2012 Pat (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 820.08 points (82.01 average)

10th place

3.36 expected wins (0.336)

44-86 all-play record (0.338)

-16.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 100.04 119.79 Mike R. -19.75
2 L 108.53 147.72 Allen -39.19
3 L 64.41 71.75 Rob -7.34
4 W 65.51 57.72 Schertz 7.79
5 W 107.02 54.78 Dave 52.24
6 W 105.34 76.03 Richie 29.31
7 L 41.41 97.03 Derrek -55.62 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 67.19 103.07 Pulley -35.88
9 L 83.66 114.71 Ed -31.05
10 W 76.97 43.52 Kevin 33.45
11 Matt
12 Babel
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923327.5%221.1468531468531578.8132036756026440.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.7%33.73426573426574139.7509769409336405.5%80.5874125874126128.81784946388657118.2%127.4405594405594499.97948707867494230.6%174.2937062937062672.030.0%221.1468531468531516.395638120436047413.4%268.0110.8027056856514953.6%314.8531468531468133.1388263350688760.5%361.7062937062937140.0605802414299670.0%408.5594405594406141.141708811827380.0%455.41258741258747141.2276138975726790.0%502.2657342657343141.23073490936410Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th77.0025641025641140.7573964497041529th142.2589743589743185.7278106508876312th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272410th272.77179487179484208.2130177514793510th338.0282051282051208.2130177514793612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544912th599.053846153846253.183431952662721010th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th77.0025641025641253.18343195266272213th142.2589743589743275.6686390532544312th207.5153846153846253.1834319526627249th272.77179487179484185.727810650887658th338.0282051282051163.24260355029585610th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793711th468.5410256410256230.698224852071811th533.7974358974359230.698224852071910th599.053846153846208.2130177514793108th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th77.0025641025641140.75739644970415210th142.2589743589743208.2130177514793312th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544913th599.053846153846275.668639053254410Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 7.11 - from Rob
  • Pick 8.04 - from Rob
  • Pick 6.14 - to Rob
  • Pick 8.14 - to Rob
9

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ray Rice RB
2.14 28 Reggie Bush RB
3.01 29 Hakeem Nicks WR
4.14 56 Isaac Redman RB
5.01 57 Matt Schaub QB
7.01 85 Sidney Rice WR
7.11 95 Greg Little WR
8.04 102 Anquan Boldin WR
9.01 113 Jay Cutler K QB
10.14 140 Pittsburgh DEF
11.01 141 Dustin Keller K TE
12.14 168 Brandon LaFell WR
13.01 169 Joe McKnight RB
14.14 196 Nate Kaeding K
15.01 197 Dallas Clark TE
16.14 224 Ryan Tannehill QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.093155.96923076923073134.7717676703806840.673198.1230769230769294.6352443467751850.644240.2769230769230596.6193735508916560.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.212408.89230769230767126.56111183167296100.53829.507692307692306103.961867278200410.70071.6615384615384792.7632749697866920.086113.8153846153846135.265920151507430.000155.96923076923073128.3127661099921440.000198.1230769230769248.0397194627811550.000240.2769230769230552.0079778710140660.018282.4307692307692139.9805747158757870.102324.58461538461535134.1710699783983580.295366.73846153846154120.7753077310266490.000408.89230769230767111.891454432576710Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.2307692307692332162.3730769230769130.5798816568047349206.257692307692393.3017751479289958250.1423076923076798.6272189349112460294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692393425.6807692307692125.2544378698224810630.719230769230762109.2781065088757411074.6038461538461587.9763313609467421118.48846153846154135.9053254437869830162.3730769230769119.9289940828402340206.257692307692345.37278106508874550250.1423076923076756.0236686390532460294.026923076923141.2307692307692371337.9115384615384135.9053254437869884381.79615384615386119.9289940828402390425.6807692307692109.2781065088757410All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Pat 4-6 10th 82.01 0.336 21.62 5-8 11th
1 997 2015 Pat 3-7 12th 82.07 0.336 20.20 6-7 9th
2 984 2013 Derrek 5-5 9th 84.67 0.334 21.24 7-6 7th
3 983 2017 Mike R. 3-7 14th 82.06 0.336 13.68 3-10 14th
4 971 2012 Kevin 3-7 11th 81.82 0.323 20.95 5-8 10th
5 966 2008 Dave 4-6 10th 78.60 0.331 17.08 5-8 11th
6 964 2012 Richie 1-9 14th 84.74 0.331 14.57 1-12 14th
7 957 2012 Schertz 2-8 13th 84.34 0.352 22.63 5-8 9th
8 957 2022 Pulley 5-5 10th 87.19 0.341 15.14 7-7 8th
9 955 2016 Richie 4-6 12th 89.21 0.340 17.63 5-8 12th
10 947 2013 Allen 4-6 13th 83.10 0.318 15.80 4-9 14th