2014 Allen (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 726.11 points

8th place

3.06 expected wins (0.383)

37-67 all-play record (0.356)

-14.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 87.44 112.07 Babel -24.63
2 W 93.15 78.05 Matt 15.10
3 L 60.70 100.87 Ed -40.17
4 W 100.35 59.65 Richie 40.70
5 L 89.05 107.18 Schertz -18.13
6 L 109.12 112.15 Rob -3.03
7 W 78.02 77.73 Kevin 0.29
8 W 108.28 98.27 Dave 10.01
9 Mike R.
10 Rabbit
11 Pulley
12 Pat
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923323.6%268.089.361030734449240.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692381.3%38.940170940170944138.4461665928830608.6%96.20512820512818122.29353980195525123.1%153.4700854700854890.43563608647423231.4%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.037.49129223812917649.8%325.2649572649573119.7166951747995552.1%382.52991452991455136.5878824159450760.2%439.79487179487177140.8012096296759570.0%497.05982905982904141.222412735157728Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th95.64725274725272163.24260355029585213th179.54835164835166275.6686390532544313th263.44945054945055275.6686390532544412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071611th515.1527472527472230.698224852071713th599.053846153846275.6686390532544810th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th95.64725274725272163.24260355029585212th179.54835164835166253.18343195266272310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272512th431.2516483516483253.18343195266272611th515.1527472527472230.69822485207178th599.053846153846163.24260355029585810th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th95.64725274725272163.24260355029585213th179.54835164835166275.6686390532544312th263.44945054945055253.18343195266272412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272712th599.053846153846253.183431952662728Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Arian Foster RB
2.09 23 Andre Johnson WR
3.06 34 Matthew Stafford QB
4.09 51 Torrey Smith WR
5.06 62 Pierre Thomas RB
6.09 79 DeAngelo Williams RB
7.06 90 Dennis Pitta TE
8.09 107 Rueben Randle K WR
9.06 118 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
10.09 135 Shonn Greene RB
11.06 146 Knile Davis RB
12.09 163 Arizona DEF
13.06 174 Mason Crosby K
14.09 191 Robert Woods K WR
15.06 202 Tre Mason RB
16.09 219 Latavius Murray RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.39587.46923076923076113.892436396499120.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.513192.85384615384618105.6988407603558640.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.168350.93076923076916129.5750466293391470.656403.623076923076995.8119777874784480.30534.776923076923076120.1313878586941510.00087.4692307692307686.5541035622289620.025140.16153846153844139.4846380228438530.000192.8538461538461870.1669122899424940.329245.54615384615386118.4381205219599750.670298.238461538461594.8573841211316460.000350.93076923076916117.9193240279090670.000403.623076923076950.3931863441876548Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231591.06057692307692114.6035502958579920145.91634615384615141.2307692307692334200.77211538461538119.9289940828402340255.6278846153846141.2307692307692350310.48365384615386141.2307692307692364365.3394230769231119.9289940828402377420.1951923076923103.952662721893498436.20480769230769119.928994082840231091.0605769230769287.9763313609467421145.91634615384615135.9053254437869830200.7721153846153898.6272189349112445255.6278846153846114.6035502958579957310.48365384615386103.9526627218934960365.339423076923198.6272189349112470420.195192307692366.674556213017758All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Allen 4-4 8th 90.76 0.383 15.09 6-7 10th
1 985 2023 Richie 1-7 14th 92.48 0.381 12.88 4-10 13th
2 979 2013 Derrek 5-3 5th 90.32 0.387 20.09 7-6 7th
3 976 2012 Kevin 3-5 10th 88.05 0.379 17.59 5-8 10th
4 967 2014 Kevin 2-6 13th 91.43 0.394 18.46 4-9 14th
5 966 2021 Pulley 2-6 10th 94.91 0.391 14.90 5-9 10th
6 965 2010 Kevin 2-6 11th 86.20 0.389 16.73 5-8 10th
7 964 2014 Pat 3-5 10th 92.14 0.397 16.06 5-8 11th
8 963 2016 Mike R. 2-6 14th 89.94 0.369 18.28 5-8 11th
9 962 2021 Pat 1-7 13th 95.04 0.392 16.18 3-11 12th
10 962 2008 Dave 4-4 9th 83.10 0.380 15.68 5-8 11th