2017 Pat (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 997.08 points

10th place

4.93 expected wins (0.448)

64-79 all-play record (0.448)

+18.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 83.52 73.30 Richie 10.22
2 L 96.69 136.68 Pulley -39.99
3 L 78.02 108.17 Rob -30.15
4 L 80.32 112.94 Babel -32.62
5 L 57.01 107.97 Dave -50.96 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 95.00 102.90 Schertz -7.90
7 L 93.31 94.79 Mike R. -1.48
8 W 127.01 104.14 Kevin 22.87
9 W 108.09 88.62 Derrek 19.47
10 L 77.06 109.89 Allen -32.83
11 W 101.05 66.02 Ed 35.03
12 Matt
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923322.9%203.5769230769230782.671259396779540.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.1873415461560300.5%74.73076923076923139.9702065688845213.5%117.67948717948717132.16878784482077211.9%160.62820512820514110.6715567968152530.0%203.5769230769230724.111749562789782427.1%246.5256410256410272.0520.4%289.47435897435988.9242023114751769.9%332.42307692307696115.7997286608419473.1%375.3717948717949133.4155545290930780.6%418.3205128205129139.7892819381960490.1%461.26923076923083141.08897774110005100.0%504.21794871794873141.2253376766604411Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887619th70.47692307692309185.7278106508876210th129.2076923076923208.2130177514793311th187.93846153846152230.698224852071413th246.66923076923075275.6686390532544512th305.4253.18343195266272612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272710th422.86153846153843208.213017751479389th481.59230769230766185.7278106508876910th540.3230769230769208.21301775147931010th599.053846153846208.2130177514793116th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124117th70.47692307692309140.75739644970415210th129.2076923076923208.2130177514793313th187.93846153846152275.6686390532544414th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613514th305.4298.15384615384613614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613714th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721010th599.053846153846208.2130177514793119th11.746153846153845185.727810650887619th70.47692307692309185.727810650887629th129.2076923076923185.7278106508876310th187.93846153846152208.2130177514793413th246.66923076923075275.6686390532544512th305.4253.18343195266272612th364.1307692307692253.1834319526627279th422.86153846153843185.727810650887689th481.59230769230766185.727810650887698th540.3230769230769163.242603550295851010th599.053846153846208.213017751479311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Aaron Rodgers K QB
2.12 26 Alshon Jeffery WR
3.03 31 Ty Montgomery RB
4.12 54 Brandon Marshall WR
5.03 59 Bilal Powell RB
6.12 82 Robbie Chosen WR
7.03 87 Cameron Brate TE
8.12 110 Willie Snead K WR
9.03 115 Jacquizz Rodgers RB
10.12 138 Jack Doyle TE
11.03 143 Robert Turbin RB
12.12 166 Brandon LaFell WR
13.03 171 Jalen Richard RB
14.12 194 Blair Walsh K
15.03 199 Pittsburgh DEF
16.12 222 Sam Bradford QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.31527.59160839160839119.4222592902829210.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.953295.843356643356775.2495738011168180.727334.16503496503590.9094556133295690.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.599410.808391608391699.72808281672366110.00027.5916083916083997.6137493497966210.52965.91328671328671104.6374216722214120.242104.23496503496503124.467968669544530.270142.55664335664335122.5474171265372840.086180.87832167832164135.309425308768750.502219.19999999999996106.467059532719460.471257.5216783216783108.6489879129406470.000295.84335664335679.26837837146439480.000334.16503496503540.5881419958898790.232372.4867132867133125.13845707804998100.000410.808391608391658.225396402678111Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011528.724475524475523114.603550295857991068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.23076923076923711307.990209790209882.6508875739645811347.885314685314782.650887573964590387.7804195804196141.23076923076923106427.67552447552447109.2781065088757411028.72447552447552387.976331360946741968.6195804195804293.3017751479289925108.5146853146853114.6035502958579933148.40979020979017125.2544378698224840188.30489510489508141.2307692307692357228.2103.9526627218934964268.09510489510484119.9289940828402370307.990209790209824.07100591715975280347.885314685314724.07100591715975293387.7804195804196125.25443786982248100427.6755244755244777.3254437869822511All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Pat 4-7 10th 90.64 0.448 17.66 6-7 7th
1 981 2008 Mike R. 3-8 11th 88.50 0.444 19.26 5-8 8th
2 971 2010 Rob 4-7 9th 90.74 0.437 20.67 6-7 7th
3 967 2019 Dave 5-6 10th 97.68 0.448 15.23 6-7 10th
4 965 2021 Pat 2-9 11th 95.86 0.444 14.45 3-11 12th
5 965 2015 Babel 4-7 10th 93.96 0.451 25.15 5-8 10th
6 964 2021 Mike R. 2-9 12th 95.11 0.443 21.80 4-10 11th
7 964 2023 Dave 6-5 7th 97.19 0.447 22.06 6-8 10th
8 962 2024 Scott 4-7 11th 95.08 0.451 25.00 5-9 12th
9 961 2014 Ed 5-6 8th 93.09 0.436 14.77 6-7 8th
10 960 2008 Allen 8-3 2nd 88.51 0.437 12.64 8-5 4th 5th place