2018 Richie (through 4 weeks)

1-3 (0.250), 423.78 points

12th place

1.94 expected wins (0.486)

24-28 all-play record (0.462)

+33.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 95.06 103.12 Pulley -8.06
2 L 119.04 121.51 Kevin -2.47
3 L 73.75 114.48 Rob -40.73
4 W 135.93 124.69 Babel 11.24
5 Ed
6 Matt
7 Derrek
8 Rabbit
9 Dave
10 Pat
11 Mike R.
12 Schertz
13 Scott

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%50.0%50.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.23076923076923023.6%164.92307692307693109.2438232677420410.0%268.00000000000006141.2307692307692320.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692342.8%61.846153846153854137.4948321899624700.0%164.9230769230769377.25687730471488151.0%268.0000000000000672.0221.9%371.0769230769231111.4788986287143830.7%474.1538461538462140.28748802712344Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585211th403.28461538461534230.698224852071310th599.053846153846208.213017751479349th11.746153846153845185.727810650887619th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876212th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272312th599.053846153846253.1834319526627249th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585211th403.28461538461534230.698224852071310th599.053846153846208.21301775147934Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 DeAndre Hopkins WR
2.11 25 Amari Cooper WR
3.04 32 Joe Mixon K RB
4.11 53 Tom Brady QB
5.04 60 Kyle Rudolph TE
6.11 81 Randall Cobb WR
7.04 88 Derrick Henry K RB
8.11 109 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
9.04 116 Jordy Nelson WR
10.11 137 DeSean Jackson WR
11.04 144 Los Angeles DEF
12.11 165 John Brown WR
13.04 172 D'Onta Foreman RB
14.11 193 Rob Kelley RB
15.04 200 Jeremy Hill RB
16.11 221 Mason Crosby K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692320.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.844377.27692307692382.8108138578427540.34361.12307692307692117.4943837351092710.722166.507692307692391.2203294899453920.033271.89230769230767138.9272843866573330.000377.27692307692324.3908584849162654Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692310173.34423076923076141.2307692307692320283.0557692307692141.23076923076923310392.7673076923076787.976331360946744563.6326923076923114.6035502958579918173.3442307692307698.6272189349112421283.0557692307692135.9053254437869830392.7673076923076734.721893491124254All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Richie 1-3 12th 105.95 0.486 23.59 5-8 11th
1 982 2018 Rabbit 2-2 8th 107.29 0.490 22.02 7-6 7th
2 975 2020 Rabbit 1-3 10th 109.26 0.480 23.11 6-7 10th
3 967 2020 Mike R. 1-3 11th 104.48 0.486 10.57 6-7 11th
4 958 2022 Derrek 2-2 7th 99.00 0.479 22.66 8-6 4th 4th place
5 957 2016 Matt 2-2 8th 107.10 0.495 33.91 5-8 10th
6 956 2014 Matt 1-3 11th 98.67 0.481 21.07 7-6 6th 4th place
7 955 2018 Scott 2-2 9th 105.81 0.465 21.66 6-7 8th
8 954 2020 Matt 2-2 6th 107.72 0.502 20.21 8-5 2nd 2nd place
9 954 2011 Babel 2-2 5th 105.64 0.500 15.73 7-6 7th
10 950 2011 Pat 2-2 6th 105.06 0.494 9.29 5-8 11th