2021 Pat (through 8 weeks)

1-7 (0.125), 760.29 points

13th place

3.14 expected wins (0.392)

38-66 all-play record (0.365)

+26.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 111.39 108.98 Mike R. 2.41
2 L 70.04 103.20 Dave -33.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 90.18 107.27 Rabbit -17.09
4 L 122.50 133.41 Mike R. -10.91
5 L 107.40 108.34 Pulley -0.94
6 L 91.28 125.74 Ed -34.46
7 L 84.72 106.59 Babel -21.87
8 L 82.78 97.21 Rob -14.43
9 Matt
10 Derrek
11 Kevin
12 Scott
13 Richie
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692306.9%96.20512820512818126.7451917371333110.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.8%38.940170940170944139.6168143489276200.0%96.20512820512818112.2596142434974122.1%153.4700854700854894.82401926176675233.0%210.7350427350427372.0324.9%268.088.9948231560785410.0%325.2649572649573120.3761712721318652.1%382.52991452991455136.909587026664360.2%439.79487179487177140.8208467313251370.0%497.05982905982904141.219364462273358Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th95.64725274725272208.2130177514793211th179.54835164835166230.69822485207138th263.44945054945055163.2426035502958549th347.3505494505494185.7278106508876511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272711th599.053846153846230.69822485207184th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th95.64725274725272163.24260355029585210th179.54835164835166208.2130177514793310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793410th347.3505494505494208.2130177514793512th431.2516483516483253.18343195266272612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272713th599.053846153846275.668639053254484th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th95.64725274725272208.2130177514793211th179.54835164835166230.69822485207138th263.44945054945055163.2426035502958549th347.3505494505494185.7278106508876511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272711th599.053846153846230.6982248520718Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tyreek Hill WR
2.09 23 Chris Carson RB
3.06 34 Miles Sanders RB
4.09 51 Kenny Golladay WR
5.06 62 Myles Gaskin RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas WR
7.06 90 Dallas Goedert TE
8.09 107 Darrell Henderson, Jr. K RB
9.06 118 Justin Herbert K QB
10.09 135 Mike Gesicki TE
11.06 146 Washington DEF
12.09 163 Gabe Davis WR
13.06 174 Ryan Succop K
14.09 191 Jameis Winston QB
15.06 202 Dyami Brown WR
16.09 219 Mac Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.66234.77692307692307695.3901829457476310.00087.46923076923076141.2307692307692320.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.00034.77692307692307649.5495966607260110.04387.46923076923076138.244620038530120.301140.16153846153844120.3800814254688230.802192.8538461538461885.7192399688295840.603245.5461538461538699.5153912896033750.317298.2384615384615119.2777530250445560.219350.93076923076916126.0962792132358770.189403.6230769230769128.153201280006938Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456781036.2048076923076987.976331360946741091.06057692307692141.2307692307692320145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.77211538461538141.2307692307692340255.6278846153846141.2307692307692350310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.2048076923076934.721893491124251091.06057692307692141.2307692307692324145.91634615384615119.92899408284023310200.7721153846153887.9763313609467444255.6278846153846119.9289940828402354310.48365384615386119.9289940828402362365.3394230769231130.5798816568047374420.1951923076923119.928994082840238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Pat 1-7 13th 95.04 0.392 16.18 3-11 12th
1 996 2021 Pulley 2-6 10th 94.91 0.391 14.90 5-9 10th
2 984 2019 Babel 4-4 9th 96.45 0.394 19.78 8-5 5th 5th place
3 982 2019 Richie 3-5 12th 95.57 0.397 19.51 5-8 12th
4 978 2014 Pat 3-5 10th 92.14 0.397 16.06 5-8 11th
5 976 2016 Richie 4-4 8th 93.52 0.400 17.12 5-8 12th
6 976 2014 Kevin 2-6 13th 91.43 0.394 18.46 4-9 14th
7 972 2019 Dave 3-5 11th 95.65 0.405 16.05 6-7 10th
8 969 2020 Derrek 4-4 9th 92.01 0.394 23.77 8-5 5th 5th place
9 969 2016 Babel 3-5 12th 93.59 0.402 19.36 7-6 6th 6th place
10 964 2013 Derrek 5-3 5th 90.32 0.387 20.09 7-6 7th