2016 Derrek (through 8 weeks)

2-6 (0.250), 719.83 points (89.98 average)

13th place

2.86 expected wins (0.358)

39-65 all-play record (0.375)

+2.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 123.45 112.14 Dave 11.31
2 L 70.45 91.15 Schertz -20.70 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 67.22 84.08 Richie -16.86 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 89.35 68.08 Ed 21.27
5 L 103.42 109.35 Rob -5.93
6 L 93.53 128.65 Kevin -35.12
7 L 81.78 83.86 Mike R. -2.08
8 L 90.63 134.91 Pulley -44.28
9 Rabbit
10 Pat
11 Babel
12 Matt
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.23076923076923127.2%153.4700854700854883.2946222872989620.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692381.2%38.940170940170944138.63834330111428010.4%96.20512820512818119.0182205531138810.0%153.4700854700854825.3584753438287232.5%210.7350427350427371.99999999999999320.4%268.097.8782666223820646.9%325.2649572649573126.5890765016183451.2%382.52991452991455138.6837188401925760.1%439.79487179487177141.0309312189673470.0%497.05982905982904141.225329830855128Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th95.64725274725272230.698224852071213th179.54835164835166275.6686390532544314th263.44945054945055298.15384615384613411th347.3505494505494230.698224852071511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272713th599.053846153846275.668639053254482nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557618th95.64725274725272163.24260355029585212th179.54835164835166253.18343195266272311th263.44945054945055230.698224852071410th347.3505494505494208.2130177514793511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071613th515.1527472527472275.6686390532544713th599.053846153846275.668639053254482nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th95.64725274725272230.698224852071213th179.54835164835166275.6686390532544314th263.44945054945055298.15384615384613411th347.3505494505494230.698224852071511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272712th599.053846153846253.183431952662728Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Le'Veon Bell RB
2.11 25 Brandin Cooks WR
3.04 32 Andrew Luck QB
4.11 53 Allen Robinson II K WR
5.04 60 T.J. Yeldon RB
6.11 81 Zach Ertz TE
7.04 88 Chris Ivory RB
8.11 109 Devin Funchess WR
9.04 116 James Starks RB
10.11 137 Denver DEF
11.04 144 Josh Gordon K WR
12.11 165 Josh Doctson WR
13.04 172 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE
14.11 193 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15.04 200 Blair Walsh K
16.11 221 Kenny Britt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.83634.77692307692307683.3690766900876710.00087.46923076923076141.2307692307692320.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.336192.85384615384618117.9889364040349440.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.00034.77692307692307625.50738414940610710.09287.46923076923076134.8605552184542720.055140.16153846153844137.4138475650412430.000192.8538461538461894.7471035773006640.567245.54615384615386101.9471997564031150.400298.2384615384615113.5521247957397660.224350.93076923076916125.7368237155283270.354403.6230769230769116.734914340141598Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456781236.2048076923076977.325443786982251091.06057692307692141.2307692307692320145.91634615384615141.2307692307692335200.77211538461538114.6035502958579940255.6278846153846141.2307692307692350310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.2048076923076913.420118343195271091.06057692307692141.2307692307692320145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.7721153846153887.9763313609467446255.6278846153846109.2781065088757457310.48365384615386103.9526627218934963365.3394230769231125.2544378698224876420.1951923076923109.278106508875748All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Derrek 2-6 13th 89.98 0.358 16.89 3-10 14th
1 975 2016 Mike R. 2-6 14th 89.94 0.369 18.28 5-8 11th
2 971 2022 Pat 3-5 12th 88.28 0.348 15.77 8-6 6th 6th place
3 966 2020 Pat 3-5 12th 92.04 0.368 19.75 5-8 12th
4 959 2008 Katie 2-6 11th 83.07 0.365 16.89 5-8 10th
5 959 2018 Schertz 2-6 13th 96.20 0.356 10.35 6-7 10th
6 958 2013 Allen 4-4 9th 88.36 0.372 13.13 4-9 14th
7 956 2021 Rob 2-6 11th 92.26 0.345 11.88 2-12 14th
8 953 2023 Derrek 2-6 13th 88.38 0.339 17.82 5-9 12th
9 952 2015 Derrek 4-4 9th 87.09 0.374 19.30 7-6 7th
10 946 2012 Pat 3-5 11th 82.43 0.353 24.10 5-8 11th