2019 Dave (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,116.88 points

11th place

4.99 expected wins (0.416)

60-96 all-play record (0.385)

-2.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 89.82 100.20 Rabbit -10.38
2 L 72.44 102.52 Rob -30.08
3 L 79.62 102.86 Ed -23.24 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 96.01 99.26 Richie -3.25
5 L 86.16 126.31 Mike R. -40.15
6 W 106.81 103.85 Scott 2.96
7 W 123.86 100.12 Pulley 23.74
8 W 110.48 85.34 Babel 25.14
9 W 118.48 75.76 Pat 42.72
10 L 97.98 116.63 Matt -18.65
11 W 92.78 88.11 Derrek 4.67
12 L 42.44 98.16 Schertz -55.72 Slapped Heartbeat
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923427.0%228.3550295857988372.050.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.1482966575146600.5%69.77514792899409139.9257933570626213.2%109.42011834319527132.9353346993345210.9%149.06508875739644113.27893334150238321.7%188.7100591715976385.5391416142786940.0%228.355029585798832.7692307692307736521.5%268.086.18111305459172610.9%307.64497041420117113.1631573706610773.5%347.28994082840245132.2509591885928480.7%386.93491124260356139.5253009337666390.1%426.5798816568048141.06011749866758100.0%466.2248520710059141.2241107929798110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307692307692312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th65.13776223776223275.6686390532544213th118.52937062937062275.6686390532544313th171.92097902097902275.6686390532544414th225.3125874125874298.15384615384613514th278.7041958041958298.15384615384613612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272711th385.4874125874125230.69822485207188th438.87902097902094163.24260355029585910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711112th599.053846153846253.183431952662721211th11.746153846153845230.698224852071114th65.13776223776223298.15384615384613214th118.52937062937062298.15384615384613314th171.92097902097902298.15384615384613414th225.3125874125874298.15384615384613514th278.7041958041958298.15384615384613614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071810th438.87902097902094208.2130177514793911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711010th545.6622377622377208.21301775147931111th599.053846153846230.6982248520711211th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th65.13776223776223275.6686390532544213th118.52937062937062275.6686390532544313th171.92097902097902275.6686390532544414th225.3125874125874298.15384615384613514th278.7041958041958298.15384615384613612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272712th385.4874125874125253.1834319526627288th438.87902097902094163.24260355029585910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931010th545.6622377622377208.21301775147931112th599.053846153846253.1834319526627212Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 12.05 - from Rob
  • Pick 2.05 - from Rob
  • Pick 3.10 - from Rob
  • Pick 11.04 - to Rob
  • Pick 2.11 - to Rob
  • Pick 3.04 - to Rob
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Tyreek Hill WR
2.05 19 Zach Ertz TE
3.10 38 Aaron Rodgers QB
4.11 53 Alshon Jeffery WR
5.04 60 Latavius Murray RB
6.11 81 Curtis Samuel WR
7.04 88 Anthony Miller WR
8.11 109 James Washington WR
9.04 116 James White K RB
10.11 137 Mohamed Sanu WR
12.05 159 Damien Harris RB
12.11 165 Greg Zuerlein K
13.04 172 Derrius Guice K RB
14.11 193 Minnesota DEF
15.04 200 Malcolm Brown RB
16.11 221 Ryquell Armstead RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795137.694096074764910.00061.12307692307692137.694096074764920.00096.25128205128203137.694096074764930.000131.37948717948717137.694096074764940.000166.5076923076923137.694096074764950.615201.6358974358974596.229777190455460.839236.7641025641025681.1027773540010670.673271.8923076923076792.287455124732380.785307.020512820512884.7461030832788590.000342.14871794871794137.6940960747649100.370377.2769230769231112.70779751010699110.000412.4051282051282137.6940960747649120.32225.994871794871795115.985683272618310.09061.12307692307692131.622084274868320.17196.25128205128203126.1626326501450630.427131.37948717948717108.8983627050262340.267166.5076923076923119.6954526322172850.000201.6358974358974554.7654583061458960.000236.7641025641025624.51145863323722670.000271.8923076923076746.8808141746997280.000307.020512820512831.7981100917928290.456342.14871794871794106.90505379539096100.000377.276923076923187.7214989454490611-0.026412.4051282051282139.4624326527670612Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692356209.91474358974358109.27810650887574610246.485256410256487.9763313609467477283.0557692307692103.95266272189349811319.6262820512820382.650887573964590356.19679487179485141.23076923076923108392.767307692307798.62721893491124110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312327.062179487179485125.254437869822481163.6326923076923135.9053254437869820100.20320512820511141.2307692307692337136.77371794871794103.9526627218934942173.3442307692307130.5798816568047350209.9147435897435877.3254437869822560246.485256410256434.7218934911242570283.055769230769266.6745562130177580319.6262820512820324.07100591715975295356.19679487179485114.60355029585799100392.767307692307756.02366863905324110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Dave 5-7 11th 93.07 0.416 21.11 6-7 10th
1 990 2024 Scott 4-8 12th 92.79 0.416 25.11 5-9 12th
2 983 2022 Richie 5-7 13th 92.65 0.414 14.76 6-8 13th
3 973 2014 Richie 5-7 10th 91.70 0.406 20.35 6-7 9th
4 966 2017 Richie 5-7 10th 89.17 0.420 26.16 6-7 8th
5 962 2021 Mike R. 3-9 10th 94.15 0.432 21.12 4-10 11th
6 960 2014 Kevin 3-9 14th 91.95 0.431 23.80 4-9 14th
7 958 2012 Schertz 4-8 10th 90.21 0.426 25.74 5-8 9th
8 954 2023 Dave 6-6 8th 96.76 0.431 21.17 6-8 10th
9 954 2021 Pulley 3-9 11th 92.03 0.400 15.84 5-9 10th
10 953 2015 Ed 3-9 13th 88.69 0.401 21.40 4-9 12th