2013 Derrek (through 12 weeks)

6-6 (0.500), 1,008.23 points (84.02 average)

9th place

4.02 expected wins (0.335)

45-111 all-play record (0.288)

-24.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 131.44 91.71 Pat 39.73
2 L 68.08 104.24 Ed -36.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 95.46 65.88 Rabbit 29.58
4 L 90.42 107.02 Mike R. -16.60
5 W 76.78 66.87 Babel 9.91
6 W 78.90 69.18 Richie 9.72
7 L 71.99 87.27 Kevin -15.28
8 W 109.47 73.59 Dave 35.88
9 L 63.85 113.15 Matt -49.30 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 60.26 85.35 Pulley -25.09
11 L 69.76 112.58 Rob -42.82
12 W 91.82 57.01 Schertz 34.81
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%41.37278106508876141.2307692307692300.0%95.81065088757397141.2307692307692310.0%150.24852071005915141.2307692307692320.0%204.68639053254438141.2307692307692330.0%259.1242603550296141.2307692307692340.0%313.56213017751486141.23076923076923510.0%368.0117.2237236096053460.0%422.4378698224852141.2307692307692370.0%476.87573964497045141.2307692307692380.0%531.3136094674556141.2307692307692390.0%585.7514792899409141.23076923076923100.0%640.189349112426141.23076923076923110.0%694.6272189349113141.23076923076923120.1%41.37278106508876140.997289549887902.0%95.81065088757397136.30540371260966110.5%150.24852071005915115.99254157373352223.5%204.6863905325443884.64261999030518328.8%259.124260355029672.0421.3%313.5621301775148690.092015557247350.0%368.093.2166779884414663.1%422.4378698224852133.8886917939148670.6%476.87573964497045139.7604708264559680.1%531.3136094674556141.040907551256190.0%585.7514792899409141.21564886534708100.0%640.189349112426141.2300985277352110.0%694.6272189349113141.2307566399914512Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289919th65.13776223776223185.727810650887629th118.52937062937062185.727810650887638th171.92097902097902163.24260355029585411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131113th599.053846153846275.6686390532544124th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th65.13776223776223163.2426035502958526th118.52937062937062118.2721893491124138th171.92097902097902163.2426035502958549th225.3125874125874185.727810650887656th278.7041958041958118.2721893491124168th332.09580419580413163.2426035502958575th385.487412587412595.786982248520787th438.87902097902094140.7573964497041599th492.27062937062936185.72781065088761010th545.6622377622377208.2130177514793119th599.053846153846185.7278106508876124th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289919th65.13776223776223185.727810650887629th118.52937062937062185.727810650887639th171.92097902097902185.7278106508876411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131113th599.053846153846275.668639053254412Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Adrian Peterson K RB
2.05 19 Darren McFadden RB
3.10 38 Eric Decker WR
4.05 47 Vernon Davis TE
5.10 66 Sidney Rice WR
6.05 75 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB
7.10 94 Vincent Brown WR
8.05 103 Tony Romo QB
9.10 122 Colin Kaepernick K QB
10.05 131 Houston DEF
11.10 150 Austin Collie WR
12.05 159 Blair Walsh K
13.10 178 Robert Turbin RB
14.05 187 Zac Stacy RB
15.10 206 LaRod Stephens-Howling RB
16.05 215 DuJuan Harris RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.93737.85384615384615676.3768598327433210.00089.00769230769231141.2307692307692320.476140.16153846153844108.2614942570114230.000191.3153846153846141.2307692307692340.222242.46923076923073125.8674931235920850.251293.62307692307695123.8250823771641160.000344.7769230769231141.2307692307692370.728395.930769230769290.8252522940648280.000447.0846153846154141.2307692307692390.000498.23846153846154141.23076923076923100.000549.3923076923077141.23076923076923110.423600.5461538461539111.97787447023633120.00037.85384615384615611.52295043471741610.12389.00769230769231132.73565584830420.000140.1615384615384475.2922192832536230.400191.3153846153846113.5493338068180340.000242.46923076923073110.5042170164149650.000293.62307692307695106.4193955235589960.168344.7769230769231129.600897026304970.000395.930769230769240.4197353573604280.088447.0846153846154135.158331658697290.068498.23846153846154136.5114749773631100.139549.3923076923077131.62119617604841110.000600.546153846153982.7249797097034312Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121038.9211538461538487.976331360946741091.5173076923077141.2307692307692327144.1134615384615103.9526627218934930196.7096153846154141.2307692307692342249.30576923076924130.5798816568047353301.901923076923125.2544378698224860354.4980769230769141.2307692307692378407.0942307692307698.6272189349112480459.6903846153845141.2307692307692390512.2865384615385141.23076923076923100564.8826923076923141.23076923076923116617.4788461538461109.2781065088757412038.9211538461538434.721893491124251091.5173076923077141.2307692307692320144.113461538461566.6745562130177534196.7096153846154119.9289940828402340249.30576923076924119.9289940828402350301.901923076923109.2781065088757463354.4980769230769125.2544378698224870407.0942307692307656.0236686390532480459.6903846153845141.2307692307692391512.2865384615385135.90532544378698101564.8826923076923135.90532544378698110617.478846153846177.3254437869822512All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Derrek 6-6 9th 84.02 0.335 19.96 7-6 7th
1 991 2012 Kevin 4-8 12th 82.88 0.337 20.01 5-8 10th
2 989 2015 Derrek 6-6 7th 83.34 0.338 18.13 7-6 7th
3 987 2010 Allen 6-6 6th 82.44 0.333 21.02 7-6 6th 4th place
4 981 2014 Allen 5-7 13th 86.15 0.334 15.77 6-7 10th
5 977 2022 Babel 3-9 14th 86.80 0.337 16.02 3-11 14th
6 966 2008 Katie 4-8 11th 81.86 0.345 17.51 5-8 10th
7 966 2024 Pulley 4-8 13th 88.19 0.331 15.61 4-10 13th
8 964 2019 Rob 4-8 14th 89.44 0.338 15.94 5-8 13th
9 963 2016 Richie 5-7 11th 87.31 0.326 17.91 5-8 12th
10 962 2020 Pat 4-8 13th 88.35 0.328 17.02 5-8 12th