2013 Allen (through 6 weeks)

2-4 (0.333), 539.14 points

12th place

2.27 expected wins (0.379)

31-47 all-play record (0.397)

+31.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 105.41 87.31 Richie 18.10
2 W 102.44 92.60 Rabbit 9.84
3 L 96.19 145.44 Matt -49.25
4 L 61.78 137.68 Ed -75.90 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 81.37 118.50 Pat -37.13
6 L 91.95 99.75 Mike R. -7.80
7 Dave
8 Kevin
9 Schertz
10 Rob
11 Babel
12 Pulley
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.23076923076923134.7%194.373626373626471.9999999999999920.0%268.0141.2307692307692330.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692364.3%47.120879120879124132.74060691008634019.8%120.74725274725276101.7140517041959510.0%194.37362637362642.769230769230745228.5%268.084.4758526805006311.0%341.6263736263736119.4029654743490641.7%415.2527472527472137.910129328554150.1%488.8791208791208141.128495412343686Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958526th246.66923076923075118.27218934911241310th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793412th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272511th599.053846153846230.69822485207167th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th129.207692307692373.3017751479289925th246.6692307692307595.786982248520739th364.1307692307692185.7278106508876411th481.59230769230766230.698224852071512th599.053846153846253.1834319526627269th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958527th246.66923076923075140.75739644970415312th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272412th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272512th599.053846153846253.183431952662726Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.11 25 Vincent Jackson WR
3.04 32 Montee Ball RB
4.11 53 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
5.04 60 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.11 81 Denarius Moore WR
7.04 88 Brandon Myers TE
8.11 109 Rueben Randle WR
9.04 116 Chicago DEF
10.11 137 Malcom Floyd WR
11.04 144 Michael Bush RB
12.11 165 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.04 172 Philip Rivers QB
14.11 193 Marcel Reece RB
15.04 200 Christine Michael RB
16.11 221 Robert Woods WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.61643.5589743589743698.6021281738615910.560113.8153846153846102.4659596805033520.000184.07179487179485141.2307692307692330.000254.32820512820513141.2307692307692340.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692350.000394.8410256410256141.2307692307692360.00043.5589743589743655.9734871169539610.000113.815384615384663.70115013023746520.457184.07179487179485109.6254121781042330.039254.32820512820513138.5359632160354440.219324.58461538461535126.0466960813316750.382394.8410256410256114.784763660502346Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456545.347435897435886114.6035502958579917118.48846153846152103.9526627218934920191.62948717948714141.2307692307692330264.7705128205128141.2307692307692340337.9115384615384141.2307692307692350411.05256410256413141.230769230769236045.34743589743588687.9763313609467410118.4884615384615266.6745562130177528191.6294871794871498.6272189349112430264.7705128205128141.2307692307692344337.9115384615384119.9289940828402357411.05256410256413103.952662721893496All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Allen 2-4 12th 89.86 0.379 14.75 4-9 14th
1 989 2014 Allen 2-4 12th 89.97 0.374 14.99 6-7 10th
2 980 2024 Schertz 2-4 12th 88.28 0.378 20.60 7-7 7th
3 975 2009 Dave 4-2 3rd 89.51 0.372 9.64 5-8 11th
4 972 2019 Rob 3-3 10th 92.25 0.372 17.26 5-8 13th
5 969 2016 Derrek 2-4 11th 91.24 0.371 19.17 3-10 14th
6 963 2014 Pat 3-3 8th 89.54 0.361 14.33 5-8 11th
7 963 2015 Rabbit 3-3 9th 88.66 0.367 10.43 5-8 11th
8 962 2024 Derrek 2-4 11th 88.49 0.371 23.30 4-10 14th
9 960 2008 Mike R. 1-5 12th 84.82 0.376 22.27 5-8 8th
10 960 2024 Matt 2-4 10th 91.14 0.388 23.14 8-6 6th