2013 Pat (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 958.78 points (87.16 average)

12th place

4.09 expected wins (0.372)

52-91 all-play record (0.364)

-9.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 91.71 131.44 Derrek -39.73
2 W 91.19 70.28 Dave 20.91
3 W 77.19 76.61 Babel 0.58
4 L 99.01 107.96 Matt -8.95
5 W 118.50 81.37 Allen 37.13
6 L 95.53 109.89 Pulley -14.36
7 L 55.91 85.61 Schertz -29.70 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 100.14 77.64 Rob 22.50
9 L 85.94 96.21 Ed -10.27
10 L 69.71 102.64 Mike R. -32.93
11 L 73.95 91.01 Kevin -17.06
12 Richie
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923327.3%203.5769230769230772.040.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.2%31.782051282051285140.649878032289902.5%74.73076923076923134.80917657963528110.2%117.67948717948717115.3390616810434221.6%160.6282051282051486.5251927281041230.0%203.576923076923072.7692307692307736422.0%246.5256410256410285.6245385547933511.4%289.474358974359112.3147806973595163.8%332.42307692307696131.5614230988154570.8%375.3717948717949139.2190421599064580.1%418.3205128205129140.9879452906828390.0%461.26923076923083141.21608211166208100.0%504.21794871794873141.2304671019299511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272111th70.47692307692309230.698224852071212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613410th246.66923076923075208.213017751479359th305.4185.7278106508876611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711011th599.053846153846230.6982248520711112th11.746153846153845253.1834319526627219th70.47692307692309185.727810650887627th129.2076923076923140.75739644970415311th187.93846153846152230.69822485207148th246.66923076923075163.24260355029585510th305.4208.2130177514793611th364.1307692307692230.69822485207178th422.86153846153843163.24260355029585810th481.59230769230766208.2130177514793912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721012th599.053846153846253.183431952662721112th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th70.47692307692309208.2130177514793212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613410th246.66923076923075208.213017751479359th305.4185.7278106508876611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711011th599.053846153846230.69822485207111Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Arian Foster RB
2.12 26 Drew Brees QB
3.03 31 Eddie Lacy RB
4.12 54 James Jones WR
5.03 59 Reggie Wayne K WR
6.12 82 Kyle Rudolph TE
7.03 87 Jay Cutler K QB
8.12 110 Michael Floyd WR
9.03 115 Isaac Redman RB
10.12 138 Kendall Wright WR
11.03 143 Jonathan Stewart RB
12.12 166 New England DEF
13.03 171 Johnathan Franklin RB
14.12 194 Phil Dawson K
15.03 199 Santana Moss WR
16.12 222 Ed Dickson TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.40165.91328671328671113.4410543830501620.221104.23496503496503125.9596837084744230.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.842180.8783216783216482.9491015120076250.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.541295.8433566433567103.7722958080132780.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.41227.59160839160839112.7177856693078210.00065.9132867132867185.6513395353310820.000104.23496503496503110.688598186179630.522142.55664335664335105.0827563075849940.000180.8783216783216424.6674337932459950.471219.19999999999996108.6244687860113960.037257.5216783216783138.6477371299408270.000295.843356643356766.313822385257380.338334.165034965035117.8461448862261390.129372.4867132867133132.31177518539624100.180410.8083916083916128.77927958261411Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231568.61958041958042114.6035502958579924108.5146853146853119.9289940828402330148.40979020979017141.23076923076923412188.3048951048950877.3254437869822550228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692377307.9902097902098103.9526627218934980347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311228.724475524475523130.579881656804731068.6195804195804287.9763313609467420108.514685314685398.6272189349112436148.40979020979017109.2781065088757440188.3048951048950813.4201183431952758228.298.6272189349112460268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.990209790209866.6745562130177583347.8853146853147125.2544378698224893387.7804195804196125.25443786982248102427.67552447552447130.5798816568047311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Pat 4-7 12th 87.16 0.372 16.39 5-8 12th
1 990 2010 Kevin 3-8 11th 88.08 0.374 15.17 5-8 10th
2 977 2017 Richie 4-7 13th 84.14 0.373 21.05 6-7 8th
3 976 2014 Allen 5-6 11th 87.65 0.362 15.63 6-7 10th
4 972 2016 Pat 6-5 6th 89.10 0.363 17.23 7-6 7th
5 972 2015 Derrek 6-5 7th 85.22 0.363 17.77 7-6 7th
6 971 2021 Pulley 3-8 10th 91.19 0.378 16.28 5-9 10th
7 971 2014 Richie 4-7 13th 89.51 0.378 19.86 6-7 9th
8 971 2016 Mike R. 3-8 13th 90.72 0.379 16.70 5-8 11th
9 971 2023 Scott 6-5 8th 90.24 0.367 19.89 8-6 7th
10 971 2022 Babel 3-8 14th 87.69 0.359 16.45 3-11 14th