2015 Allen (through 12 weeks)

4-8 (0.333), 967.50 points (80.62 average)

12th place

3.70 expected wins (0.308)

44-112 all-play record (0.282)

-3.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 88.16 98.58 Richie -10.42
2 W 85.73 82.85 Rob 2.88
3 L 85.69 94.57 Schertz -8.88
4 L 58.51 83.83 Kevin -25.32
5 W 92.66 84.51 Dave 8.15
6 L 84.83 95.04 Rabbit -10.21
7 L 56.75 132.49 Matt -75.74 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 58.42 97.05 Mike R. -38.63
9 L 98.52 154.91 Pulley -56.39
10 W 67.81 61.63 Babel 6.18
11 L 66.81 74.26 Pat -7.45
12 W 123.61 100.69 Ed 22.92
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.23076923076923327.3%188.7100591715976372.040.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.3%30.130177514792905140.3945720127454704.1%69.77514792899409130.88820131367996114.8%109.42011834319527103.68046012488291226.4%149.0650887573964474.2903365523866230.0%188.710059171597632.7692307692307736417.6%228.3550295857988396.6835407721390557.2%268.0122.9216101164829861.9%307.64497041420117136.420316081943570.3%347.28994082840245140.4348567594201180.0%386.93491124260356141.149767834202890.0%426.5798816568048141.2259136574949100.0%466.2248520710059141.2306132363791110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307671701163712Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793111th65.13776223776223230.698224852071212th118.52937062937062253.18343195266272313th171.92097902097902275.6686390532544412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131113th599.053846153846275.66863905325441211th11.746153846153845230.698224852071110th65.13776223776223208.2130177514793212th118.52937062937062253.18343195266272313th171.92097902097902275.6686390532544412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272513th278.7041958041958275.6686390532544614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441112th599.053846153846253.183431952662721210th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793111th65.13776223776223230.698224852071212th118.52937062937062253.18343195266272313th171.92097902097902275.6686390532544412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.1538461538461312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Eddie Lacy RB
2.13 27 Russell Wilson QB
3.02 30 Sammy Watkins WR
4.13 55 Rashad Jennings RB
5.02 58 Anquan Boldin WR
6.13 83 Torrey Smith WR
7.02 86 Antonio Gates TE
8.13 111 Reggie Bush RB
9.02 114 Ladarius Green K TE
10.13 139 Rueben Randle WR
11.02 142 St. Louis DEF
12.13 167 Jay Cutler QB
13.02 170 Tre Mason K RB
14.13 195 Matt Bryant K
15.02 198 Brandon Bolden RB
16.13 223 Nick Toon WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.35161.12307692307692116.9110442528707420.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.441166.5076923076923110.6713569030179250.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.125342.14871794871794132.6023898935117100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.886412.405128205128279.92356978829633120.38525.994871794871795114.5634218076616310.00061.1230769230769292.5913192749722520.34996.25128205128203117.0473626464774830.061131.37948717948717136.9765625235301640.000166.507692307692380.1119445752666250.335201.63589743589745118.047280533647860.047236.76410256410256137.9677420521359270.060271.89230769230767137.1043922259599480.542307.0205128205128103.6836660600409690.000342.14871794871794123.97401055625419100.113377.2769230769231133.4342816288554110.000412.405128205128218.61637034582342712Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231463.6326923076923119.9289940828402320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692346173.3442307692307109.2781065088757450209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692395356.19679487179485114.60355029585799100392.7673076923077141.230769230769231110429.337820512820587.9763313609467412427.062179487179485119.928994082840231063.632692307692398.6272189349112423100.20320512820511125.2544378698224832136.77371794871794130.5798816568047340173.344230769230777.3254437869822552209.91474358974358130.5798816568047360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692371283.0557692307692135.9053254437869885319.62628205128203114.6035502958579990356.1967948717948587.97633136094674102392.7673076923077130.57988165680473110429.337820512820534.7218934911242512All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Allen 4-8 12th 80.63 0.308 19.03 4-9 13th
1 987 2015 Kevin 3-9 14th 80.90 0.306 15.18 3-10 14th
2 963 2012 Richie 1-11 14th 79.71 0.292 18.36 1-12 14th
3 956 2013 Allen 4-8 13th 82.72 0.321 14.91 4-9 14th
4 954 2021 Rob 2-10 14th 85.79 0.318 16.50 2-12 14th
5 951 2011 Pulley 4-8 11th 88.02 0.315 16.23 5-8 10th
6 949 2024 Derrek 4-8 14th 87.03 0.320 18.23 4-10 14th
7 945 2022 Pulley 6-6 11th 86.36 0.319 14.40 7-7 8th
8 940 2012 Pat 5-7 9th 79.04 0.329 25.04 5-8 11th
9 939 2017 Mike R. 3-9 14th 78.94 0.285 14.49 3-10 14th
10 938 2010 Allen 6-6 6th 82.44 0.333 21.02 7-6 6th 4th place