2011 Pat (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 944.11 points

11th place

3.82 expected wins (0.347)

36-85 all-play record (0.298)

+9.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 L 52.13 112.20 Mike R. -60.07 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 109.79 83.90 Kevin 25.89
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923330.2%203.5769230769230772.040.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.2%31.782051282051285140.6662680203127702.6%74.73076923076923135.18258807139807111.1%117.67948717948717115.74923140988578224.3%160.6282051282051485.4938073851205330.0%203.576923076923072.7692307692307736421.6%246.5256410256410291.7643697938942558.4%289.474358974359121.9148232638932361.5%332.42307692307696137.7135204933837370.1%375.3717948717949141.056147117368880.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.2307692307692311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th70.4769230769230985.5664335664335724th129.207692307692385.5664335664335737th187.93846153846152165.2867132867133411th246.66923076923075271.5804195804196511th305.4271.5804195804196611th364.1307692307692271.5804195804196711th422.86153846153843271.5804195804196812th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613912th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131011th599.053846153846271.5804195804196113rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th70.4769230769230985.5664335664335723rd129.207692307692358.99300699300701536th187.93846153846152138.71328671328675410th246.66923076923075245.006993006993511th305.4271.5804195804196612th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613712th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613812th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613912th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131011th599.053846153846271.5804195804196113rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th70.4769230769230985.5664335664335725th129.2076923076923112.1398601398601637th187.93846153846152165.2867132867133411th246.66923076923075271.5804195804196511th305.4271.5804195804196612th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613712th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613812th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613912th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131012th599.053846153846298.1538461538461311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.79827.5916083916083984.1361448962689910.00065.91328671328671138.1783785862100720.382104.23496503496503112.2982247196624130.000142.55664335664335138.1783785862100740.000180.87832167832164138.1783785862100750.000219.19999999999996138.1783785862100760.000257.5216783216783138.1783785862100770.334295.8433566433567115.56564834558180.000334.165034965035138.1783785862100790.000372.4867132867133138.17837858621007100.664410.808391608391693.2271398826683110.00027.5916083916083930.09391120632790310.57465.9132867132867199.2952123308027820.000104.2349650349650386.4180708531147630.529142.55664335664335102.373703298079824-0.022180.87832167832164139.6378917936749850.070219.19999999999996133.425341430108726-0.023257.5216783216783139.7045739084896470.000295.843356643356792.9529181049519280.527334.165034965035102.473726470301819-0.017372.4867132867133139.34893596281142100.000410.808391608391648.2759011791265111Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011928.72447552447552384.587412587412591068.61958041958042141.2307692307692323108.5146853146853122.3496503496503530148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692374307.9902097902098116.0559440559440580347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923108427.6755244755244790.8811188811188811028.72447552447552327.9440559440559471368.61958041958042122.3496503496503520108.5146853146853103.4685314685314734148.40979020979017116.0559440559440540188.30489510489508141.2307692307692351228.2134.9370629370629360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.990209790209890.881118881118984347.8853146853147116.0559440559440590387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.6755244755244740.5314685314685311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 4-7 11th 85.83 0.347 24.78 5-8 11th
1 990 2013 Richie 5-6 9th 85.15 0.346 21.74 6-7 10th
2 971 2022 Pulley 6-5 8th 87.53 0.346 14.48 7-7 8th
3 965 2010 Pat 3-8 12th 83.33 0.357 22.03 3-10 12th
4 965 2020 Pat 4-7 12th 89.29 0.344 17.48 5-8 12th
5 963 2016 Richie 5-6 10th 89.65 0.350 16.87 5-8 12th
6 959 2008 Matt 1-10 12th 80.26 0.344 18.68 3-10 12th
7 956 2015 Derrek 6-5 7th 85.22 0.361 17.77 7-6 7th
8 952 2022 Babel 3-8 14th 87.69 0.359 16.45 3-11 14th
9 952 2017 Matt 4-7 12th 84.45 0.360 16.17 5-8 11th
10 951 2023 Derrek 3-8 12th 89.10 0.355 15.25 5-9 12th