2014 Pat (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 1,002.88 points (91.17 average)

12th place

4.71 expected wins (0.428)

64-79 all-play record (0.448)

+15.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.15 62.19 Mike R. 40.96
2 W 107.21 100.70 Richie 6.51
3 L 84.31 147.33 Pulley -63.02
4 L 97.37 124.36 Derrek -26.99
5 W 78.58 72.85 Kevin 5.73
6 L 66.61 111.37 Matt -44.76
7 L 81.67 111.64 Rob -29.97
8 L 118.22 151.00 Babel -32.78
9 L 51.98 93.61 Ed -41.63 Slapped Heartbeat
10 W 110.01 82.61 Schertz 27.40
11 L 103.77 106.37 Dave -2.60
12 Allen
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923324.9%203.5769230769230778.572883463734740.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.1%31.782051282051285141.0844049449573800.8%74.73076923076923139.2014671743258414.6%117.67948717948717129.76056832834024213.8%160.62820512820514106.4005945585019230.0%203.5769230769230715.91499769670017427.5%246.5256410256410272.0518.7%289.47435897435994.1353539815817467.7%332.42307692307696121.9491844276667871.8%375.3717948717949136.714901586773980.2%418.3205128205129140.6883299708899890.0%461.26923076923083141.2050964349965100.0%504.21794871794873141.2305423666123311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th70.4769230769230995.786982248520726th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124138th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958548th246.66923076923075163.24260355029585512th305.4253.18343195266272611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071710th422.86153846153843208.2130177514793812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272910th540.3230769230769208.2130177514793109th599.053846153846185.7278106508876116th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd70.4769230769230950.81656804733728425th129.207692307692395.786982248520738th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958546th246.66923076923075118.2721893491124158th305.4163.24260355029585610th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793710th422.86153846153843208.2130177514793812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272910th540.3230769230769208.21301775147931012th599.053846153846253.18343195266272117th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th70.4769230769230995.786982248520726th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124138th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958549th246.66923076923075185.7278106508876512th305.4253.18343195266272611th364.1307692307692230.69822485207179th422.86153846153843185.7278106508876813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544911th540.3230769230769230.698224852071109th599.053846153846185.727810650887611Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Calvin Johnson WR
2.11 25 Drew Brees K QB
3.04 32 Eddie Lacy K RB
4.11 53 Stevan Ridley RB
5.04 60 Reggie Wayne WR
6.11 81 Khiry Robinson RB
7.04 88 Cecil Shorts III WR
8.11 109 Delanie Walker TE
9.04 116 Chris Ivory RB
10.11 137 Donald Brown RB
11.04 144 James Starks RB
12.11 165 James Jones WR
13.04 172 Kansas City DEF
14.11 193 Nick Novak K
15.04 200 Stevie Johnson WR
16.11 221 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.57827.59160839160839101.2196271036865210.67065.9132867132867194.8304017612265120.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.221180.87832167832164125.9043149384889150.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.714372.486713286713391.82404069075403100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083961.2084849766038110.00065.9132867132867148.43003429168379620.297104.23496503496503120.6920554717110930.476142.55664335664335108.3108779743475540.000180.87832167832164110.5778606462085950.076219.19999999999996135.939491042794860.252257.5216783216783123.7715520687901470.817295.843356643356784.6662629254087280.011334.165034965035140.4580329757881790.000372.486713286713342.41731215073882100.594410.8083916083916100.1315315925210711Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011728.724475524475523103.9526627218934911168.6195804195804282.650887573964520108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692343188.30489510489508125.2544378698224850228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.23076923076923910387.780419580419687.97633136094674100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552366.674556213017751068.6195804195804224.07100591715975224108.5146853146853119.9289940828402333148.40979020979017125.2544378698224840188.30489510489508109.2781065088757451228.2135.9053254437869866268.09510489510484109.2781065088757479307.990209790209893.3017751479289980347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.780419580419634.721893491124251010427.6755244755244787.9763313609467411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Pat 4-7 12th 91.17 0.428 19.35 5-8 11th
1 987 2010 Mike R. 4-7 10th 89.67 0.426 21.38 4-9 11th
2 979 2010 Rob 4-7 9th 90.74 0.436 20.67 6-7 7th
3 975 2014 Kevin 3-8 14th 90.94 0.421 24.62 4-9 14th
4 971 2014 Ed 5-6 8th 93.09 0.434 14.77 6-7 8th
5 970 2008 Allen 8-3 2nd 88.51 0.431 12.64 8-5 4th 5th place
6 967 2008 Mike R. 3-8 11th 88.50 0.439 19.26 5-8 8th
7 964 2009 Dave 5-6 10th 94.74 0.434 14.58 5-8 11th
8 959 2022 Mike R. 6-5 7th 94.17 0.437 14.11 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion
9 951 2017 Pat 4-7 10th 90.64 0.449 17.66 6-7 7th
10 950 2021 Mike R. 2-9 12th 95.11 0.442 21.80 4-10 11th