2025 Matt (through 10 weeks)

2-8 (0.200), 875.70 points (87.57 average)

14th place

3.36 expected wins (0.336)

43-87 all-play record (0.331)

+8.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 96.51 93.14 Richie 3.37
2 W 112.82 88.30 Derrek 24.52
3 L 89.30 91.75 Babel -2.45
4 L 72.48 112.26 Rob -39.78
5 L 116.91 118.77 Pulley -1.86
6 L 67.25 129.12 Scott -61.87
7 L 69.40 108.99 Dave -39.59
8 L 71.92 92.65 Kevin -20.73 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 87.07 91.30 Ed -4.23
10 L 92.04 99.76 Richie -7.72
11 Schertz
12 Rabbit
13 Pat
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%46.32167832167832141.2307692307692300.0%110.65734265734265141.23076923076923118.9%174.99300699300797.8437030838619820.0%239.3286713286713141.2307692307692330.0%303.6643356643357141.2307692307692340.0%367.99999999999994141.2307692307692350.0%432.33566433566426141.2307692307692360.0%496.67132867132864141.2307692307692370.0%561.006993006993141.2307692307692380.0%625.3426573426574141.2307692307692390.0%689.6783216783215141.23076923076923100.7%46.32167832167832139.7329360863343505.7%110.65734265734265128.0375970898027410.0%174.99300699300754.45663693695475230.1%239.328671328671372.0326.4%303.664335664335780.58223834655945413.4%367.99999999999994110.3448715603284454.0%432.33566433566426131.9233246248353760.7%496.67132867132864139.5842848293439470.1%561.006993006993141.0645542145447880.0%625.3426573426574141.2219585225645390.0%689.6783216783215141.2305798123015810Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd77.002564102564128.33136094674557628th142.2589743589743163.24260355029585312th207.5153846153846253.1834319526627249th272.77179487179484185.7278106508876511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071613th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544913th599.053846153846275.6686390532544106th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd77.002564102564128.33136094674557627th142.2589743589743140.75739644970415310th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793410th272.77179487179484208.2130177514793512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272614th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613714th468.5410256410256298.15384615384613814th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613914th599.053846153846298.15384615384613106th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd77.002564102564150.81656804733728429th142.2589743589743185.7278106508876312th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272410th272.77179487179484208.2130177514793512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272613th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544912th599.053846153846253.1834319526627210Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
1
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Lamar Jackson QB
2.06 20 Davante Adams WR
3.09 37 George Kittle K TE
4.06 48 Calvin Ridley WR
5.09 65 Matthew Golden WR
6.06 76 Jaylen Warren RB
7.09 93 Zach Charbonnet RB
8.06 104 Christian Kirk WR
9.09 121 Bucky Irving K RB
10.06 132 J.J. McCarthy QB
11.09 149 Wan'Dale Robinson WR
12.06 160 Najee Harris RB
13.09 177 Kyle Williams WR
14.06 188 Green Bay DEF
15.09 205 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB
16.03 213 Jake Elliott T K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.47142.969230769230776108.6387271390029210.719104.3538461538461691.4297646053517220.000165.73846153846156141.2307692307692330.000227.12307692307695141.2307692307692340.000288.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000349.89230769230767141.2307692307692360.000411.276923076923141.2307692307692370.000472.6615384615384141.2307692307692380.000534.0461538461539141.2307692307692390.000595.4307692307691141.23076923076923100.00042.96923076923077676.0466850472366210.000104.3538461538461641.62875997993421620.333165.73846153846156118.2057942474376530.122227.12307692307695132.7953478730419240.772288.507692307692387.8063666249287150.071349.89230769230767136.3162239833512560.088411.276923076923135.1228148392999670.111472.6615384615384133.5657630278345880.289534.0461538461539121.2260642203703390.388595.4307692307691114.3575891169913910Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910844.1807692307692398.62721893491124111107.2961538461538382.650887573964520170.41153846153844141.2307692307692330233.52692307692305141.2307692307692340296.6423076923077141.2307692307692350359.7576923076923141.2307692307692360422.8730769230769141.2307692307692370485.9884615384615141.2307692307692380549.1038461538462141.2307692307692390612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310044.1807692307692356.0236686390532410107.2961538461538324.07100591715975223170.41153846153844125.2544378698224832233.52692307692305130.5798816568047347296.6423076923077103.9526627218934953359.7576923076923125.2544378698224864422.8730769230769119.9289940828402370485.9884615384615141.2307692307692382549.1038461538462130.5798816568047393612.2192307692309125.2544378698224810All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Matt 2-8 14th 87.57 0.336 16.78
1 985 2022 Pulley 5-5 10th 87.19 0.341 15.14 7-7 8th
2 983 2016 Richie 4-6 12th 89.21 0.340 17.63 5-8 12th
3 976 2016 Mike R. 2-8 14th 88.92 0.345 16.47 5-8 11th
4 974 2013 Derrek 5-5 9th 84.67 0.334 21.24 7-6 7th
5 973 2012 Richie 1-9 14th 84.74 0.331 14.57 1-12 14th
6 971 2017 Mike R. 3-7 14th 82.06 0.336 13.68 3-10 14th
7 971 2015 Pat 3-7 12th 82.07 0.336 20.20 6-7 9th
8 968 2012 Pat 4-6 10th 82.01 0.336 21.62 5-8 11th
9 967 2023 Richie 2-8 14th 89.46 0.346 13.79 4-10 13th
10 966 2023 Derrek 3-7 12th 88.96 0.350 15.99 5-9 12th