2013 Derrek (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 846.65 points

9th place

3.31 expected wins (0.331)

38-92 all-play record (0.292)

-28.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 131.44 91.71 Pat 39.73
2 L 68.08 104.24 Ed -36.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 95.46 65.88 Rabbit 29.58
4 L 90.42 107.02 Mike R. -16.60
5 W 76.78 66.87 Babel 9.91
6 W 78.90 69.18 Richie 9.72
7 L 71.99 87.27 Kevin -15.28
8 W 109.47 73.59 Dave 35.88
9 L 63.85 113.15 Matt -49.30 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 60.26 85.35 Pulley -25.09
11 Rob
12 Schertz
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.23076923076923411.8%268.0116.3853772922214850.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.2%33.73426573426574140.7845512178168404.7%80.5874125874126131.25592632886213120.1%127.4405594405594498.92142873813003232.9%174.2937062937062672.0326.6%221.1468531468531585.3149332836003740.0%268.091.5399853536737353.1%314.8531468531468134.8089751157086860.5%361.7062937062937140.249496729446170.0%408.5594405594406141.1442403147490380.0%455.41258741258747141.2267355361489690.0%502.2657342657343141.2306928518732410Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289919th77.0025641025641185.727810650887629th142.2589743589743185.727810650887638th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272614th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544913th599.053846153846275.6686390532544104th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th77.0025641025641163.2426035502958526th142.2589743589743118.2721893491124138th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958549th272.77179487179484185.727810650887656th338.0282051282051118.2721893491124168th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958575th468.541025641025695.786982248520787th533.7974358974359140.7573964497041599th599.053846153846185.7278106508876104th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289919th77.0025641025641185.727810650887629th142.2589743589743185.727810650887639th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071614th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544913th599.053846153846275.668639053254410Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Adrian Peterson K RB
2.05 19 Darren McFadden RB
3.10 38 Eric Decker WR
4.05 47 Vernon Davis TE
5.10 66 Sidney Rice WR
6.05 75 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB
7.10 94 Vincent Brown WR
8.05 103 Tony Romo QB
9.10 122 Colin Kaepernick K QB
10.05 131 Houston DEF
11.10 150 Austin Collie WR
12.05 159 Blair Walsh K
13.10 178 Robert Turbin RB
14.05 187 Zac Stacy RB
15.10 206 LaRod Stephens-Howling RB
16.05 215 DuJuan Harris RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.94629.50769230769230675.7641511476048610.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.473113.8153846153846108.4589842199822630.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.191198.12307692307692127.9940617491503950.217240.27692307692305126.1985165195933460.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.714324.5846153846153591.8331445311090780.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00029.50769230769230610.297533064440510.10971.66153846153847133.676166905976520.000113.815384615384675.6871992091952730.385155.96923076923073114.5842935790407940.000198.12307692307692114.7573542675315550.000240.27692307692305111.1662638084174560.140282.4307692307692131.5396953670098770.000324.5846153846153542.43551983144891480.077366.73846153846154135.91491633776690.061408.89230769230767137.028608948503910Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101030.71923076923076287.976331360946741074.60384615384615141.2307692307692327118.48846153846154103.9526627218934930162.3730769230769141.2307692307692342206.2576923076923130.5798816568047353250.14230769230767125.2544378698224860294.026923076923141.2307692307692378337.911538461538498.6272189349112480381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076234.721893491124251074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.4884615384615466.6745562130177534162.3730769230769119.9289940828402340206.2576923076923119.9289940828402350250.14230769230767109.2781065088757463294.026923076923125.2544378698224870337.911538461538456.0236686390532480381.79615384615386141.2307692307692391425.6807692307692135.9053254437869810All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Derrek 5-5 9th 84.67 0.331 21.24 7-6 7th
1 985 2015 Pat 3-7 12th 82.07 0.330 20.20 6-7 9th
2 982 2012 Pat 4-6 10th 82.01 0.335 21.62 5-8 11th
3 971 2012 Richie 1-9 14th 84.74 0.324 14.57 1-12 14th
4 970 2022 Pat 4-6 13th 86.12 0.325 14.75 8-6 6th 6th place
5 969 2012 Kevin 3-7 11th 81.82 0.322 20.95 5-8 10th
6 960 2016 Richie 4-6 12th 89.21 0.338 17.63 5-8 12th
7 960 2017 Mike R. 3-7 14th 82.06 0.339 13.68 3-10 14th
8 957 2022 Babel 3-7 14th 84.93 0.317 14.62 3-11 14th
9 956 2024 Derrek 3-7 14th 85.92 0.313 19.78 4-10 14th
10 953 2012 Schertz 2-8 13th 84.34 0.353 22.63 5-8 9th