097902208.2130177514793412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441114th599.053846153846298.15384615384613127th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th65.1377622377622373.3017751479289925th118.5293706293706295.786982248520739th171.92097902097902185.7278106508876411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272612th332.09580419580413253.1834319526627279th385.4874125874125185.7278106508876812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441113th599.053846153846275.6686390532544129th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th65.13776223776223163.2426035502958527th118.52937062937062140.75739644970415312th171.92097902097902253.18343195266272412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441114th599.053846153846298.1538461538461312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.11 25 Vincent Jackson WR
3.04 32 Montee Ball RB
4.11 53 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
5.04 60 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.11 81 Denarius Moore WR
7.04 88 Brandon Myers TE
8.11 109 Rueben Randle WR
9.04 116 Chicago DEF
10.11 137 Malcom Floyd WR
11.04 144 Michael Bush RB
12.11 165 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.04 172 Philip Rivers QB
14.11 193 Marcel Reece RB
15.04 200 Christine Michael RB
16.11 221 Robert Woods WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.65737.85384615384615695.7622210871156510.59389.00769230769231100.1876924248275320.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000191.3153846153846141.2307692307692340.000242.46923076923073141.2307692307692350.000293.62307692307695141.2307692307692360.356344.7769230769231116.5756649679248770.268395.9307692307692122.653815760151180.000447.0846153846154141.2307692307692390.000498.23846153846154141.23076923076923100.000549.3923076923077141.23076923076923110.000600.5461538461539141.23076923076923120.00037.85384615384615650.2936729434620710.00089.0076923076923159.1446156188858220.487140.16153846153844107.5153052382384130.079191.3153846153846135.7445897470370840.278242.46923076923073121.9995154711146250.425293.62307692307695111.7943062432240960.000344.776923076923191.9205607050804970.000395.9307692307692104.0768622895329880.094447.0846153846154134.690496172715890.062498.23846153846154136.93008100241013100.392549.3923076923077114.0619562863335110.166600.5461538461539129.77108347917512Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112538.92115384615384114.603550295857991791.5173076923077103.9526627218934920144.1134615384615141.2307692307692330196.7096153846154141.2307692307692340249.30576923076924141.2307692307692350301.901923076923141.2307692307692366354.4980769230769109.2781065088757476407.09423076923076109.2781065088757480459.6903846153845141.2307692307692390512.2865384615385141.23076923076923100564.8826923076923141.23076923076923110617.4788461538461141.2307692307692312038.9211538461538487.976331360946741091.517307692307766.6745562130177528144.113461538461598.6272189349112430196.7096153846154141.2307692307692344249.30576923076924119.9289940828402357301.901923076923103.9526627218934960354.498076923076977.3254437869822570407.0942307692307677.3254437869822581459.6903846153845135.9053254437869890512.2865384615385141.23076923076923105564.8826923076923114.60355029585799111617.4788461538461135.9053254437869812All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Allen 4-8 13th 82.72 0.321 14.91 4-9 14th
1 981 2022 Pulley 6-6 11th 86.36 0.320 14.40 7-7 8th
2 979 2021 Rob 2-10 14th 85.79 0.319 16.50 2-12 14th
3 975 2024 Derrek 4-8 14th 87.03 0.322 18.23 4-10 14th
4 968 2016 Richie 5-7 11th 87.31 0.326 17.91 5-8 12th
5 963 2010 Allen 6-6 6th 82.44 0.333 21.02 7-6 6th 4th place
6 963 2011 Pulley 4-8 11th 88.02 0.315 16.23 5-8 10th
7 961 2015 Kevin 3-9 14th 80.90 0.306 15.18 3-10 14th
8 960 2020 Pat 4-8 13th 88.35 0.328 17.02 5-8 12th
9 959 2014 Allen 5-7 13th 86.15 0.334 15.77 6-7 10th
10 959 2015 Derrek 6-6 7th 83.34 0.338 18.13 7-6 7th