2016 Richie (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 986.12 points

10th place

3.85 expected wins (0.350)

45-98 all-play record (0.315)

-11.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 85.25 72.19 Allen 13.06
2 L 75.70 139.75 Matt -64.05
3 W 84.08 67.22 Derrek 16.86
4 W 128.25 88.31 Rob 39.94
5 W 108.72 60.32 Mike R. 48.40
6 L 103.34 124.07 Rabbit -20.73
7 L 76.70 90.37 Kevin -13.67
8 L 86.15 125.04 Dave -38.89
9 L 69.02 145.34 Pulley -76.32 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 74.86 89.80 Babel -14.94 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 94.05 65.83 Ed 28.22
12 Pat
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923419.4%246.5256410256410294.0184960786490450.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.2%31.782051282051285140.7048485267361602.9%74.73076923076923134.0985823993911112.5%117.67948717948717110.90019985683499225.3%160.6282051282051479.84877761523471328.5%203.5769230769230772.040.0%246.5256410256410246.8062229265288358.4%289.474358974359120.9136888180866562.3%332.42307692307696135.6274203461025370.4%375.3717948717949140.249591705322380.0%418.3205128205129141.126060023842990.0%461.26923076923083141.22460759743245100.0%504.21794871794873141.230617438239111Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544214th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613311th187.93846153846152230.698224852071410th246.66923076923075208.213017751479359th305.4185.727810650887669th364.1307692307692185.7278106508876711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071914th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131014th599.053846153846298.15384615384613117th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th70.47692307692309208.213017751479328th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958534th187.9384615384615273.3017751479289943rd246.6692307692307550.81656804733728455th305.495.786982248520767th364.1307692307692140.7573964497041578th422.86153846153843163.24260355029585812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721010th599.053846153846208.21301775147931112th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544214th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613310th187.93846153846152208.2130177514793410th246.66923076923075208.213017751479359th305.4185.727810650887669th364.1307692307692185.7278106508876710th422.86153846153843208.2130177514793811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721012th599.053846153846253.1834319526627211Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Rob Gronkowski K TE
2.04 18 Alshon Jeffery WR
3.11 39 Golden Tate WR
4.04 46 Matt Jones RB
5.11 67 Emmanuel Sanders WR
6.04 74 Carson Palmer QB
7.11 95 Justin Forsett RB
8.04 102 Corey Coleman WR
9.11 123 Thomas Rawls K RB
10.04 130 Tony Romo QB
11.11 151 Ladarius Green TE
12.04 158 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
13.11 179 Terrance Williams WR
14.04 186 Kendall Wright WR
15.11 207 Buffalo DEF
16.04 214 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.27127.59160839160839122.4438847429655110.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.254104.23496503496503123.6484910362126330.887142.5566433566433579.8053676461424340.664180.8783216783216495.2379652520821250.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.413410.8083916083916112.6479354525973110.00027.59160839160839103.6570002551617810.14165.91328671328671131.501160362946320.000104.23496503496503106.0662128416560430.000142.5566433566433518.37996606151564540.000180.8783216783216449.2451612733950150.567219.19999999999996101.9542135474505660.154257.5216783216783130.5806593275404770.285295.8433566433567121.4892910766187180.080334.165034965035135.7172823893112690.134372.4867132867133131.96709298580606100.000410.808391608391684.0651016744253611Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011228.724475524475523130.579881656804731068.61958041958042141.2307692307692322108.5146853146853130.57988165680473310148.4097902097901787.9763313609467447188.30489510489508103.9526627218934950228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923108427.6755244755244798.6272189349112411028.724475524475523119.928994082840231268.61958041958042130.5798816568047320108.5146853146853119.9289940828402330148.4097902097901734.7218934911242540188.3048951048950866.67455621301775510228.287.9763313609467462268.09510489510484130.5798816568047372307.9902097902098130.5798816568047380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.6755244755244756.0236686390532411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Richie 5-6 10th 89.65 0.350 16.87 5-8 12th
1 987 2016 Derrek 2-9 14th 89.63 0.356 16.00 3-10 14th
2 984 2020 Pat 4-7 12th 89.29 0.344 17.48 5-8 12th
3 984 2023 Richie 2-9 14th 89.54 0.354 13.15 4-10 13th
4 984 2023 Derrek 3-8 12th 89.10 0.355 15.25 5-9 12th
5 979 2022 Pulley 6-5 8th 87.53 0.346 14.48 7-7 8th
6 974 2016 Pat 6-5 6th 89.10 0.362 17.23 7-6 7th
7 973 2022 Babel 3-8 14th 87.69 0.359 16.45 3-11 14th
8 970 2014 Allen 5-6 11th 87.65 0.360 15.63 6-7 10th
9 969 2011 Pulley 4-7 10th 88.86 0.336 16.70 5-8 10th
10 965 2013 Richie 5-6 9th 85.15 0.346 21.74 6-7 10th