2016 Pat (through 11 weeks)

6-5 (0.545), 980.07 points

6th place

3.98 expected wins (0.362)

53-90 all-play record (0.371)

-31.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.17 99.16 Ed 21.01
2 W 99.38 83.87 Mike R. 15.51
3 L 91.12 105.43 Babel -14.31
4 L 59.62 70.22 Kevin -10.60 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 71.45 109.18 Matt -37.73
6 L 63.16 69.91 Dave -6.75 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 89.78 70.14 Allen 19.64
8 W 96.60 74.36 Rob 22.24
9 W 94.28 86.16 Schertz 8.12
10 W 104.96 104.88 Derrek 0.08
11 L 89.55 98.03 Pulley -8.48
12 Richie
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.23076923076923510.2%289.474358974359116.100469641508660.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.3%31.782051282051285140.564333100422502.8%74.73076923076923134.23205158944742111.1%117.67948717948717113.69068345183318222.9%160.6282051282051484.5090411461249328.0%203.5769230769230771.99999999999999421.3%246.5256410256410288.5881616950800950.0%289.47435897435990.9701700522479763.0%332.42307692307696133.9188216249654670.5%375.3717948717949140.0311332198439280.0%418.3205128205129141.1355609230253490.0%461.26923076923083141.22773240292236100.0%504.21794871794873141.2307379440363211Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th70.4769230769230973.3017751479289928th129.2076923076923163.24260355029585310th187.93846153846152208.2130177514793412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272513th305.4275.6686390532544613th364.1307692307692275.6686390532544714th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711012th599.053846153846253.18343195266272113rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th70.4769230769230973.3017751479289927th129.2076923076923140.75739644970415310th187.93846153846152208.2130177514793411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071513th305.4275.6686390532544612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272710th422.86153846153843208.213017751479387th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041595th540.323076923076995.7869822485207106th599.053846153846118.27218934911241113rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728415th70.4769230769230995.786982248520729th129.2076923076923185.7278106508876311th187.93846153846152230.698224852071412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272514th305.4298.15384615384613614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613714th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613814th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441014th599.053846153846298.1538461538461311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.07 21 Eddie Lacy RB
3.08 36 Michael Floyd WR
4.07 49 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
5.08 64 Mike Wallace K WR
6.07 77 Julius Thomas TE
7.08 92 Matthew Stafford K QB
8.07 105 Willie Snead WR
9.08 120 Kenneth Dixon RB
10.07 133 Ted Ginn, Jr. WR
11.08 148 Sammie Coates WR
12.07 161 Devontae Booker RB
13.08 176 Victor Cruz WR
14.07 189 Graham Gano K
15.08 204 New England DEF
16.07 217 Charles Clay TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.82627.5916083916083984.0783107240756610.49965.91328671328671106.6930892482435520.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.339257.5216783216783117.7391016731134870.454295.8433566433567109.7841544535569580.418334.165034965035112.3183733535013990.598372.486713286713399.85183463942492100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083926.92585221738208610.00065.9132867132867172.1554092657178620.357104.23496503496503116.4890385386117530.020142.55664335664335139.8538549434806840.098180.87832167832164134.4217624135549250.034219.19999999999996138.8765328565065760.000257.521678321678394.2474341154577570.000295.843356643356778.3375396763446880.000334.16503496503583.4059774762335590.000372.486713286713358.47290004808062100.336410.8083916083916118.000478510327511Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111128.72447552447552382.65088757396451668.61958041958042109.2781065088757420108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692366268.09510489510484109.2781065088757477307.9902097902098103.9526627218934986347.8853146853147109.2781065088757498387.780419580419698.62721893491124100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552324.0710059171597521068.6195804195804277.3254437869822523108.5146853146853125.2544378698224830148.40979020979017141.2307692307692341188.30489510489508135.9053254437869850228.2141.2307692307692360268.0951048951048477.3254437869822570307.990209790209866.6745562130177580347.885314685314777.3254437869822590387.780419580419656.02366863905324105427.67552447552447114.6035502958579911All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Pat 6-5 6th 89.10 0.362 17.23 7-6 7th
1 988 2022 Babel 3-8 14th 87.69 0.359 16.45 3-11 14th
2 987 2014 Allen 5-6 11th 87.65 0.360 15.63 6-7 10th
3 984 2016 Derrek 2-9 14th 89.63 0.356 16.00 3-10 14th
4 983 2023 Derrek 3-8 12th 89.10 0.355 15.25 5-9 12th
5 982 2015 Derrek 6-5 7th 85.22 0.361 17.77 7-6 7th
6 976 2017 Matt 4-7 12th 84.45 0.360 16.17 5-8 11th
7 975 2023 Richie 2-9 14th 89.54 0.354 13.15 4-10 13th
8 974 2016 Richie 5-6 10th 89.65 0.350 16.87 5-8 12th
9 971 2013 Pat 4-7 12th 87.16 0.371 16.39 5-8 12th
10 971 2023 Scott 6-5 8th 90.24 0.371 19.89 8-6 7th