2012 Pat (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 948.45 points (79.04 average)

9th place

3.95 expected wins (0.329)

49-107 all-play record (0.314)

-7.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 100.04 119.79 Mike R. -19.75
2 L 108.53 147.72 Allen -39.19
3 L 64.41 71.75 Rob -7.34
4 W 65.51 57.72 Schertz 7.79
5 W 107.02 54.78 Dave 52.24
6 W 105.34 76.03 Richie 29.31
7 L 41.41 97.03 Derrek -55.62 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 67.19 103.07 Pulley -35.88
9 L 83.66 114.71 Ed -31.05
10 W 76.97 43.52 Kevin 33.45
11 L 30.13 155.23 Matt -125.10 Slapped Heartbeat
12 W 98.24 84.83 Babel 13.41
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923421.4%228.3550295857988390.0575206945750950.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.3%30.130177514792905140.553057017339302.7%69.77514792899409134.67241759846894111.0%109.42011834319527115.06222095929982223.4%149.0650887573964485.40934909667979329.0%188.7100591715976372.040.0%228.3550295857988338.8842721583809459.4%268.0118.725102894678862.4%307.64497041420117135.385879722164870.4%347.28994082840245140.3454753561369480.0%386.93491124260356141.154534865426990.0%426.5798816568048141.22727380491347100.0%466.2248520710059141.23069531408999110.0%505.8698224852071141.230768666733612Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th65.13776223776223140.7573964497041529th118.52937062937062185.7278106508876312th171.92097902097902253.18343195266272410th225.3125874125874208.2130177514793510th278.7041958041958208.2130177514793612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441113th599.053846153846275.66863905325441210th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th65.13776223776223253.18343195266272213th118.52937062937062275.6686390532544312th171.92097902097902253.1834319526627249th225.3125874125874185.727810650887658th278.7041958041958163.24260355029585610th332.09580419580413208.2130177514793711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931010th545.6622377622377208.2130177514793119th599.053846153846185.7278106508876128th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th65.13776223776223140.75739644970415210th118.52937062937062208.2130177514793312th171.92097902097902253.18343195266272411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.1538461538461312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 7.11 - from Rob
  • Pick 8.04 - from Rob
  • Pick 6.14 - to Rob
  • Pick 8.14 - to Rob
9

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ray Rice RB
2.14 28 Reggie Bush RB
3.01 29 Hakeem Nicks WR
4.14 56 Isaac Redman RB
5.01 57 Matt Schaub QB
7.01 85 Sidney Rice WR
7.11 95 Greg Little WR
8.04 102 Anquan Boldin WR
9.01 113 Jay Cutler K QB
10.14 140 Pittsburgh DEF
11.01 141 Dustin Keller K TE
12.14 168 Brandon LaFell WR
13.01 169 Joe McKnight RB
14.14 196 Nate Kaeding K
15.01 197 Dallas Clark TE
16.14 224 Ryan Tannehill QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.098131.37948717948717134.42233206169340.678166.507692307692394.2858087380874750.649201.6358974358974596.2699379422039460.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.217342.14871794871794126.21167622298525100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.514412.4051282051282105.63922533238306120.54325.994871794871795103.6124316695126710.70561.1230769230769292.41383936109920.09196.25128205128203134.9164845428197230.000131.37948717948717127.6138948926167440.000166.507692307692347.34084824540572450.000201.6358974358974551.3091066536386560.023236.76410256410256139.6311391071880670.107271.89230769230767133.8216343697106480.301307.0205128205128120.4258721223389490.000342.14871794871794111.19258321520127100.019377.2769230769231139.92793534199802110.000412.405128205128270.0476814339969112Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692332136.77371794871794130.5798816568047349173.344230769230793.3017751479289958209.9147435897435898.6272189349112460246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692393356.19679487179485125.25443786982248100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923115429.3378205128205114.6035502958579912627.062179487179485109.2781065088757411063.632692307692387.9763313609467421100.20320512820511135.9053254437869830136.77371794871794119.9289940828402340173.344230769230745.37278106508874550209.9147435897435856.0236686390532460246.4852564102564141.2307692307692371283.0557692307692135.9053254437869884319.62628205128203119.9289940828402390356.19679487179485109.27810650887574100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.337820512820587.9763313609467412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Pat 5-7 9th 79.04 0.329 25.04 5-8 11th
1 970 2010 Allen 6-6 6th 82.44 0.333 21.02 7-6 6th 4th place
2 958 2012 Kevin 4-8 12th 82.88 0.337 20.01 5-8 10th
3 957 2013 Derrek 6-6 9th 84.02 0.335 19.96 7-6 7th
4 952 2008 Dave 5-7 9th 79.36 0.350 23.31 5-8 11th
5 951 2015 Derrek 6-6 7th 83.34 0.338 18.13 7-6 7th
6 950 2013 Allen 4-8 13th 82.72 0.321 14.91 4-9 14th
7 946 2016 Richie 5-7 11th 87.31 0.326 17.91 5-8 12th
8 945 2020 Pat 4-8 13th 88.35 0.328 17.02 5-8 12th
9 943 2024 Pulley 4-8 13th 88.19 0.328 15.61 4-10 13th
10 942 2014 Allen 5-7 13th 86.15 0.334 15.77 6-7 10th