2013 Pat (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,065.05 points (88.75 average)

10th place

4.85 expected wins (0.404)

63-93 all-play record (0.404)

-5.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 91.71 131.44 Derrek -39.73
2 W 91.19 70.28 Dave 20.91
3 W 77.19 76.61 Babel 0.58
4 L 99.01 107.96 Matt -8.95
5 W 118.50 81.37 Allen 37.13
6 L 95.53 109.89 Pulley -14.36
7 L 55.91 85.61 Schertz -29.70 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 100.14 77.64 Rob 22.50
9 L 85.94 96.21 Ed -10.27
10 L 69.71 102.64 Mike R. -32.93
11 L 73.95 91.01 Kevin -17.06
12 W 106.27 102.03 Richie 4.24
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923425.7%228.3550295857988372.050.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.1%30.130177514792905141.0597917998599700.9%69.77514792899409138.90067439527214.6%109.42011834319527128.87068562053645213.1%149.06508875739644105.98339014175015322.8%188.7100591715976379.8782214349956540.0%228.355029585798832.7692307692307736519.3%268.089.214817377652469.7%307.64497041420117115.0902050048199173.2%347.28994082840245132.572196724470280.7%386.93491124260356139.4085791893842890.1%426.5798816568048141.00364070444942100.0%466.2248520710059141.216201152122110.0%505.8698224852071141.2304332082941312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272111th65.13776223776223230.698224852071212th118.52937062937062253.18343195266272314th171.92097902097902298.15384615384613410th225.3125874125874208.213017751479359th278.7041958041958185.7278106508876611th332.09580419580413230.698224852071711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711111th599.053846153846230.6982248520711212th11.746153846153845253.1834319526627219th65.13776223776223185.727810650887627th118.52937062937062140.75739644970415311th171.92097902097902230.69822485207148th225.3125874125874163.24260355029585510th278.7041958041958208.2130177514793611th332.09580419580413230.69822485207178th385.4874125874125163.24260355029585810th438.87902097902094208.2130177514793912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721110th599.053846153846208.21301775147931212th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th65.13776223776223208.2130177514793212th118.52937062937062253.18343195266272314th171.92097902097902298.15384615384613410th225.3125874125874208.213017751479359th278.7041958041958185.7278106508876611th332.09580419580413230.698224852071711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711111th599.053846153846230.69822485207112Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Arian Foster RB
2.12 26 Drew Brees QB
3.03 31 Eddie Lacy RB
4.12 54 James Jones WR
5.03 59 Reggie Wayne K WR
6.12 82 Kyle Rudolph TE
7.03 87 Jay Cutler K QB
8.12 110 Michael Floyd WR
9.03 115 Isaac Redman RB
10.12 138 Kendall Wright WR
11.03 143 Jonathan Stewart RB
12.12 166 New England DEF
13.03 171 Johnathan Franklin RB
14.12 194 Phil Dawson K
15.03 199 Santana Moss WR
16.12 222 Ed Dickson TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.40961.12307692307692112.8981519823983620.22896.25128205128203125.4167813078226330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.850166.507692307692382.4061991113558350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.549271.89230769230767103.2293934073614780.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.671412.405128205128294.8090734395409120.42025.994871794871795112.1748832686560310.00061.1230769230769284.5655347340275120.00096.25128205128203109.6027933848760430.530131.37948717948717104.5398539069332240.000166.507692307692323.58162899194243850.479201.63589743589745108.081566385359660.045236.76410256410256138.1048347292890270.000271.8923076923076765.2280175839537280.346307.0205128205128117.3032424855743490.137342.14871794871794131.76887278474447100.188377.2769230769231128.2363771819622110.000412.405128205128248.38737764831256512Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231563.6326923076923114.6035502958579924100.20320512820511119.9289940828402330136.77371794871794141.23076923076923412173.344230769230777.3254437869822550209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692377283.0557692307692103.9526627218934980319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.230769230769231111429.337820512820582.650887573964512227.062179487179485130.579881656804731063.632692307692387.9763313609467420100.2032051282051198.6272189349112436136.77371794871794109.2781065088757440173.344230769230713.4201183431952758209.9147435897435898.6272189349112460246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.055769230769266.6745562130177583319.62628205128203125.2544378698224893356.19679487179485125.25443786982248102392.7673076923077130.57988165680473110429.337820512820524.07100591715975212All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Pat 5-7 10th 88.75 0.404 16.56 5-8 12th
1 988 2012 Pulley 4-8 11th 89.74 0.403 13.70 4-9 12th
2 988 2015 Ed 3-9 13th 88.69 0.403 21.40 4-9 12th
3 981 2010 Kevin 4-8 11th 89.93 0.398 15.76 5-8 10th
4 975 2014 Richie 5-7 10th 91.70 0.407 20.35 6-7 9th
5 971 2021 Pulley 3-9 11th 92.03 0.397 15.84 5-9 10th
6 963 2022 Richie 5-7 13th 92.65 0.413 14.76 6-8 13th
7 958 2023 Derrek 4-8 12th 92.24 0.392 17.93 5-9 12th
8 954 2016 Mike R. 4-8 13th 91.24 0.387 16.09 5-8 11th
9 952 2019 Dave 5-7 11th 93.07 0.415 21.11 6-7 10th
10 952 2017 Richie 5-7 10th 89.17 0.418 26.16 6-7 8th