2025 Pat (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 937.68 points (85.24 average)

11th place

3.71 expected wins (0.338)

49-94 all-play record (0.343)

-19.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 91.43 84.46 Ed 6.97
2 W 98.05 33.06 Richie 64.99
3 L 128.99 130.88 Scott -1.89
4 L 72.03 86.80 Kevin -14.77
5 W 134.30 67.92 Babel 66.38
6 L 59.19 141.42 Rabbit -82.23 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 55.01 88.58 Pulley -33.57 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 84.15 86.67 Dave -2.52
9 W 93.89 93.37 Derrek 0.52
10 L 73.89 93.48 Mike R. -19.59
11 L 46.75 97.82 Rob -51.07 Slapped Heartbeat
12 Ed
13 Matt
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%43.64102564102564141.2307692307692300.0%102.61538461538461141.2307692307692310.0%161.5897435897436141.2307692307692320.0%220.5641025641026141.23076923076923331.8%279.5384615384615572.040.0%338.51282051282055141.2307692307692350.0%397.4871794871795141.2307692307692360.0%456.4615384615385141.2307692307692370.0%515.4358974358973141.2307692307692380.0%574.4102564102564141.2307692307692390.0%633.3846153846154141.23076923076923100.0%692.3589743589743141.23076923076923110.1%43.64102564102564141.0819083633826401.7%102.61538461538461137.43584408626512112.7%161.5897435897436113.65705643653044229.5%220.564102564102677.0165852390412230.0%279.538461538461552.7692307692307736417.9%338.51282051282055102.1920832779149255.4%397.4871794871795129.3711206999475460.9%456.4615384615385139.3280988507344270.1%515.4358974358973141.080151928839280.0%574.4102564102564141.2256834755181790.0%633.3846153846154141.2306976354974100.0%692.3589743589743141.23076888929511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th70.47692307692309230.69822485207124th129.207692307692373.3017751479289937th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041544th246.6692307692307573.3017751479289959th305.4185.7278106508876610th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711011th599.053846153846230.698224852071117th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th70.4769230769230973.3017751479289924th129.207692307692373.3017751479289937th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041544th246.6692307692307573.3017751479289958th305.4163.24260355029585610th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272810th481.59230769230766208.2130177514793911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711011th599.053846153846230.698224852071118th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th70.47692307692309230.69822485207124th129.207692307692373.3017751479289939th187.93846153846152185.727810650887645th246.6692307692307595.786982248520759th305.4185.7278106508876612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711013th599.053846153846275.668639053254411Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Derrick Henry K RB
2.08 22 Mike Evans WR
3.07 35 Malik Nabers K WR
4.08 50 D'Andre Swift RB
5.07 63 David Montgomery RB
6.08 78 David Njoku TE
7.07 91 Caleb Williams QB
8.08 106 Rashid Shaheed WR
9.07 119 Trevor Lawrence QB
10.08 134 Joshua Palmer WR
11.07 147 Dalton Kincaid TE
12.08 162 Nick Chubb RB
13.07 175 Justice Hill RB
14.08 190 Detroit DEF
15.07 203 Kyle Monangai RB
16.08 218 Cam Little K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.37840.17902097902099115.0312708032214510.49695.98321678321679106.8778251088091820.000151.78741258741258141.2307692307692330.000207.5916083916084141.2307692307692340.937263.395804195804276.375554591268250.000319.2141.2307692307692360.000375.0041958041958141.2307692307692370.000430.80839160839156141.2307692307692380.435486.6125874125874111.1480262483692890.000542.4167832167833141.23076923076923100.000598.2209790209789141.23076923076923110.00040.1790209790209988.8317723756736710.00095.9832167832167972.5248809868491320.884151.7874125874125880.0575604929986630.128207.5916083916084132.3832605709160440.000263.395804195804211.5203399517671750.027319.2139.3356997875678860.017375.0041958041958140.0203860263920370.253430.80839160839156123.6820264523052280.000486.612587412587481.0652832659693390.149542.4167832167833130.94577139664818100.010598.2209790209789140.53341521874511Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011641.31188811188811109.278106508875741698.68951048951048109.2781065088757420156.06713286713284141.2307692307692330213.44475524475524141.23076923076923412270.8223776223776477.3254437869822550328.2141.2307692307692360385.57762237762233141.2307692307692370442.95524475524473141.2307692307692387500.33286713286714103.9526627218934990557.7104895104894141.23076923076923100615.0881118881118141.2307692307692311041.3118881118881177.325443786982251098.6895104895104877.32544378698225212156.0671328671328477.3254437869822531213.44475524475524135.9053254437869840270.8223776223776413.4201183431952750328.2141.2307692307692360385.57762237762233141.2307692307692374442.95524475524473119.9289940828402380500.3328671328671466.6745562130177591557.7104895104894135.90532544378698100615.0881118881118141.2307692307692311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Pat 4-7 11th 85.24 0.338 26.93 4-10 13th
1 988 2025 Richie 6-5 7th 84.08 0.335 26.48 8-6 6th
2 978 2011 Pat 4-7 11th 85.83 0.345 24.78 5-8 11th
3 967 2015 Pat 4-7 11th 81.36 0.339 19.39 6-7 9th
4 964 2013 Richie 5-6 9th 85.15 0.350 21.74 6-7 10th
5 960 2011 Pulley 4-7 10th 88.86 0.335 16.70 5-8 10th
6 955 2020 Pat 4-7 12th 89.29 0.343 17.48 5-8 12th
7 952 2022 Pulley 6-5 8th 87.53 0.345 14.48 7-7 8th
8 951 2008 Matt 1-10 12th 80.26 0.331 18.68 3-10 12th
9 951 2013 Allen 4-7 13th 83.71 0.328 15.19 4-9 14th
10 948 2010 Pat 3-8 12th 83.33 0.355 22.03 3-10 12th