2013 Allen (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 626.10 points

12th place

2.67 expected wins (0.381)

37-54 all-play record (0.407)

+21.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 105.41 87.31 Richie 18.10
2 W 102.44 92.60 Rabbit 9.84
3 L 96.19 145.44 Matt -49.25
4 L 61.78 137.68 Ed -75.90 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 81.37 118.50 Pat -37.13
6 L 91.95 99.75 Mike R. -7.80
7 W 86.96 81.10 Dave 5.86
8 Kevin
9 Schertz
10 Rob
11 Babel
12 Pulley
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923231.0%235.7884615384615272.030.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692372.5%42.519230769230774135.58443288506214013.6%106.9423076923077110.78228847389772129.0%171.365384615384676.5735138745326420.0%235.788461538461522.7692307692307736317.8%300.2115384615385101.5335066327956845.3%364.6346153846155129.4042289605998250.7%429.0576923076924139.6501962709563160.0%493.4807692307693141.17392556233827Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958526th207.5153846153846118.27218934911241310th305.4208.2130177514793412th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272511th501.16923076923075230.698224852071612th599.053846153846253.1834319526627277th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th109.630769230769273.3017751479289925th207.515384615384695.786982248520739th305.4185.7278106508876411th403.28461538461534230.698224852071512th501.16923076923075253.18343195266272612th599.053846153846253.1834319526627279th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958527th207.5153846153846140.75739644970415312th305.4253.18343195266272412th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272512th501.16923076923075253.18343195266272612th599.053846153846253.183431952662727Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.11 25 Vincent Jackson WR
3.04 32 Montee Ball RB
4.11 53 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
5.04 60 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.11 81 Denarius Moore WR
7.04 88 Brandon Myers TE
8.11 109 Rueben Randle WR
9.04 116 Chicago DEF
10.11 137 Malcom Floyd WR
11.04 144 Michael Bush RB
12.11 165 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.04 172 Philip Rivers QB
14.11 193 Marcel Reece RB
15.04 200 Christine Michael RB
16.11 221 Robert Woods WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.62838.5406593406593497.7204548570274210.57398.76043956043955101.5842863636691520.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.319399.8593406593406119.1647197188891270.00038.5406593406593454.210140483285610.00098.7604395604395561.9378034965690920.469158.98021978021976108.7437388612700530.052219.19999999999996137.6542898992012740.232279.4197802197802125.1650227644974850.395339.6395604395604113.9030903436681460.000399.859340659340697.098670207009017Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567540.12307692307692114.6035502958579917102.8153846153846103.9526627218934920165.50769230769228141.2307692307692330228.19999999999996141.2307692307692340290.8923076923077141.2307692307692350353.5846153846154141.2307692307692366416.2769230769231109.278106508875747040.1230769230769287.9763313609467410102.815384615384666.6745562130177528165.5076923076922898.6272189349112430228.19999999999996141.2307692307692344290.8923076923077119.9289940828402357353.5846153846154103.9526627218934960416.276923076923177.325443786982257All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Allen 3-4 12th 89.44 0.381 13.69 4-9 14th
1 989 2022 Pat 3-4 11th 88.80 0.382 16.79 8-6 6th 6th place
2 980 2023 Richie 1-6 14th 91.48 0.387 13.48 4-10 13th
3 979 2019 Dave 2-5 14th 93.53 0.381 16.07 6-7 10th
4 976 2010 Kevin 2-5 10th 86.50 0.379 17.86 5-8 10th
5 974 2017 Matt 3-4 10th 85.60 0.384 16.50 5-8 11th
6 968 2009 Ed 3-4 10th 88.54 0.367 13.55 7-6 4th 6th place
7 960 2020 Babel 4-3 7th 95.02 0.389 13.17 8-5 3rd 3rd place
8 958 2016 Allen 3-4 10th 91.98 0.375 23.23 4-9 13th
9 958 2014 Allen 3-4 11th 88.26 0.363 14.50 6-7 10th
10 958 2019 Rob 3-4 11th 91.72 0.367 16.03 5-8 13th