2014 Pat (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 392.04 points

8th place

1.91 expected wins (0.478)

25-27 all-play record (0.481)

+18.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.15 62.19 Mike R. 40.96
2 W 107.21 100.70 Richie 6.51
3 L 84.31 147.33 Pulley -63.02
4 L 97.37 124.36 Derrek -26.99
5 Kevin
6 Matt
7 Rob
8 Babel
9 Ed
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Allen
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923139.5%268.0000000000000672.020.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692346.4%61.846153846153854130.02347883115573027.1%164.9230769230769393.7367188292035310.0%268.000000000000062.7692307692307736222.8%371.0769230769231101.1795105910443634.2%474.1538461538462133.902392249905354Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th207.515384615384695.786982248520726th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124138th599.053846153846163.2426035502958546th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728425th403.2846153846153495.786982248520738th599.053846153846163.2426035502958547th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th207.515384615384695.786982248520726th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124138th599.053846153846163.242603550295854Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Calvin Johnson WR
2.11 25 Drew Brees K QB
3.04 32 Eddie Lacy K RB
4.11 53 Stevan Ridley RB
5.04 60 Reggie Wayne WR
6.11 81 Khiry Robinson RB
7.04 88 Cecil Shorts III WR
8.11 109 Delanie Walker TE
9.04 116 Chris Ivory RB
10.11 137 Donald Brown RB
11.04 144 James Starks RB
12.11 165 James Jones WR
13.04 172 Kansas City DEF
14.11 193 Nick Novak K
15.04 200 Stevie Johnson WR
16.11 221 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.55961.12307692307692102.5305598046077310.640166.507692307692396.950732540604520.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00061.1230769230769263.8303503784462410.000166.507692307692352.67069585043978520.254271.89230769230767123.6793551983144830.461377.276923076923109.303629151544444Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234763.6326923076923103.95266272189349111173.3442307692307682.650887573964520283.0557692307692141.2307692307692330392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.632692307692366.6745562130177510173.3442307692307624.07100591715975224283.0557692307692119.9289940828402333392.76730769230767125.254437869822484All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Pat 2-2 8th 98.01 0.478 8.65 5-8 11th
1 975 2023 Richie 0-4 11th 97.55 0.467 9.19 4-10 13th
2 968 2014 Matt 1-3 11th 98.67 0.481 21.07 7-6 6th 4th place
3 966 2022 Derrek 2-2 7th 99.00 0.479 22.66 8-6 4th 4th place
4 964 2021 Pat 1-3 10th 98.53 0.473 20.13 3-11 12th
5 962 2008 Dave 2-2 7th 91.96 0.484 7.39 5-8 11th
6 954 2020 Mike R. 1-3 11th 104.48 0.486 10.57 6-7 11th
7 945 2020 Richie 4-0 2nd 104.38 0.490 5.90 7-6 7th
8 945 2015 Richie 1-3 11th 95.84 0.500 10.47 7-6 6th 4th place
9 940 2015 Schertz 3-1 4th 95.26 0.493 18.38 9-4 2nd 2nd place
10 939 2011 Pat 2-2 6th 105.06 0.494 9.29 5-8 11th