2013 Pat (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 958.78 points

12th place

4.08 expected wins (0.371)

52-91 all-play record (0.364)

-9.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 91.71 131.44 Derrek -39.73
2 W 91.19 70.28 Dave 20.91
3 W 77.19 76.61 Babel 0.58
4 L 99.01 107.96 Matt -8.95
5 W 118.50 81.37 Allen 37.13
6 L 95.53 109.89 Pulley -14.36
7 L 55.91 85.61 Schertz -29.70 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 100.14 77.64 Rob 22.50
9 L 85.94 96.21 Ed -10.27
10 L 69.71 102.64 Mike R. -32.93
11 L 73.95 91.01 Kevin -17.06
12 Richie
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923327.5%203.5769230769230771.9999999999999940.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.2%31.782051282051285140.668190361069102.5%74.73076923076923134.8976816145796110.2%117.67948717948717115.42708108717326221.7%160.6282051282051486.4623147744105430.0%203.576923076923072.769230769230745421.9%246.5256410256410286.00025512165746511.3%289.474358974359112.8517476195380763.7%332.42307692307696131.8882509631510570.8%375.3717948717949139.316583070212180.1%418.3205128205129141.0009935219401690.0%461.26923076923083141.21650097721016100.0%504.21794871794873141.230436323254211Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th70.47692307692309208.2130177514793212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613410th246.66923076923075208.213017751479359th305.4185.7278106508876611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711011th599.053846153846230.6982248520711112th11.746153846153845253.1834319526627219th70.47692307692309185.727810650887627th129.2076923076923140.75739644970415311th187.93846153846152230.69822485207148th246.66923076923075163.24260355029585510th305.4208.2130177514793611th364.1307692307692230.69822485207178th422.86153846153843163.24260355029585810th481.59230769230766208.2130177514793912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721012th599.053846153846253.183431952662721112th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th70.47692307692309208.2130177514793212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613410th246.66923076923075208.213017751479359th305.4185.7278106508876611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711011th599.053846153846230.69822485207111Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Arian Foster RB
2.12 26 Drew Brees QB
3.03 31 Eddie Lacy RB
4.12 54 James Jones WR
5.03 59 Reggie Wayne K WR
6.12 82 Kyle Rudolph TE
7.03 87 Jay Cutler K QB
8.12 110 Michael Floyd WR
9.03 115 Isaac Redman RB
10.12 138 Kendall Wright WR
11.03 143 Jonathan Stewart RB
12.12 166 New England DEF
13.03 171 Johnathan Franklin RB
14.12 194 Phil Dawson K
15.03 199 Santana Moss WR
16.12 222 Ed Dickson TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.40065.91328671328671113.5114678492879420.203104.23496503496503127.2053412772388630.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.846180.8783216783216482.680365268349550.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.551295.8433566433567103.0904869916688780.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.41027.59160839160839112.8409794407824610.00065.9132867132867185.7921664678066520.000104.23496503496503113.1799133237084830.533142.55664335664335104.3064574952296740.000180.8783216783216424.12996130592979750.479219.19999999999996108.0793753193621960.050257.5216783216783137.7399642379944670.000295.843356643356764.9502047525685180.323334.165034965035118.8526466967044890.125372.4867132867133132.58061275559635100.164410.8083916083916129.8759307009471211Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231568.61958041958042114.6035502958579924108.5146853146853119.9289940828402330148.40979020979017141.23076923076923412188.3048951048950877.3254437869822550228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692377307.9902097902098103.9526627218934980347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311228.724475524475523130.579881656804731068.6195804195804287.9763313609467420108.514685314685398.6272189349112436148.40979020979017109.2781065088757440188.3048951048950813.4201183431952758228.298.6272189349112460268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.990209790209866.6745562130177583347.8853146853147125.2544378698224893387.7804195804196125.25443786982248102427.67552447552447130.5798816568047311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Pat 4-7 12th 87.16 0.371 16.39 5-8 12th
1 985 2010 Kevin 3-8 11th 88.08 0.376 15.17 5-8 10th
2 980 2023 Scott 6-5 8th 90.24 0.371 19.89 8-6 7th
3 975 2017 Allen 4-7 11th 85.93 0.378 13.54 5-8 12th
4 973 2022 Babel 3-8 14th 87.69 0.359 16.45 3-11 14th
5 973 2014 Allen 5-6 11th 87.65 0.360 15.63 6-7 10th
6 972 2014 Richie 4-7 13th 89.51 0.377 19.86 6-7 9th
7 971 2016 Pat 6-5 6th 89.10 0.362 17.23 7-6 7th
8 970 2017 Richie 4-7 13th 84.14 0.375 21.05 6-7 8th
9 970 2016 Mike R. 3-8 13th 90.72 0.379 16.70 5-8 11th
10 969 2015 Derrek 6-5 7th 85.22 0.361 17.77 7-6 7th