2014 Richie (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,100.39 points

10th place

4.87 expected wins (0.406)

57-99 all-play record (0.365)

+20.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 70.30 101.81 Ed -31.51
2 L 100.70 107.21 Pat -6.51
3 L 81.70 129.72 Babel -48.02
4 L 59.65 100.35 Allen -40.70 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 87.86 93.01 Rabbit -5.15
6 W 105.80 101.05 Derrek 4.75
7 L 67.65 108.85 Pulley -41.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 97.62 95.46 Mike R. 2.16
9 W 133.95 106.27 Dave 27.68
10 L 82.49 127.40 Rob -44.91
11 W 96.94 91.32 Matt 5.62
12 W 115.73 102.98 Kevin 12.75
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923427.6%228.3550295857988372.050.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.1814360018681800.5%69.77514792899409140.0223893597617513.6%109.42011834319527132.3068573554296212.3%149.06508875739644110.33398030978165323.8%188.7100591715976381.6649562810049840.0%228.355029585798832.7692307692307736520.0%268.091.0135109561637769.1%307.64497041420117118.3334729808142472.6%347.28994082840245134.7590867479176580.4%386.93491124260356140.1380420470363890.0%426.5798816568048141.12788376811102100.0%466.2248520710059141.22598578738877110.0%505.8698224852071141.230688562109912Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.6686390532544111th65.13776223776223230.698224852071212th118.52937062937062253.18343195266272314th171.92097902097902298.15384615384613414th225.3125874125874298.15384615384613514th278.7041958041958298.15384615384613614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441111th599.053846153846230.6982248520711213th11.746153846153845275.6686390532544112th65.13776223776223253.18343195266272213th118.52937062937062275.6686390532544314th171.92097902097902298.15384615384613414th225.3125874125874298.15384615384613513th278.7041958041958275.6686390532544614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441110th599.053846153846208.21301775147931213th11.746153846153845275.6686390532544111th65.13776223776223230.698224852071212th118.52937062937062253.18343195266272314th171.92097902097902298.15384615384613413th225.3125874125874275.6686390532544513th278.7041958041958275.6686390532544614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721111th599.053846153846230.69822485207112Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 LeSean McCoy RB
2.14 28 Toby Gerhart RB
3.01 29 Joique Bell RB
4.14 56 Robert Griffin III QB
5.01 57 Jason Witten TE
6.14 84 Mark Ingram II RB
7.01 85 DeAndre Hopkins WR
8.14 112 Cam Newton QB
9.01 113 Alshon Jeffery K WR
10.14 140 Brian Hartline WR
11.01 141 Ladarius Green TE
12.14 168 Kenny Stills WR
13.01 169 New England DEF
14.14 196 Julian Edelman K WR
15.01 197 Graham Gano K
16.14 224 James White RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.629201.6358974358974597.6971852835280360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.484271.89230769230767107.7090545698556280.937307.020512820512876.3892909454301590.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.473377.2769230769231108.51591350212493110.787412.405128205128286.75345075148095120.10525.994871794871795133.983108815019510.53461.12307692307692104.2770630551326620.23096.25128205128203125.3008521353892230.035131.37948717948717138.7788055673807440.328166.5076923076923118.5050543678252150.000201.6358974358974554.1636013362868260.083236.76410256410256135.483184576421670.000271.8923076923076774.1873399089420180.000307.020512820512811.54781266009106890.245342.14871794871794124.30080162778783100.000377.276923076923175.80105777348062110.000412.405128205128232.2761322721926712Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692356209.91474358974358109.2781065088757460246.4852564102564141.2307692307692373283.0557692307692125.25443786982248812319.6262820512820377.3254437869822590356.19679487179485141.23076923076923108392.767307692307798.627218934911241111429.337820512820582.650887573964512127.062179487179485135.905325443786981863.632692307692398.6272189349112423100.20320512820511125.2544378698224830136.77371794871794141.2307692307692344173.3442307692307119.9289940828402350209.9147435897435877.3254437869822560246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692109.2781065088757480319.6262820512820313.4201183431952791356.19679487179485135.90532544378698100392.767307692307756.02366863905324110429.337820512820524.07100591715975212All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Richie 5-7 10th 91.70 0.406 20.35 6-7 9th
1 978 2021 Pulley 3-9 11th 92.03 0.400 15.84 5-9 10th
2 977 2015 Ed 3-9 13th 88.69 0.401 21.40 4-9 12th
3 977 2012 Pulley 4-8 11th 89.74 0.405 13.70 4-9 12th
4 977 2013 Pat 5-7 10th 88.75 0.404 16.56 5-8 12th
5 973 2019 Dave 5-7 11th 93.07 0.416 21.11 6-7 10th
6 971 2010 Kevin 4-8 11th 89.93 0.399 15.76 5-8 10th
7 968 2022 Richie 5-7 13th 92.65 0.414 14.76 6-8 13th
8 965 2024 Scott 4-8 12th 92.79 0.416 25.11 5-9 12th
9 964 2023 Scott 6-6 9th 91.99 0.389 19.90 8-6 7th
10 959 2023 Derrek 4-8 12th 92.24 0.389 17.93 5-9 12th