2015 Allen (through 12 weeks)

4-8 (0.333), 967.50 points

12th place

3.70 expected wins (0.308)

44-112 all-play record (0.282)

-4.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 88.16 98.58 Richie -10.42
2 W 85.73 82.85 Rob 2.88
3 L 85.69 94.57 Schertz -8.88
4 L 58.51 83.83 Kevin -25.32
5 W 92.66 84.51 Dave 8.15
6 L 84.83 95.04 Rabbit -10.21
7 L 56.75 132.49 Matt -75.74 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 58.42 97.05 Mike R. -38.63
9 L 98.52 154.91 Pulley -56.39
10 W 67.81 61.63 Babel 6.18
11 L 66.81 74.26 Pat -7.45
12 W 123.61 100.69 Ed 22.92
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.23076923076923327.2%188.7100591715976371.9999999999999940.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.3%30.130177514792905140.5289173489805704.0%69.77514792899409130.98587523972873114.9%109.42011834319527103.24503524913038226.6%149.0650887573964473.7332106539885230.0%188.710059171597632.769230769230745417.4%228.3550295857988396.9071975562373857.2%268.0122.9234948398789861.9%307.64497041420117136.3131159528304370.3%347.28994082840245140.37827025249180.0%386.93491124260356141.1372658646516890.0%426.5798816568048141.22455101040353100.0%466.2248520710059141.23054152274727110.0%505.8698224852071141.230765718334712Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793111th65.13776223776223230.698224852071212th118.52937062937062253.18343195266272313th171.92097902097902275.6686390532544412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131113th599.053846153846275.66863905325441211th11.746153846153845230.698224852071110th65.13776223776223208.2130177514793212th118.52937062937062253.18343195266272313th171.92097902097902275.6686390532544412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272513th278.7041958041958275.6686390532544614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441112th599.053846153846253.183431952662721210th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793111th65.13776223776223230.698224852071212th118.52937062937062253.18343195266272313th171.92097902097902275.6686390532544412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.1538461538461312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Eddie Lacy RB
2.13 27 Russell Wilson QB
3.02 30 Sammy Watkins WR
4.13 55 Rashad Jennings RB
5.02 58 Anquan Boldin WR
6.13 83 Torrey Smith WR
7.02 86 Antonio Gates TE
8.13 111 Reggie Bush RB
9.02 114 Ladarius Green K TE
10.13 139 Rueben Randle WR
11.02 142 St. Louis DEF
12.13 167 Jay Cutler QB
13.02 170 Tre Mason K RB
14.13 195 Matt Bryant K
15.02 198 Brandon Bolden RB
16.13 223 Nick Toon WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.33561.12307692307692118.0650970828252520.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.441166.5076923076923110.6783603789513150.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.124342.14871794871794132.63401470492738100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.910412.405128205128278.24490414378792120.37125.994871794871795115.5195139725671510.00061.1230769230769294.8994249348812720.33496.25128205128203118.1332823447071730.072131.37948717948717136.2251051640414540.000166.507692307692380.125951527133450.319201.63589743589745119.1674254832495260.065236.76410256410256136.7024019972148570.072271.89230769230767136.2478335846687780.538307.0205128205128104.0189331351511290.000342.14871794871794124.03726017908552100.115377.2769230769231133.2931389031192110.000412.405128205128215.25903905680661412Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231463.6326923076923119.9289940828402320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692346173.3442307692307109.2781065088757450209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692395356.19679487179485114.60355029585799100392.7673076923077141.230769230769231110429.337820512820587.9763313609467412427.062179487179485119.928994082840231063.632692307692398.6272189349112423100.20320512820511125.2544378698224832136.77371794871794130.5798816568047340173.344230769230777.3254437869822552209.91474358974358130.5798816568047360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692371283.0557692307692135.9053254437869885319.62628205128203114.6035502958579990356.1967948717948587.97633136094674102392.7673076923077130.57988165680473110429.337820512820534.7218934911242512All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Allen 4-8 12th 80.63 0.308 19.03 4-9 13th
1 972 2015 Kevin 3-9 14th 80.90 0.298 15.18 3-10 14th
2 963 2013 Allen 4-8 13th 82.72 0.318 14.91 4-9 14th
3 955 2024 Derrek 4-8 14th 87.03 0.317 18.23 4-10 14th
4 952 2012 Richie 1-11 14th 79.71 0.286 18.36 1-12 14th
5 951 2021 Rob 2-10 14th 85.79 0.320 16.50 2-12 14th
6 947 2011 Pulley 4-8 11th 88.02 0.317 16.23 5-8 10th
7 943 2017 Mike R. 3-9 14th 78.94 0.287 14.49 3-10 14th
8 939 2012 Pat 5-7 9th 79.04 0.329 25.04 5-8 11th
9 939 2022 Pulley 6-6 11th 86.36 0.322 14.40 7-7 8th
10 938 2016 Richie 5-7 11th 87.31 0.324 17.91 5-8 12th