2009 Dave (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,042.13 points (94.74 average)

10th place

4.77 expected wins (0.434)

49-72 all-play record (0.405)

+7.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 68.30 111.69 Rabbit -43.39 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 91.68 84.13 Kevin 7.55
3 W 95.08 42.13 Pulley 52.95
4 W 91.72 87.73 Pat 3.99
5 L 93.77 115.14 Mike R. -21.37
6 W 96.50 96.12 Derrek 0.38
7 L 83.04 100.36 Babel -17.32
8 W 121.28 77.40 Rob 43.88 Team Blangums
9 L 111.26 121.30 Ed -10.04
10 L 110.58 128.82 Allen -18.24
11 L 78.92 135.06 Matt -56.14
12 Rabbit
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923426.8%246.5256410256410272.050.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.1118928911902200.7%74.73076923076923139.349994300419214.4%117.67948717948717129.92599391290506213.5%160.62820512820514106.30623667111047324.2%203.5769230769230778.692898906388440.0%246.525641025641022.7692307692307736518.9%289.47435897435992.3968556774351868.5%332.42307692307696119.2233497110192472.4%375.3717948717949135.0541195305901980.4%418.3205128205129140.217695491757490.0%461.26923076923083141.1458203370961100.0%504.21794871794873141.2281705260573411Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th70.47692307692309271.5804195804196211th129.2076923076923271.5804195804196311th187.93846153846152271.5804195804196411th246.66923076923075271.5804195804196511th305.4271.5804195804196611th364.1307692307692271.5804195804196710th422.86153846153843245.00699300699389th481.59230769230766218.43356643356645910th540.3230769230769245.0069930069931010th599.053846153846245.0069930069931112th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th70.47692307692309245.00699300699326th129.2076923076923138.7132867132867534th187.9384615384615285.5664335664335746th246.66923076923075138.7132867132867553rd305.458.99300699300701565th364.1307692307692112.1398601398601674th422.8615384615384385.5664335664335786th481.59230769230766138.7132867132867598th540.3230769230769191.86013986013991010th599.053846153846245.0069930069931112th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th70.47692307692309271.5804195804196211th129.2076923076923271.5804195804196311th187.93846153846152271.5804195804196411th246.66923076923075271.5804195804196511th305.4271.5804195804196610th364.1307692307692245.006993006993710th422.86153846153843245.006993006993810th481.59230769230766245.006993006993910th540.3230769230769245.0069930069931011th599.053846153846271.580419580419611Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Larry Fitzgerald WR
2.11 23 Dwayne Bowe WR
3.02 26 Julius Jones RB
4.11 47 Greg Olsen TE
5.02 50 Lee Evans WR
6.11 71 Felix Jones RB
7.02 74 Donald Driver WR
8.11 95 Tim Hightower RB
9.02 98 Matt Forte K RB
10.11 119 Philip Rivers K QB
11.02 122 Chicago DEF
12.11 143 Michael Crabtree WR
13.02 146 Chester Taylor RB
14.11 167 Joey Galloway WR
15.02 170 Adam Vinatieri K
16.11 191 Brandon Jackson RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.36365.91328671328671116.088480390861420.430104.23496503496503111.4646199057143730.367142.55664335664335115.8536320145564740.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.460219.19999999999996109.404573258827960.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.869295.843356643356781.0874934339674580.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.06127.59160839160839136.9939396301337510.00065.9132867132867190.9461915509535920.000104.2349650349650381.6984705806595230.000142.5566433566433590.4764947983437240.400180.87832167832164113.5681577820649650.000219.1999999999999677.5783772868865660.220257.5216783216783125.9801454422027170.000295.843356643356720.9442176371656880.731334.16503496503590.6165059998765790.717372.486713286713391.60018468128796100.156410.8083916083916130.4302061930406811Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231468.61958041958042116.0559440559440524108.5146853146853116.0559440559440535148.40979020979017109.7622377622377640188.30489510489508141.2307692307692353228.2122.3496503496503560268.09510489510484141.23076923076923711307.990209790209872.080347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.6195804195804290.881118881118920108.514685314685390.881118881118930148.4097902097901778.2937062937063144188.30489510489508116.0559440559440550228.2103.4685314685314763268.09510489510484122.3496503496503570307.99020979020982.769230769230773687347.885314685314797.1748251748251797387.780419580419697.17482517482517101427.67552447552447134.9370629370629311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Dave 5-6 10th 94.74 0.434 14.58 5-8 11th
1 992 2014 Ed 5-6 8th 93.09 0.434 14.77 6-7 8th
2 990 2022 Mike R. 6-5 7th 94.17 0.437 14.11 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion
3 974 2021 Pat 2-9 11th 95.86 0.444 14.45 3-11 12th
4 967 2021 Mike R. 2-9 12th 95.11 0.442 21.80 4-10 11th
5 967 2010 Rob 4-7 9th 90.74 0.436 20.67 6-7 7th
6 965 2008 Allen 8-3 2nd 88.51 0.431 12.64 8-5 4th 5th place
7 965 2023 Schertz 4-7 11th 96.47 0.441 21.65 6-8 9th
8 965 2019 Dave 5-6 10th 97.68 0.445 15.23 6-7 10th
9 964 2014 Pat 4-7 12th 91.17 0.428 19.35 5-8 11th
10 963 2019 Ed 4-7 11th 96.21 0.438 26.46 5-8 11th