2026 Derrek

2-5 (0.286), 652.89 points (93.27 average)

12th place

2.71 expected wins (0.388)

35-56 all-play record (0.385)

+23.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 100.52 133.20 Pat -32.68
2 W 127.74 107.69 Ed 20.05 Team Blangums
3 L 103.48 111.71 Kevin -8.23
4 L 84.02 143.23 Babel -59.21
5 L 82.46 143.08 Mike R. -60.62
6 L 64.90 82.16 Richie -17.26
7 W 89.77 61.05 Rob 28.72
8 Dave
9 Pat
10 Schertz
11 Pulley
12 Scott
13 Matt
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%58.38461538461538141.2307692307692300.0%146.84615384615384141.23076923076923130.4%235.3076923076923278.9344048990568920.0%323.7692307692308141.2307692307692330.0%412.2307692307692141.2307692307692340.0%500.6923076923077141.2307692307692350.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.2307692307692371.2%58.38461538461538138.81398043464446011.6%146.84615384615384117.4380790205981110.0%235.3076923076923216.638040567344547233.8%323.769230769230872.0317.9%412.2307692307692104.5743146747322244.6%500.6923076923077131.8810345740208450.5%589.1538461538461140.202260193821760.0%677.6153846153845141.200563596432037Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958515th109.630769230769295.786982248520724th207.515384615384673.3017751479289938th305.4163.2426035502958549th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876510th501.16923076923075208.2130177514793610th599.053846153846208.2130177514793710th11.746153846153845208.213017751479316th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124127th207.5153846153846140.75739644970415310th305.4208.2130177514793412th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272513th501.16923076923075275.6686390532544612th599.053846153846253.1834319526627278th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958514th109.630769230769273.3017751479289924th207.515384615384673.3017751479289939th305.4185.727810650887649th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876510th501.16923076923075208.2130177514793610th599.053846153846208.21301775147937Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Bijan Robinson RB
2.13 27 Davante Adams WR
3.02 30 Terry McLaurin WR
4.13 55 Jalen Hurts QB
5.02 58 Ladd McConkey K×2 WR
6.13 83 Zach Charbonnet RB
7.02 86 Jordan Mason RB
8.13 111 Colston Loveland K TE
9.02 114 Romeo Doubs WR
10.13 139 Rashid Shaheed WR
11.02 142 Brian Robinson, Jr. RB
12.13 167 Dontayvion Wicks WR
13.02 170 Sam Darnold QB
14.13 195 New England DEF
15.02 198 Alvin Kamara RB
16.13 223 Harrison Butker K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00056.12307692307693141.2307692307692310.867143.8153846153846381.2221143865907620.000231.5076923076923141.2307692307692330.000319.2141.2307692307692340.000406.89230769230767141.2307692307692350.000494.5846153846154141.2307692307692360.319582.276923076923119.1268033908212770.50156.12307692307693106.5267420651320310.000143.8153846153846321.21345954241229520.562231.5076923076923102.310175856076230.220319.2126.0340076767247840.202406.89230769230767127.2179736610828850.043494.5846153846154138.284111880377360.000582.27692307692397.02283755087337Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567057.7054945054945141.23076923076923113147.8703296703296572.020238.0351648351648141.2307692307692330328.19999999999993141.2307692307692340418.36483516483514141.2307692307692350508.52967032967035141.2307692307692364598.6945054945054119.928994082840237657.7054945054945109.2781065088757410147.870329670329652.769230769230773628238.035164835164898.6272189349112432328.19999999999993130.5798816568047341418.36483516483514135.9053254437869851508.52967032967035135.9053254437869860598.694505494505498.627218934911247All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Derrek 2-5 12th 93.27 0.388 18.38
1 982 2023 Richie 1-6 14th 91.48 0.387 13.48 4-10 13th
2 981 2020 Babel 4-3 7th 95.02 0.387 13.17 8-5 3rd 3rd place
3 979 2019 Dave 2-5 14th 93.53 0.380 16.07 6-7 10th
4 975 2025 Ed 2-5 13th 92.64 0.395 14.20 6-8 9th
5 974 2016 Allen 3-4 10th 91.98 0.382 23.23 4-9 13th
6 972 2020 Pat 3-4 12th 96.02 0.395 17.85 5-8 12th
7 971 2023 Ed 4-3 8th 92.47 0.397 15.35 11-3 1st 2nd place
8 970 2013 Pat 3-4 11th 89.86 0.396 17.95 5-8 12th
9 967 2013 Allen 3-4 12th 89.44 0.383 13.69 4-9 14th
10 967 2022 Pat 3-4 11th 88.80 0.382 16.79 8-6 6th 6th place