2013 Pat (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 629.04 points

11th place

2.78 expected wins (0.397)

37-54 all-play record (0.407)

-10.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 91.71 131.44 Derrek -39.73
2 W 91.19 70.28 Dave 20.91
3 W 77.19 76.61 Babel 0.58
4 L 99.01 107.96 Matt -8.95
5 W 118.50 81.37 Allen 37.13
6 L 95.53 109.89 Pulley -14.36
7 L 55.91 85.61 Schertz -29.70 Slapped Heartbeat
8 Rob
9 Ed
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Richie
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923233.1%235.7884615384615272.030.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692371.4%42.519230769230774138.34961196481726011.2%106.9423076923077117.76593546580045128.4%171.365384615384681.8155627525053420.0%235.788461538461522.7692307692307736319.6%300.2115384615385100.2860619267848445.7%364.6346153846155129.326153598049350.7%429.0576923076924139.8288745314134860.0%493.4807692307693141.197385826093357Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793212th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272314th305.4298.15384615384613410th403.28461538461534208.213017751479359th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876611th599.053846153846230.698224852071712th11.746153846153845253.1834319526627219th109.6307692307692185.727810650887627th207.5153846153846140.75739644970415311th305.4230.69822485207148th403.28461538461534163.24260355029585510th501.16923076923075208.2130177514793611th599.053846153846230.698224852071712th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793212th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272314th305.4298.15384615384613410th403.28461538461534208.213017751479359th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876611th599.053846153846230.6982248520717Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Arian Foster RB
2.12 26 Drew Brees QB
3.03 31 Eddie Lacy RB
4.12 54 James Jones WR
5.03 59 Reggie Wayne K WR
6.12 82 Kyle Rudolph TE
7.03 87 Jay Cutler K QB
8.12 110 Michael Floyd WR
9.03 115 Isaac Redman RB
10.12 138 Kendall Wright WR
11.03 143 Jonathan Stewart RB
12.12 166 New England DEF
13.03 171 Johnathan Franklin RB
14.12 194 Phil Dawson K
15.03 199 Santana Moss WR
16.12 222 Ed Dickson TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.38098.76043956043955114.9031408512695420.182158.98021978021976128.5970142792204530.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.826279.419780219780284.0720382703311250.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.39038.54065934065934114.2326524427640610.00098.7604395604395588.5755124717698520.000158.98021978021976115.9632593276716630.513219.19999999999996105.6981304972112540.000279.419780219780226.91330730989350.459339.6395604395604109.4710483213437960.030399.8593406593406139.131637239976047Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692315102.8153846153846114.6035502958579924165.50769230769228119.9289940828402330228.19999999999996141.23076923076923412290.892307692307777.3254437869822550353.5846153846154141.2307692307692360416.2769230769231141.230769230769237240.12307692307692130.5798816568047310102.815384615384687.9763313609467420165.5076923076922898.6272189349112436228.19999999999996109.2781065088757440290.892307692307713.4201183431952758353.584615384615498.6272189349112460416.2769230769231141.230769230769237All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Pat 3-4 11th 89.86 0.397 17.95 5-8 12th
1 994 2014 Ed 3-4 9th 90.25 0.399 17.57 6-7 8th
2 984 2012 Kevin 3-4 9th 89.81 0.405 18.13 5-8 10th
3 982 2023 Ed 4-3 8th 92.47 0.396 15.35 11-3 1st 2nd place
4 981 2015 Ed 3-4 10th 90.34 0.395 23.62 4-9 12th
5 977 2008 Mike R. 2-5 10th 85.90 0.397 20.79 5-8 8th
6 975 2020 Pat 3-4 12th 96.02 0.397 17.85 5-8 12th
7 973 2013 Babel 0-7 14th 91.92 0.403 22.06 4-9 13th
8 970 2023 Derrek 2-5 11th 92.27 0.405 15.54 5-9 12th
9 970 2008 Katie 2-5 11th 83.72 0.394 17.96 5-8 10th
10 968 2024 Schertz 3-4 11th 90.75 0.409 20.01 7-7 7th