2014 Pat (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 1,002.88 points

12th place

4.67 expected wins (0.425)

64-79 all-play record (0.448)

+15.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.15 62.19 Mike R. 40.96
2 W 107.21 100.70 Richie 6.51
3 L 84.31 147.33 Pulley -63.02
4 L 97.37 124.36 Derrek -26.99
5 W 78.58 72.85 Kevin 5.73
6 L 66.61 111.37 Matt -44.76
7 L 81.67 111.64 Rob -29.97
8 L 118.22 151.00 Babel -32.78
9 L 51.98 93.61 Ed -41.63 Slapped Heartbeat
10 W 110.01 82.61 Schertz 27.40
11 L 103.77 106.37 Dave -2.60
12 Allen
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923325.3%203.5769230769230777.5630437971073340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.1%31.782051282051285141.078101996812500.8%74.73076923076923139.1163269157291614.7%117.67948717948717129.3425222540106214.2%160.62820512820514105.4292393240153330.0%203.5769230769230713.895318363445426427.5%246.5256410256410272.0518.3%289.47435897435995.1589587496727967.3%332.42307692307696122.8791356180973571.7%375.3717948717949137.0364834693732580.2%418.3205128205129140.7259600502465690.0%461.26923076923083141.20424002732818100.0%504.21794871794873141.230367128016511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th70.4769230769230995.786982248520726th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124138th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958549th246.66923076923075185.7278106508876512th305.4253.18343195266272612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272710th422.86153846153843208.2130177514793813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544910th540.3230769230769208.2130177514793109th599.053846153846185.7278106508876116th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd70.4769230769230950.81656804733728425th129.207692307692395.786982248520738th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958546th246.66923076923075118.2721893491124158th305.4163.24260355029585610th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793710th422.86153846153843208.2130177514793812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272910th540.3230769230769208.21301775147931012th599.053846153846253.18343195266272117th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th70.4769230769230995.786982248520726th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124138th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958549th246.66923076923075185.7278106508876512th305.4253.18343195266272611th364.1307692307692230.69822485207179th422.86153846153843185.7278106508876813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544911th540.3230769230769230.698224852071109th599.053846153846185.727810650887611Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Calvin Johnson WR
2.11 25 Drew Brees K QB
3.04 32 Eddie Lacy K RB
4.11 53 Stevan Ridley RB
5.04 60 Reggie Wayne WR
6.11 81 Khiry Robinson RB
7.04 88 Cecil Shorts III WR
8.11 109 Delanie Walker TE
9.04 116 Chris Ivory RB
10.11 137 Donald Brown RB
11.04 144 James Starks RB
12.11 165 James Jones WR
13.04 172 Kansas City DEF
14.11 193 Nick Novak K
15.04 200 Stevie Johnson WR
16.11 221 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.58327.59160839160839100.8370526387597910.66465.9132867132867195.2572253747565620.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.198180.87832167832164127.5315826655288250.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.708372.486713286713392.20025280038412100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083960.4433360467503610.00065.9132867132867149.28368151874390420.278104.23496503496503121.9858480324665530.486142.55664335664335107.6101219856965140.000180.87832167832164113.8323961002884250.079219.19999999999996135.736542511985760.235257.5216783216783124.9746353449570870.821295.843356643356784.4157687355323780.024334.165034965035139.5776455980001790.000372.486713286713343.169736369999015100.596410.808391608391699.9620084446085711Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011728.724475524475523103.9526627218934911168.6195804195804282.650887573964520108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692343188.30489510489508125.2544378698224850228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.23076923076923910387.780419580419687.97633136094674100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552366.674556213017751068.6195804195804224.07100591715975224108.5146853146853119.9289940828402333148.40979020979017125.2544378698224840188.30489510489508109.2781065088757451228.2135.9053254437869866268.09510489510484109.2781065088757479307.990209790209893.3017751479289980347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.780419580419634.721893491124251010427.6755244755244787.9763313609467411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Pat 4-7 12th 91.17 0.425 19.35 5-8 11th
1 988 2010 Mike R. 4-7 10th 89.67 0.425 21.38 4-9 11th
2 986 2014 Kevin 3-8 14th 90.94 0.423 24.62 4-9 14th
3 972 2010 Rob 4-7 9th 90.74 0.437 20.67 6-7 7th
4 966 2009 Pat 5-6 9th 96.46 0.422 23.21 6-7 8th
5 961 2014 Ed 5-6 8th 93.09 0.436 14.77 6-7 8th
6 953 2023 Schertz 4-7 11th 96.47 0.435 21.65 6-8 9th
7 952 2022 Mike R. 6-5 7th 94.17 0.437 14.11 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion
8 952 2008 Allen 8-3 2nd 88.51 0.437 12.64 8-5 4th 5th place
9 950 2012 Pulley 4-7 9th 89.48 0.408 14.29 4-9 12th
10 950 2009 Dave 5-6 10th 94.74 0.438 14.58 5-8 11th