2009 Dave (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,042.13 points

10th place

4.81 expected wins (0.438)

49-72 all-play record (0.405)

+6.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 68.30 111.69 Rabbit -43.39 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 91.68 84.13 Kevin 7.55
3 W 95.08 42.13 Pulley 52.95
4 W 91.72 87.73 Pat 3.99
5 L 93.77 115.14 Mike R. -21.37
6 W 96.50 96.12 Derrek 0.38
7 L 83.04 100.36 Babel -17.32
8 W 121.28 77.40 Rob 43.88 Team Blangums
9 L 111.26 121.30 Ed -10.04
10 L 110.58 128.82 Allen -18.24
11 L 78.92 135.06 Matt -56.14
12 Rabbit
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923426.4%246.5256410256410272.050.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.1%31.782051282051285141.0860901337250700.8%74.73076923076923139.1724930922045514.4%117.67948717948717129.63833881251838213.2%160.62820512820514106.6027794009878323.5%203.5769230769230779.6331483229451340.0%246.525641025641022.7692307692307736519.2%289.47435897435990.7189418900983669.1%332.42307692307696117.2572918938731472.8%375.3717948717949134.0023885552494480.5%418.3205128205129139.9254022711081790.0%461.26923076923083141.10621405150215100.0%504.21794871794873141.226205565633911Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th70.47692307692309271.5804195804196211th129.2076923076923271.5804195804196311th187.93846153846152271.5804195804196411th246.66923076923075271.5804195804196511th305.4271.5804195804196611th364.1307692307692271.5804195804196710th422.86153846153843245.006993006993810th481.59230769230766245.006993006993910th540.3230769230769245.0069930069931010th599.053846153846245.0069930069931112th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th70.47692307692309245.00699300699326th129.2076923076923138.7132867132867534th187.9384615384615285.5664335664335746th246.66923076923075138.7132867132867553rd305.458.99300699300701565th364.1307692307692112.1398601398601674th422.8615384615384385.5664335664335786th481.59230769230766138.7132867132867598th540.3230769230769191.86013986013991010th599.053846153846245.0069930069931112th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th70.47692307692309271.5804195804196211th129.2076923076923271.5804195804196311th187.93846153846152271.5804195804196411th246.66923076923075271.5804195804196511th305.4271.5804195804196610th364.1307692307692245.006993006993710th422.86153846153843245.006993006993810th481.59230769230766245.006993006993910th540.3230769230769245.0069930069931011th599.053846153846271.580419580419611Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Larry Fitzgerald WR
2.11 23 Dwayne Bowe WR
3.02 26 Julius Jones RB
4.11 47 Greg Olsen TE
5.02 50 Lee Evans WR
6.11 71 Felix Jones RB
7.02 74 Donald Driver WR
8.11 95 Tim Hightower RB
9.02 98 Matt Forte K RB
10.11 119 Philip Rivers K QB
11.02 122 Chicago DEF
12.11 143 Michael Crabtree WR
13.02 146 Chester Taylor RB
14.11 167 Joey Galloway WR
15.02 170 Adam Vinatieri K
16.11 191 Brandon Jackson RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.37365.91328671328671115.3964754877427220.436104.23496503496503111.0212545169866330.375142.55664335664335115.2714691742925540.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.459219.19999999999996109.4757219143299160.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.841295.843356643356782.9971118835202980.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.08027.59160839160839135.7043193182392110.00065.9132867132867189.5621817447162120.000104.2349650349650380.8117398032040330.000142.5566433566433589.3121691178158740.413180.87832167832164112.6577008021525350.000219.1999999999999677.720674597890660.242257.5216783216783124.4537511077235270.000295.843356643356724.7634545362713480.710334.16503496503592.0543875035010990.699372.486713286713392.82715380482944100.186410.8083916083916128.3403110349925711Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231468.61958041958042116.0559440559440524108.5146853146853116.0559440559440535148.40979020979017109.7622377622377640188.30489510489508141.2307692307692353228.2122.3496503496503560268.09510489510484141.23076923076923711307.990209790209872.080347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.6195804195804290.881118881118920108.514685314685390.881118881118930148.4097902097901778.2937062937063144188.30489510489508116.0559440559440550228.2103.4685314685314763268.09510489510484122.3496503496503570307.99020979020982.769230769230773687347.885314685314797.1748251748251797387.780419580419697.17482517482517101427.67552447552447134.9370629370629311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Dave 5-6 10th 94.74 0.438 14.58 5-8 11th
1 996 2022 Mike R. 6-5 7th 94.17 0.437 14.11 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion
2 990 2014 Ed 5-6 8th 93.09 0.436 14.77 6-7 8th
3 983 2021 Pat 2-9 11th 95.86 0.444 14.45 3-11 12th
4 974 2023 Schertz 4-7 11th 96.47 0.435 21.65 6-8 9th
5 974 2021 Mike R. 2-9 12th 95.11 0.443 21.80 4-10 11th
6 970 2010 Rob 4-7 9th 90.74 0.437 20.67 6-7 7th
7 970 2008 Allen 8-3 2nd 88.51 0.437 12.64 8-5 4th 5th place
8 966 2019 Dave 5-6 10th 97.68 0.448 15.23 6-7 10th
9 962 2019 Ed 4-7 11th 96.21 0.434 26.46 5-8 11th
10 957 2017 Pat 4-7 10th 90.64 0.448 17.66 6-7 7th