2012 Pat (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 659.45 points

11th place

2.84 expected wins (0.355)

37-67 all-play record (0.356)

-16.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 100.04 119.79 Mike R. -19.75
2 L 108.53 147.72 Allen -39.19
3 L 64.41 71.75 Rob -7.34
4 W 65.51 57.72 Schertz 7.79
5 W 107.02 54.78 Dave 52.24
6 W 105.34 76.03 Richie 29.31
7 L 41.41 97.03 Derrek -55.62 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 67.19 103.07 Pulley -35.88
9 Ed
10 Kevin
11 Matt
12 Babel
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923235.8%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692381.2%38.940170940170944138.8824855837012309.3%96.20512820512818123.34773471310092126.7%153.4700854700854889.607251238276420.0%210.735042735042732.7692307692307736321.7%268.099.3484783567921944.8%325.2649572649573131.9539343603758350.5%382.52991452991455140.326725023547160.0%439.79487179487177141.1922563084813870.0%497.05982905982904141.230228304593258Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th95.64725274725272118.2721893491124129th179.54835164835166185.7278106508876311th263.44945054945055230.698224852071410th347.3505494505494208.2130177514793511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272712th599.053846153846253.18343195266272810th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th95.64725274725272253.18343195266272213th179.54835164835166275.6686390532544312th263.44945054945055253.1834319526627249th347.3505494505494185.727810650887658th431.2516483516483163.24260355029585610th515.1527472527472208.2130177514793711th599.053846153846230.69822485207188th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th95.64725274725272140.75739644970415210th179.54835164835166208.2130177514793312th263.44945054945055253.18343195266272411th347.3505494505494230.698224852071511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272713th599.053846153846275.66863905325448Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 7.11 - from Rob
  • Pick 8.04 - from Rob
  • Pick 6.14 - to Rob
  • Pick 8.14 - to Rob

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ray Rice RB
2.14 28 Reggie Bush RB
3.01 29 Hakeem Nicks WR
4.14 56 Isaac Redman RB
5.01 57 Matt Schaub QB
7.01 85 Sidney Rice WR
7.11 95 Greg Little WR
8.04 102 Anquan Boldin WR
9.01 113 Jay Cutler K QB
10.14 140 Pittsburgh DEF
11.01 141 Dustin Keller K TE
12.14 168 Brandon LaFell WR
13.01 169 Joe McKnight RB
14.14 196 Nate Kaeding K
15.01 197 Dallas Clark TE
16.14 224 Ryan Tannehill QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.00087.46923076923076141.2307692307692320.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.086192.85384615384618135.2853593796223540.673245.5461538461538694.6355790876884150.640298.238461538461596.919785360732560.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.54234.776923076923076103.6814904973555710.69587.4692307692307693.1127749056590120.079140.16153846153844135.7853846334230430.000192.85384615384618129.3399495284754740.000245.5461538461538648.040388944607650.000298.238461538461552.6088014906957860.026350.93076923076916139.4219319337917770.098403.6230769230769134.467136237039378Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.06057692307692141.2307692307692320145.91634615384615141.2307692307692332200.77211538461538130.5798816568047349255.627884615384693.3017751479289958310.4836538461538698.6272189349112460365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238636.20480769230769109.2781065088757411091.0605769230769287.9763313609467421145.91634615384615135.9053254437869830200.77211538461538119.9289940828402340255.627884615384645.37278106508874550310.4836538461538656.0236686390532460365.3394230769231141.2307692307692371420.1951923076923135.905325443786988All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Pat 3-5 11th 82.43 0.355 24.10 5-8 11th
1 951 2016 Derrek 2-6 13th 89.98 0.357 16.89 3-10 14th
2 950 2022 Pat 3-5 12th 88.28 0.350 15.77 8-6 6th 6th place
3 949 2017 Mike R. 3-5 12th 82.70 0.342 12.09 3-10 14th
4 942 2008 Katie 2-6 11th 83.07 0.375 16.89 5-8 10th
5 941 2015 Pat 2-6 13th 81.95 0.330 20.57 6-7 9th
6 938 2024 Derrek 3-5 12th 88.17 0.339 20.43 4-10 14th
7 937 2015 Derrek 4-4 9th 87.09 0.372 19.30 7-6 7th
8 937 2013 Richie 4-4 10th 85.06 0.329 23.03 6-7 10th
9 933 2017 Matt 3-5 11th 85.38 0.374 15.45 5-8 11th
10 931 2008 Dave 4-4 9th 83.10 0.380 15.68 5-8 11th