2009 Pat (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,061.05 points (96.46 average)

9th place

4.50 expected wins (0.409)

49-72 all-play record (0.405)

+5.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 79.52 116.27 Matt -36.75
2 L 77.91 106.68 Rabbit -28.77 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 107.48 102.29 Kevin 5.19
4 L 87.73 91.72 Dave -3.99
5 W 113.92 93.89 Pulley 20.03
6 W 158.64 115.12 Mike R. 43.52 Team Blangums
7 W 81.24 73.82 Derrek 7.42
8 W 89.08 62.71 Babel 26.37
9 L 83.77 90.13 Rob -6.36
10 L 76.44 172.68 Ed -96.24
11 L 105.32 115.22 Allen -9.90
12 Matt
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923426.9%246.5256410256410275.5189325842601850.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.191286726387200.7%74.73076923076923139.6095550114446815.1%117.67948717948717128.65855299306696216.8%160.62820512820514100.12911351437081328.3%203.5769230769230772.040.0%246.525641025641029.807095937751143515.3%289.474358974359103.7535878705621165.4%332.42307692307696127.9356517173032771.2%375.3717948717949138.2821530271450680.2%418.3205128205129140.834113897843890.0%461.26923076923083141.2012311405765100.0%504.21794871794873141.229836734670811Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613210th129.2076923076923245.006993006993310th187.93846153846152245.00699300699349th246.66923076923075218.4335664335664557th305.4165.286713286713368th364.1307692307692191.860139860139979th422.86153846153843218.43356643356645811th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196911th540.3230769230769271.58041958041961011th599.053846153846271.58041958041961110th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613211th129.2076923076923271.5804195804196311th187.93846153846152271.5804195804196411th246.66923076923075271.580419580419655th305.4112.1398601398601664th364.130769230769285.5664335664335773rd422.8615384615384358.99300699300701584th481.5923076923076685.5664335664335799th540.3230769230769218.43356643356645109th599.053846153846218.433566433566451110th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613210th129.2076923076923245.006993006993310th187.93846153846152245.00699300699349th246.66923076923075218.4335664335664553rd305.458.99300699300701567th364.1307692307692165.286713286713375th422.86153846153843112.1398601398601686th481.59230769230766138.71328671328675911th540.3230769230769271.5804195804196109th599.053846153846218.4335664335664511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Brian Westbrook K RB
2.08 20 Marques Colston WR
3.05 29 Willie Parker RB
4.08 44 Matt Ryan QB
5.05 53 Santana Moss WR
6.08 68 Ray Rice RB
7.05 77 Carson Palmer QB
8.08 92 Anthony Gonzalez K WR
9.05 101 Muhsin Muhammad WR
10.08 116 LeSean McCoy RB
11.05 125 Zach Miller TE
12.08 140 New England DEF
13.05 149 Jason Elam K
14.08 164 Hakeem Nicks WR
15.05 173 Tony Scheffler TE
16.08 188 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.665104.2349650349650395.1592187352675730.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.772180.8783216783216487.7952775813438550.970219.1999999999999674.091511952996960.187257.5216783216783128.26655749096370.319295.8433566433567119.1273567827696280.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.16727.59160839160839129.6533692839078610.13865.91328671328671131.6495964680043820.000104.2349650349650349.0876682397659230.304142.55664335664335120.1749028834846940.000180.8783216783216434.3597859319184850.000219.199999999999966.95225467522456660.000257.5216783216783115.3023457511567670.000295.843356643356797.0239443347700180.235334.165034965035124.9943779881927190.125372.4867132867133132.58559571775135100.621410.808391608391698.2097112605048311Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.23076923076923210108.514685314685378.293706293706330148.40979020979017141.23076923076923410188.3048951048950878.2937062937063511228.272.062268.09510489510484128.6433566433566474307.9902097902098116.0559440559440580347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311228.724475524475523128.643356643356641068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.514685314685315.3566433566433633148.40979020979017122.3496503496503540188.3048951048950815.3566433566433650228.22.769230769230773660268.09510489510484116.0559440559440570307.990209790209890.881118881118982347.8853146853147128.6433566433566492387.7804195804196128.64335664335664103427.67552447552447122.3496503496503511All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Pat 5-6 9th 96.46 0.409 23.21 6-7 8th
1 952 2014 Kevin 3-8 14th 90.94 0.421 24.62 4-9 14th
2 951 2012 Pulley 4-7 9th 89.48 0.408 14.29 4-9 12th
3 946 2022 Richie 5-6 12th 91.48 0.401 14.88 6-8 13th
4 945 2014 Derrek 5-6 10th 89.28 0.399 25.56 5-8 12th
5 940 2019 Richie 4-7 13th 94.32 0.390 17.18 5-8 12th
6 936 2019 Ed 4-7 11th 96.21 0.438 26.46 5-8 11th
7 935 2010 Mike R. 4-7 10th 89.67 0.426 21.38 4-9 11th
8 934 2014 Pat 4-7 12th 91.17 0.428 19.35 5-8 11th
9 934 2023 Schertz 4-7 11th 96.47 0.441 21.65 6-8 9th
10 927 2009 Dave 5-6 10th 94.74 0.434 14.58 5-8 11th