2012 Pat (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 948.45 points

9th place

3.95 expected wins (0.329)

49-107 all-play record (0.314)

-6.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 100.04 119.79 Mike R. -19.75
2 L 108.53 147.72 Allen -39.19
3 L 64.41 71.75 Rob -7.34
4 W 65.51 57.72 Schertz 7.79
5 W 107.02 54.78 Dave 52.24
6 W 105.34 76.03 Richie 29.31
7 L 41.41 97.03 Derrek -55.62 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 67.19 103.07 Pulley -35.88
9 L 83.66 114.71 Ed -31.05
10 W 76.97 43.52 Kevin 33.45
11 L 30.13 155.23 Matt -125.10 Slapped Heartbeat
12 W 98.24 84.83 Babel 13.41
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923421.4%228.3550295857988390.0495407218562350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.3%30.130177514792905140.5631686610696802.7%69.77514792899409134.74131871093857110.9%109.42011834319527115.22217238454778223.3%149.0650887573964485.53920879747926329.0%188.7100591715976372.040.0%228.3550295857988338.8683122129432459.4%268.0118.7320811752559462.5%307.64497041420117135.3445212230545670.4%347.28994082840245140.313558507937680.0%386.93491124260356141.1464808712017690.0%426.5798816568048141.2263803881371100.0%466.2248520710059141.23065214199454110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307680006823612Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th65.13776223776223118.2721893491124129th118.52937062937062185.7278106508876311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071410th225.3125874125874208.2130177514793511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441113th599.053846153846275.66863905325441210th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th65.13776223776223253.18343195266272213th118.52937062937062275.6686390532544312th171.92097902097902253.1834319526627249th225.3125874125874185.727810650887658th278.7041958041958163.24260355029585610th332.09580419580413208.2130177514793711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931010th545.6622377622377208.2130177514793119th599.053846153846185.7278106508876128th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th65.13776223776223140.75739644970415210th118.52937062937062208.2130177514793312th171.92097902097902253.18343195266272411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.1538461538461312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 7.11 - from Rob
  • Pick 8.04 - from Rob
  • Pick 6.14 - to Rob
  • Pick 8.14 - to Rob
9

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ray Rice RB
2.14 28 Reggie Bush RB
3.01 29 Hakeem Nicks WR
4.14 56 Isaac Redman RB
5.01 57 Matt Schaub QB
7.01 85 Sidney Rice WR
7.11 95 Greg Little WR
8.04 102 Anquan Boldin WR
9.01 113 Jay Cutler K QB
10.14 140 Pittsburgh DEF
11.01 141 Dustin Keller K TE
12.14 168 Brandon LaFell WR
13.01 169 Joe McKnight RB
14.14 196 Nate Kaeding K
15.01 197 Dallas Clark TE
16.14 224 Ryan Tannehill QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.094131.37948717948717134.702571558448140.681166.507692307692394.0527912665141850.648201.6358974358974596.3369975395582760.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.200342.14871794871794127.4067485370834100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.523412.4051282051282105.04198263981587120.55125.994871794871795103.0987026761813310.70361.1230769230769292.5299870844847920.08796.25128205128203135.2025968122488330.000131.37948717948717128.17437388612740.000166.507692307692346.8748133022591350.000201.6358974358974551.44322584834732560.035236.76410256410256138.8391441126175370.106271.89230769230767133.8843484158651680.288307.0205128205128121.2700749677112190.000342.14871794871794113.58272784339758100.033377.2769230769231138.93005779512674110.000412.405128205128268.853196048862512Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692332136.77371794871794130.5798816568047349173.344230769230793.3017751479289958209.9147435897435898.6272189349112460246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692393356.19679487179485125.25443786982248100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923115429.3378205128205114.6035502958579912627.062179487179485109.2781065088757411063.632692307692387.9763313609467421100.20320512820511135.9053254437869830136.77371794871794119.9289940828402340173.344230769230745.37278106508874550209.9147435897435856.0236686390532460246.4852564102564141.2307692307692371283.0557692307692135.9053254437869884319.62628205128203119.9289940828402390356.19679487179485109.27810650887574100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.337820512820587.9763313609467412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Pat 5-7 9th 79.04 0.329 25.04 5-8 11th
1 964 2010 Allen 6-6 6th 82.44 0.337 21.02 7-6 6th 4th place
2 963 2012 Kevin 4-8 12th 82.88 0.335 20.01 5-8 10th
3 963 2013 Derrek 6-6 9th 84.02 0.333 19.96 7-6 7th
4 956 2015 Derrek 6-6 7th 83.34 0.335 18.13 7-6 7th
5 947 2014 Allen 5-7 13th 86.15 0.332 15.77 6-7 10th
6 946 2020 Pat 4-8 13th 88.35 0.329 17.02 5-8 12th
7 943 2013 Allen 4-8 13th 82.72 0.318 14.91 4-9 14th
8 943 2024 Pulley 4-8 13th 88.19 0.330 15.61 4-10 13th
9 943 2016 Richie 5-7 11th 87.31 0.324 17.91 5-8 12th
10 939 2015 Allen 4-8 12th 80.63 0.308 19.03 4-9 13th