2011 Pat (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 420.23 points

6th place

1.98 expected wins (0.494)

19-25 all-play record (0.432)

+10.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 Babel
6 Dave
7 Ed
8 Matt
9 Pulley
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923139.7%268.0000000000000672.020.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692345.3%61.846153846153854131.95606243846146025.8%164.9230769230769396.2683802976566210.0%268.000000000000062.7692307692307736224.2%371.076923076923199.02299178306635.0%474.1538461538462132.579472145410424Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th207.515384615384685.5664335664335724th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335737th599.053846153846165.286713286713343rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th207.515384615384685.5664335664335723rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701536th599.053846153846138.7132867132867543rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th207.515384615384685.5664335664335725th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601637th599.053846153846165.28671328671334Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.72261.1230769230769291.2760682357694910.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692320.306271.89230769230767120.0729771705641730.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00061.1230769230769241.32136724076974610.498166.5076923076923106.776851103591120.000271.8923076923076798.915185110359130.452377.276923076923109.924737360472754Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234963.632692307692384.5874125874125910173.34423076923076141.2307692307692323283.0557692307692122.3496503496503530392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.632692307692327.94405594405594713173.34423076923076122.3496503496503520283.0557692307692103.4685314685314734392.76730769230767116.055944055944054All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 2-2 6th 105.06 0.494 9.29 5-8 11th
1 982 2020 Richie 4-0 2nd 104.38 0.490 5.90 7-6 7th
2 979 2020 Mike R. 1-3 11th 104.48 0.486 10.57 6-7 11th
3 973 2011 Babel 2-2 5th 105.64 0.500 15.73 7-6 7th
4 958 2018 Rabbit 2-2 8th 107.29 0.490 22.02 7-6 7th
5 955 2020 Scott 2-2 7th 105.30 0.509 16.54 7-6 8th
6 953 2020 Matt 2-2 6th 107.72 0.502 20.21 8-5 2nd 2nd place
7 950 2018 Richie 1-3 12th 105.95 0.486 23.59 5-8 11th
8 950 2015 Richie 1-3 11th 95.84 0.500 10.47 7-6 6th 4th place
9 944 2021 Kevin 3-1 6th 104.06 0.507 22.23 5-9 9th
10 942 2016 Matt 2-2 8th 107.10 0.495 33.91 5-8 10th