2014 Allen (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 964.16 points (87.65 average)

11th place

3.98 expected wins (0.362)

48-95 all-play record (0.336)

-14.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 87.44 112.07 Babel -24.63
2 W 93.15 78.05 Matt 15.10
3 L 60.70 100.87 Ed -40.17
4 W 100.35 59.65 Richie 40.70
5 L 89.05 107.18 Schertz -18.13
6 L 109.12 112.15 Rob -3.03
7 W 78.02 77.73 Kevin 0.29
8 W 108.28 98.27 Dave 10.01
9 L 63.43 91.71 Mike R. -28.28
10 L 97.34 98.82 Rabbit -1.48
11 W 77.28 76.15 Pulley 1.13
12 Pat
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923421.0%246.5256410256410288.2039575044966950.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.4%31.782051282051285140.3441608481774403.1%74.73076923076923133.41409203846018111.3%117.67948717948717112.61120900157438222.7%160.6282051282051484.01896069498522327.4%203.5769230769230772.040.0%246.5256410256410235.17714577822416510.3%289.474358974359115.2067180500810463.2%332.42307692307696133.159953435332370.6%375.3717948717949139.7158367823923380.1%418.3205128205129141.0729238880701490.0%461.26923076923083141.22302587640536100.0%504.21794871794873141.230631851455611Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.213017751479319th70.47692307692309185.7278106508876213th129.2076923076923275.6686390532544313th187.93846153846152275.6686390532544412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272511th305.4230.698224852071612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544814th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441014th599.053846153846298.153846153846131110th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th70.47692307692309163.24260355029585212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272310th187.93846153846152208.2130177514793412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272512th305.4253.18343195266272611th364.1307692307692230.69822485207178th422.86153846153843163.24260355029585810th481.59230769230766208.2130177514793911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711011th599.053846153846230.6982248520711110th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th70.47692307692309163.24260355029585213th129.2076923076923275.6686390532544312th187.93846153846152253.18343195266272412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272511th305.4230.698224852071612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441014th599.053846153846298.1538461538461311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Arian Foster RB
2.09 23 Andre Johnson WR
3.06 34 Matthew Stafford QB
4.09 51 Torrey Smith WR
5.06 62 Pierre Thomas RB
6.09 79 DeAngelo Williams RB
7.06 90 Dennis Pitta TE
8.09 107 Rueben Randle K WR
9.06 118 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
10.09 135 Shonn Greene RB
11.06 146 Knile Davis RB
12.09 163 Arizona DEF
13.06 174 Mason Crosby K
14.09 191 Robert Woods K WR
15.06 202 Tre Mason RB
16.09 219 Latavius Murray RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.40765.91328671328671113.0259165631633620.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.522142.55664335664335105.1042438869541740.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.209257.5216783216783126.757772546737670.684295.843356643356793.9107319550517480.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.202410.8083916083916127.25172057841428110.33427.59160839160839118.1416270645242610.00065.9132867132867184.821063895557520.041104.23496503496503138.3908529104990630.000142.5566433566433568.977718543139140.354180.87832167832164116.7324149812876650.698219.1999999999999692.9076045686013360.000257.5216783216783112.2847758627059770.000295.843356643356746.5906946793342880.055334.165034965035137.39502648883990.474372.4867132867133108.44028128132095100.000410.8083916083916113.2726719260593311Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231568.61958041958042114.6035502958579920108.5146853146853141.2307692307692334148.40979020979017119.9289940828402340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692364268.09510489510484119.9289940828402377307.9902097902098103.9526627218934980347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923104427.67552447552447119.9289940828402311428.724475524475523119.928994082840231068.6195804195804287.9763313609467421108.5146853146853135.9053254437869830148.4097902097901798.6272189349112445188.30489510489508114.6035502958579957228.2103.9526627218934960268.0951048951048498.6272189349112470307.990209790209866.6745562130177581347.8853146853147135.9053254437869896387.7804195804196109.27810650887574100427.6755244755244798.6272189349112411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Allen 5-6 11th 87.65 0.362 15.63 6-7 10th
1 992 2022 Babel 3-8 14th 87.69 0.359 16.45 3-11 14th
2 988 2016 Pat 6-5 6th 89.10 0.363 17.23 7-6 7th
3 986 2023 Derrek 3-8 12th 89.10 0.358 15.25 5-9 12th
4 985 2017 Matt 4-7 12th 84.45 0.362 16.17 5-8 11th
5 983 2016 Derrek 2-9 14th 89.63 0.358 16.00 3-10 14th
6 983 2015 Derrek 6-5 7th 85.22 0.363 17.77 7-6 7th
7 976 2013 Pat 4-7 12th 87.16 0.372 16.39 5-8 12th
8 973 2023 Richie 2-9 14th 89.54 0.355 13.15 4-10 13th
9 973 2010 Kevin 3-8 11th 88.08 0.374 15.17 5-8 10th
10 971 2016 Richie 5-6 10th 89.65 0.352 16.87 5-8 12th