2012 Kevin (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 704.41 points

10th place

3.03 expected wins (0.379)

41-63 all-play record (0.394)

-3.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 92.76 79.19 Schertz 13.57
2 W 117.87 81.41 Babel 36.46
3 L 75.79 115.57 Mike R. -39.78
4 L 103.90 134.65 Rabbit -30.75
5 W 98.22 90.31 Richie 7.91
6 L 81.48 89.04 Allen -7.56
7 L 58.66 75.89 Pulley -17.23
8 L 75.73 109.75 Derrek -34.02
9 Matt
10 Pat
11 Ed
12 Rob
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923233.1%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.9%38.940170940170944139.3578024942313508.1%96.20512820512818124.25224507507363124.2%153.4700854700854890.7110077988440720.0%210.735042735042732.7692307692307736323.3%268.092.5650511924037648.6%325.2649572649573123.1946361646644251.7%382.52991452991455137.7666159018751860.1%439.79487179487177140.9191923996687670.0%497.05982905982904141.22148080000668Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887615th95.6472527472527295.786982248520727th179.54835164835166140.7573964497041536th263.44945054945055118.2721893491124147th347.3505494505494140.7573964497041559th431.2516483516483185.7278106508876611th515.1527472527472230.698224852071711th599.053846153846230.69822485207186th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd95.6472527472527250.81656804733728426th179.54835164835166118.2721893491124136th263.44945054945055118.2721893491124145th347.350549450549495.786982248520757th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041569th515.1527472527472185.7278106508876710th599.053846153846208.213017751479389th11.746153846153845185.727810650887616th95.64725274725272118.2721893491124127th179.54835164835166140.7573964497041536th263.44945054945055118.2721893491124146th347.3505494505494118.2721893491124158th431.2516483516483163.24260355029585611th515.1527472527472230.698224852071711th599.053846153846230.6982248520718Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Tom Brady QB
2.12 26 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
3.03 31 Jonathan Stewart RB
4.12 54 Vernon Davis K TE
5.03 59 Peyton Hillis RB
6.12 82 Michael Bush RB
7.03 87 David Wilson RB
8.12 110 Vincent Brown WR
9.03 115 Victor Cruz K WR
10.12 138 Baltimore DEF
11.03 143 Mario Manningham WR
12.12 166 Matt Cassel QB
13.03 171 LaMichael James RB
14.12 194 Jordan Cameron TE
15.03 199 Matt Prater K
16.12 222 Mark Sanchez QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.42334.776923076923076111.9546356056943610.83087.4692307692307683.7600298175232520.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.514245.54615384615386105.6588630919310450.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.00034.77692307692307682.6785019806195210.00087.4692307692307626.2892904042772820.176140.16153846153844129.0350437071136330.612192.8538461538461898.8517011140533840.000245.5461538461538670.0869569530928750.247298.2384615384615124.1257048516158860.053350.93076923076916137.580929862980170.175403.6230769230769129.091864758681888Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678536.20480769230769114.6035502958579911191.0605769230769282.650887573964520145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.77211538461538141.2307692307692347255.6278846153846103.9526627218934950310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.2048076923076987.976331360946741091.0605769230769224.07100591715975223145.91634615384615125.2544378698224838200.7721153846153898.6272189349112440255.627884615384666.6745562130177552310.48365384615386130.5798816568047361365.3394230769231135.9053254437869874420.1951923076923119.928994082840238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Kevin 3-5 10th 88.05 0.379 17.59 5-8 10th
1 980 2015 Derrek 4-4 9th 87.09 0.372 19.30 7-6 7th
2 976 2014 Allen 4-4 8th 90.76 0.383 15.09 6-7 10th
3 975 2008 Dave 4-4 9th 83.10 0.380 15.68 5-8 11th
4 975 2017 Matt 3-5 11th 85.38 0.374 15.45 5-8 11th
5 972 2008 Katie 2-6 11th 83.07 0.375 16.89 5-8 10th
6 971 2016 Mike R. 2-6 14th 89.94 0.369 18.28 5-8 11th
7 970 2010 Kevin 2-6 11th 86.20 0.389 16.73 5-8 10th
8 969 2023 Richie 1-7 14th 92.48 0.381 12.88 4-10 13th
9 969 2013 Derrek 5-3 5th 90.32 0.387 20.09 7-6 7th
10 967 2013 Allen 4-4 9th 88.36 0.367 13.13 4-9 14th