2009 Pat (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,061.05 points

9th place

4.64 expected wins (0.422)

49-72 all-play record (0.405)

+5.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 79.52 116.27 Matt -36.75
2 L 77.91 106.68 Rabbit -28.77 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 107.48 102.29 Kevin 5.19
4 L 87.73 91.72 Dave -3.99
5 W 113.92 93.89 Pulley 20.03
6 W 158.64 115.12 Mike R. 43.52 Team Blangums
7 W 81.24 73.82 Derrek 7.42
8 W 89.08 62.71 Babel 26.37
9 L 83.77 90.13 Rob -6.36
10 L 76.44 172.68 Ed -96.24
11 L 105.32 115.22 Allen -9.90
12 Matt
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923427.2%246.5256410256410272.050.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2128101528754800.6%74.73076923076923139.8155555782903114.5%117.67948717948717129.72470567169722215.2%160.62820512820514102.63143196032448326.7%203.5769230769230773.3453569985807740.0%246.525641025641022.7692307692307736517.1%289.47435897435997.7469057642522266.8%332.42307692307696123.8973538183495271.7%375.3717948717949136.8383075317469580.3%418.3205128205129140.545871240717990.0%461.26923076923083141.1709059741125100.0%504.21794871794873141.228526371085411Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613210th129.2076923076923245.006993006993310th187.93846153846152245.00699300699349th246.66923076923075218.4335664335664557th305.4165.286713286713368th364.1307692307692191.860139860139979th422.86153846153843218.43356643356645811th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196911th540.3230769230769271.58041958041961011th599.053846153846271.58041958041961110th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613211th129.2076923076923271.5804195804196311th187.93846153846152271.5804195804196411th246.66923076923075271.580419580419655th305.4112.1398601398601664th364.130769230769285.5664335664335773rd422.8615384615384358.99300699300701584th481.5923076923076685.5664335664335799th540.3230769230769218.43356643356645109th599.053846153846218.433566433566451110th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613210th129.2076923076923245.006993006993310th187.93846153846152245.00699300699349th246.66923076923075218.4335664335664553rd305.458.99300699300701567th364.1307692307692165.286713286713375th422.86153846153843112.1398601398601686th481.59230769230766138.71328671328675911th540.3230769230769271.5804195804196109th599.053846153846218.4335664335664511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Brian Westbrook K RB
2.08 20 Marques Colston WR
3.05 29 Willie Parker RB
4.08 44 Matt Ryan QB
5.05 53 Santana Moss WR
6.08 68 Ray Rice RB
7.05 77 Carson Palmer QB
8.08 92 Anthony Gonzalez K WR
9.05 101 Muhsin Muhammad WR
10.08 116 LeSean McCoy RB
11.05 125 Zach Miller TE
12.08 140 New England DEF
13.05 149 Jason Elam K
14.08 164 Hakeem Nicks WR
15.05 173 Tony Scheffler TE
16.08 188 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.653104.2349650349650396.020496902965730.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.753180.8783216783216489.0656001910105650.986219.1999999999999672.9738783868790460.214257.5216783216783126.4197594919853670.336295.8433566433567117.9761512289417780.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.19427.59160839160839127.8175573605645910.17265.91328671328671129.3176331219666820.000104.2349650349650350.81022457516219530.317142.55664335664335119.3171280459527340.000180.8783216783216436.90043115125189450.000219.199999999999964.71698754298884660.000257.5216783216783111.608749753201570.000295.843356643356794.7215332271143280.253334.165034965035123.7378058579634490.155372.4867132867133130.4767825739592100.610410.808391608391698.9979200051425911Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.23076923076923210108.514685314685378.293706293706330148.40979020979017141.23076923076923410188.3048951048950878.2937062937063511228.272.062268.09510489510484128.6433566433566474307.9902097902098116.0559440559440580347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311228.724475524475523128.643356643356641068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.514685314685315.3566433566433633148.40979020979017122.3496503496503540188.3048951048950815.3566433566433650228.22.769230769230773660268.09510489510484116.0559440559440570307.990209790209890.881118881118982347.8853146853147128.6433566433566492387.7804195804196128.64335664335664103427.67552447552447122.3496503496503511All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Pat 5-6 9th 96.46 0.422 23.21 6-7 8th
1 973 2014 Kevin 3-8 14th 90.94 0.423 24.62 4-9 14th
2 970 2023 Schertz 4-7 11th 96.47 0.435 21.65 6-8 9th
3 969 2019 Ed 4-7 11th 96.21 0.434 26.46 5-8 11th
4 966 2014 Pat 4-7 12th 91.17 0.425 19.35 5-8 11th
5 962 2010 Mike R. 4-7 10th 89.67 0.425 21.38 4-9 11th
6 950 2021 Mike R. 2-9 12th 95.11 0.443 21.80 4-10 11th
7 945 2009 Dave 5-6 10th 94.74 0.438 14.58 5-8 11th
8 944 2023 Dave 6-5 7th 97.19 0.447 22.06 6-8 10th
9 943 2010 Rob 4-7 9th 90.74 0.437 20.67 6-7 7th
10 942 2022 Mike R. 6-5 7th 94.17 0.437 14.11 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion